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Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. SAR 22.14, price SAR 15.52, upside +42.6%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · SA · ISIN SA163GP4M416

AA Some data Sep 27, 2026

Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co.

9608 · SR

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value 22.14 SAR · Undervalued (+42.6%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +1.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

38.00 SAR 13.30 SAR Fair Value 22.14 SAR Jul 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range 13.30 SAR – 38.00 SAR · fair‑value band 16.60 SAR – 27.68 SAR · the 15.52 SAR price screens below the 22.14 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. engages in the construction business in Saudi Arabia.

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Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. engages in the construction business in Saudi Arabia. It engages in construction and renovation of government buildings, prefabricated buildings on-site, and residential and non-residential buildings; construction of roads, streets, sidewalks, and road accessories; operation of sewage treatment networks and facilities; repairs and maintenance services; cleaning services; water transport and distribution; collection and transport of sewage; and ground handling services. The company also engages in transport and logistics services, including dry and cold transport; loading and unloading of goods and passenger baggage; and freight forwarding. In addition, the company offers tempered glass solutions for doors, facades, interior partitions, and windows; medical vinyl flooring solutions; manufacture and installation of metal structures, canopies, fences, and railings; and engages in design, supply, installation, and maintenance of air conditioning and refrigeration systems. Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Sakaka, Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608) currently trades at 15.52 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.14 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 17.75 SAR per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the 15.52 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 7.78 SAR, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 16.60 SAR (bear) to 27.68 SAR (bull), the price of 15.52 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. reported revenue of 50.1M SAR in FY2025 versus 24.8M SAR in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was 5.0M SAR in FY2025, compounding +2.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 83.5M SAR (≈ $22.2M) · P/E ratio 14.9 · P/S ratio 1.49 · EPS (TTM) 1.04 SAR · Net margin 10.0% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.7% · Operating margin 8.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 43%, 9608 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 16.60 SAR Fair Value 22.14 SAR Bull 27.68 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7864 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 9.81 SAR 10.61 SAR 12.47 SAR 68
EV/EBITDA 18.29 SAR 24.40 SAR 30.51 SAR 67
EV/EBIT 21.25 SAR 28.35 SAR 35.45 SAR 66
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple 13.31 SAR 17.75 SAR 22.19 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 13.31 SAR 17.75 SAR 22.19 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 21.25 SAR 28.35 SAR 35.45 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 18.29 SAR 24.40 SAR 30.51 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 11.70 SAR 16.73 SAR 21.77 SAR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.80 SAR 7.78 SAR 11.61 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9.81 SAR 10.61 SAR 12.47 SAR 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 12%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 201 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +42.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.4% · Above median
Return on assets 5.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −27.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.67× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)90 · sector 50
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 43
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $93.44 $107.34 +15%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €55.74 €137.08 +146%
FedEx Corporation FDX $289.65 $349.54 +21%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,216 kr 711.95 −41%
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €25.82 €14.24 −45%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 226.70 CHF 147.92 −35%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $188.58 $116.66 −38%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥30.54 ¥109.70 +259%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $226.07 $133.80 −41%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $148.24 $87.31 −41%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9608

Frequently asked questions

Is Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.14 SAR versus a price of 15.52 SAR, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9608?
Our model-based fair value for Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is 22.14 SAR (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 15.52 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9608?
Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 22.14 SAR (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.60 SAR, optimistic scenario 27.68 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 22.14 SAR, about +43% upside versus a price of 15.52 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 16.60 SAR, optimistic scenario 27.68 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 50.1M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. it is 22.14 SAR per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 15.52 SAR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 9608 trades below its calculated fair value: price 15.52 SAR, fair value 22.14 SAR, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9608?
No. The price is what the market pays today (15.52 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (22.14 SAR). For Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. the two are 6.62 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. worth?
The market values Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. at about 83.5M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 15.52 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 22.14 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9608?
Our models span a range for Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co.: cautious scenario 16.60 SAR, base 22.14 SAR, optimistic 27.68 SAR per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 15.52 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9608?
Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 22.14 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 11.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9608 from its 52-week high?
Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. trades at 15.52 SAR, about 39% below its 52-week high of 25.40 SAR and 17% above the low of 13.30 SAR (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 22.14 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 15.52 SAR, calculated fair value 22.14 SAR (+43%), Quality Score 48/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9608 calculated?
We run Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 22.14 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 15.52 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 22.14 SAR, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (16.60 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co.

How large is the market capitalisation of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
The market capitalisation of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is 83.5M SAR (≈ $22.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is 1.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
Earnings per share at Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. are 1.04 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
The net margin of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is 10.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is 15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
The operating margin of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
Revenue at Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is growing −27.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608)?
Earnings per share at Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. are growing −71.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608) generate?
The free cash flow of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is −1.3M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. (9608) carry?
The net debt of Al Ashghal Al Moysra Co. is 1.7M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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