Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Great Taipei Gas Corp TWD 18.36, price TWD 28.95, upside -36.6%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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The Great Taipei Gas Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, supplies natural gas in Taiwan. The company provides meter installation, calculation, maintenance and repair services. It also manufactures, installs, markets, and supplies gas and related equipment; and sells measuring instruments and meters, such as gauges and meters.
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The Great Taipei Gas Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, supplies natural gas in Taiwan. The company provides meter installation, calculation, maintenance and repair services. It also manufactures, installs, markets, and supplies gas and related equipment; and sells measuring instruments and meters, such as gauges and meters. In addition, the company is involved in telecommunications and office building rental business; securities investment, and banks and insurance; cultural; trading; investment; manufacturing; water heaters and stews; pots, guided solar energy machines and parts; design, manufacturing, sales, and installation of components; repair and agency services; houses, commercial buildings and public housing; and network communication services, as well as. The company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908) currently trades at 28.95 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.36 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 23.64 TWD per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the 28.95 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 10.24 TWD, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 14.71 TWD (bear) to 23.03 TWD (bull), the price of 28.95 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Great Taipei Gas Corp reported revenue of 3.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was 864M TWD in FY2025, compounding −0.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 15.7B TWD (≈ $492M) · P/E ratio 16.4 · P/S ratio 4.19 · EPS (TTM) 1.77 TWD · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin 25.6% · Return on equity 6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −37%, 9908 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 14.71 TWDFair Value 18.36 TWDBull 23.03 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4170 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1% vs 3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside−37% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.4× · Pricier than median
P/B1.11× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)4.66× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA14.8× · Priciest 25%
PEG2.27× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)83· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Taipei Gas Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9908
Frequently asked questions
Is Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.36 TWD versus a price of 28.95 TWD, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9908?
Our model-based fair value for Great Taipei Gas Corp is 18.36 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 28.95 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9908?
Great Taipei Gas Corp has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.36 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 23.03 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great Taipei Gas Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.36 TWD, about −37% upside versus a price of 28.95 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 14.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 23.03 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
Great Taipei Gas Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Great Taipei Gas Corp pay a dividend?
Great Taipei Gas Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.15% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Great Taipei Gas Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +4.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9908 use?
Our models discount Great Taipei Gas Corp at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.06, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Great Taipei Gas Corp that is +4.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Great Taipei Gas Corp grew -1.0 % a year. The price currently implies +4.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Great Taipei Gas Corp (+4.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.72 %: that much free cash flow Great Taipei Gas Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Taipei Gas Corp it is 18.36 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 28.95 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Great Taipei Gas Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 9908 trades above its calculated fair value: price 28.95 TWD, fair value 18.36 TWD, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9908?
No. The price is what the market pays today (28.95 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.36 TWD). For Great Taipei Gas Corp the two are 10.59 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great Taipei Gas Corp worth?
The market values Great Taipei Gas Corp at about 15.7B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 28.95 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 18.36 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9908?
Our models span a range for Great Taipei Gas Corp: cautious scenario 14.71 TWD, base 18.36 TWD, optimistic 23.03 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 28.95 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9908?
Great Taipei Gas Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.36 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.3, P/B 1.1, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 14.8.
What is the PEG ratio of 9908?
The PEG ratio of Great Taipei Gas Corp is 2.27 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great Taipei Gas Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9908 from its 52-week high?
Great Taipei Gas Corp trades at 28.95 TWD, about 16% below its 52-week high of 34.50 TWD and 1% above the low of 28.56 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.36 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great Taipei Gas Corp?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great Taipei Gas Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 28.95 TWD, calculated fair value 18.36 TWD (−37%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9908 calculated?
We run Great Taipei Gas Corp through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.36 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Great Taipei Gas Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 28.95 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 18.36 TWD, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great Taipei Gas Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (23.03 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908) come from?
Earnings per share at Great Taipei Gas Corp grew +4.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.4 %, EBIT margin +5.4 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Great Taipei Gas Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
The market capitalisation of Great Taipei Gas Corp is 15.7B TWD (≈ $492M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great Taipei Gas Corp is 4.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
Earnings per share at Great Taipei Gas Corp are 1.77 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
The dividend yield of Great Taipei Gas Corp is 4.1% (payout 67.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
The net margin of Great Taipei Gas Corp is 25.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great Taipei Gas Corp is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Taipei Gas Corp is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
The operating margin of Great Taipei Gas Corp is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
Revenue at Great Taipei Gas Corp is growing −0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908)?
Earnings per share at Great Taipei Gas Corp are growing +17.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Great Taipei Gas Corp (9908) hold?
Great Taipei Gas Corp holds more cash than debt, 2.0B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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