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Central China New Life Ltd (9983) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Central China New Life Ltd HK$0.69, price HK$0.25, upside +175.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · HK · ISIN KYG206AA1025

CC Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Central China New Life Ltd

9983 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$0.6880 · Strongly undervalued (+175.2%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!12.0% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$4.24 HK$0.2500 Fair Value HK$0.6880 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2500 – HK$4.24 · fair‑value band HK$0.6530 – HK$0.9200 · the HK$0.2500 price screens below the HK$0.6880 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Central China New Life Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management and value-added services in the People's Republic of China. It is involved in the lifestyle services business.

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Central China New Life Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management and value-added services in the People's Republic of China. It is involved in the lifestyle services business. The company also manages a portfolio of properties, including residential and commercial properties, office buildings, gyms, special towns, rural complexes, schools, hospitals, parks, urban services, and industrial parks. In addition, it offers community value-added services, including pre-launch intermediary services, on-site management services, property inspection service, property agency service, and commercial property management services to non-property owners; and community value-added services, such as procurement and sale of goods, and installation and decoration services, as well as technology, tourism, management consulting, and real estate marketing services. Further, it engages in the provision of hotel management and operation services; and management services for agricultural and cultural tourism projects, and commercial real estate operations. Additionally, it manages a diversified portfolio of properties, including residential properties, shopping malls, cultural tourism complexes, commercial apartments, office buildings, schools, and hospitals and government properties. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, the People's Republic of China. Central China New Life Limited is a subsidiary of Enjoy Start Limited.

Stock analysis

Central China New Life Ltd (9983) currently trades at HK$0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6880, implying the stock looks roughly 63.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$2.70 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$0.2500 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.9700, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.6530 (bear) to HK$0.9200 (bull), the price of HK$0.2500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Central China New Life Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.8B in FY2025 versus HK$3.6B in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$157M in FY2025, compounding −29.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$445M (≈ $56.7M) · P/E ratio 2.5 · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800 · Dividend yield 12.0% · Net margin 5.7% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 175%, 9983 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.6530 Fair Value HK$0.6880 Bull HK$0.9200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0375 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$1.13 HK$1.18 HK$1.28 76
Gordon GGM HK$0.6700 HK$1.12 HK$1.45 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6700 HK$0.9700 HK$1.20 67
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.6700 HK$1.12 HK$1.45 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6700 HK$0.9700 HK$1.20 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$1.56 HK$2.08 HK$2.60 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.56 HK$2.08 HK$2.60 55
EV/EBIT HK$3.35 HK$4.38 HK$5.40 66
EV/EBITDA HK$3.06 HK$3.98 HK$4.91 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.98 HK$2.70 HK$3.43 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7300 HK$0.9800 HK$1.47 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.13 HK$1.18 HK$1.28 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)12.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 9%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 538 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +175.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8.5% · Above median
Return on assets 3.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 12.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.23× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.25× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)34 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 62

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $134.55 $91.06 −32%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.92 HK$17.16 −60%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €23.99 €23.94 +0%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.32 HK$13.39 −45%
Vonovia SE VNA €17.17 €36.55 +113%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $321.91 $540.65 +68%
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$30.54 HK$27.42 −10%
CoStar Group CSGP $26.95 $6.19 −77%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.00 HK$56.36 +52%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.60 SGD 0.5600 SGD −78%

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Central China New Life Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.6880 +64%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central China New Life Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9983

Frequently asked questions

Is Central China New Life Ltd (9983) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6880 versus a price of HK$0.2500, about +175% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9983?
Our model-based fair value for Central China New Life Ltd is HK$0.6880 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2500.
What is the quality score of 9983?
Central China New Life Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6880 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6530, optimistic scenario HK$0.9200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Central China New Life Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.6880, about +175% upside versus a price of HK$0.2500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6530, optimistic scenario HK$0.9200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
Central China New Life Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Central China New Life Ltd pay a dividend?
Central China New Life Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Central China New Life Ltd it is HK$0.6880 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2500. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Central China New Life Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 9983 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2500, fair value HK$0.6880, a gap of about +175% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9983?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.6880). For Central China New Life Ltd the two are HK$0.4380 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Central China New Life Ltd worth?
The market values Central China New Life Ltd at about HK$445M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2500; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.6880 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9983?
Our models span a range for Central China New Life Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6530, base HK$0.6880, optimistic HK$0.9200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9983?
Central China New Life Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.6880 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 9983?
The PEG ratio of Central China New Life Ltd is 1.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
Balance-sheet figures for Central China New Life Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 8.5%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9983 from its 52-week high?
Central China New Life Ltd trades at HK$0.2500, about 75% below its 52-week high of HK$0.9900 and at the low of HK$0.2500 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.6880 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Central China New Life Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Central China New Life Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2500, calculated fair value HK$0.6880 (+175%), Quality Score 49/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9983 calculated?
We run Central China New Life Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.6880, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Central China New Life Ltd currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2500. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.6880, about +175% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Central China New Life Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6530). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Central China New Life Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
The market capitalisation of Central China New Life Ltd is HK$445M (≈ $56.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Central China New Life Ltd is 0.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
Earnings per share at Central China New Life Ltd are HK$0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
The dividend yield of Central China New Life Ltd is 12.0% (payout 37.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
The net margin of Central China New Life Ltd is 5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Central China New Life Ltd is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Central China New Life Ltd is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
The operating margin of Central China New Life Ltd is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
Revenue at Central China New Life Ltd is growing −9.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Central China New Life Ltd (9983)?
Earnings per share at Central China New Life Ltd are growing −54.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Central China New Life Ltd (9983) generate?
The free cash flow of Central China New Life Ltd is −HK$513M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Central China New Life Ltd (9983) hold?
Central China New Life Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$363M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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