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Sinyi Realty Inc (9940) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TW · Market cap 14.8B TWD

SR Sinyi Realty Inc 9940 · TW
Price21.25 TWD
Fair Value12.35 TWD
Upside-41.9%
Quality38/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.92% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range 7.30 TWD – 12.35 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +7.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.35 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

35.80 TWD 18.25 TWD Fair Value 12.35 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.25 TWD – 35.80 TWD · fair‑value band 7.30 TWD – 12.35 TWD · the 21.25 TWD price screens above the 12.35 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Sinyi Realty Inc (9940) currently trades at 21.25 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.35 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 41.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sinyi Realty Inc generated revenue of 12.1B TWD at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 30.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. Net debt stands at 9.9B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 7.30 TWD (bear case) to 12.35 TWD (bull case); at 21.25 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -42%, 9940 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 6.01 TWD 11.23 TWD 18.60 TWD 80
Residual Income 12.31 TWD 11.80 TWD 9.18 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3800 TWD 3.59 TWD 7.16 TWD 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 5.54 TWD 11.02 TWD 19.12 TWD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.3800 TWD 3.35 TWD 7.00 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 8.33 TWD 17.19 TWD 27.27 TWD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 2.05 TWD 5.00 TWD 8.36 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 7.15 TWD 14.25 TWD 22.67 TWD 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 16.53 TWD 23.90 TWD 31.54 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 16.53 TWD 23.32 TWD 31.17 TWD 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple 3.79 TWD 5.05 TWD 6.32 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 3.79 TWD 5.05 TWD 6.32 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 2.64 TWD 6.26 TWD 9.88 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 12.71 TWD 19.68 TWD 26.66 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 0.3300 TWD 2.90 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.76 TWD 11.74 TWD 17.52 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6.01 TWD 11.23 TWD 18.60 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3800 TWD 3.59 TWD 7.16 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 12.31 TWD 11.80 TWD 9.18 TWD 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (23.32 TWD) versus Growth DCF (3.59 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.1B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.0%
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 2.1%
Free cash flow 978M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 53.0
More key figures
Operating margin 7.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.3800 TWD
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +80.5%
Net debt 9.9B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sinyi Realty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the real estate brokerage and development businesses in Taiwan, Mainland China, and Japan. The company offers transactions and leasing of residential, office, industrial, and land properties.

Full company description

Sinyi Realty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the real estate brokerage and development businesses in Taiwan, Mainland China, and Japan. The company offers transactions and leasing of residential, office, industrial, and land properties. It engages in residential development and sales, as well as invest in Sabah Malaysia's tourism sector, promoting eco-tourism resorts. In addition, the company provides property management, consulting, IT and data services, and construction management The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sinyi Realty Inc reported revenue of 11.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 18.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was 219M TWD in FY2025, compounding −44.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.6B TWD
Latest YoY
−9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Revenue −11.5%/yr
FY21 18.8B TWD
FY22 13.7B TWD
FY23 14.2B TWD
FY24 12.8B TWD
FY25 11.6B TWD
Net income −44.7%/yr
FY21 2.3B TWD
FY22 1.2B TWD
FY23 1.8B TWD
FY24 1.8B TWD
FY25 219M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.2 pp

of which total revenue +5.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp

EBIT margin +2.2 pp
Tax rate −0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

9940 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinyi Realty Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9940

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 53.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.23× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 26.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 8 · sector 16
HEALTH 67 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 58 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sinyi Realty Inc (9940) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.35 TWD versus a price of 21.25 TWD, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9940?
Our model-based fair value for Sinyi Realty Inc is 12.35 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 21.25 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9940?
Sinyi Realty Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sinyi Realty Inc (9940)?
Sinyi Realty Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9940?
The net profit margin of Sinyi Realty Inc is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sinyi Realty Inc pay a dividend?
Sinyi Realty Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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