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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (A1DM34) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$206B

AD Archer-Daniels-Midland Company A1DM34 · SA
PriceR$395.46
Fair ValueR$42.16
Upside-89.3%
Quality66/100
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Evidence: High Range R$28.52 – R$55.92

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price −7.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R$428.73 R$289.36 Fair Value R$42.16 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range R$289.36 – R$428.73 · fair‑value band R$28.52 – R$55.92 · the R$395.46 price screens above the R$42.16 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (A1DM34) currently trades at R$395.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$42.16 — implying the stock looks roughly 89.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company generated revenue of R$80.6B at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at R$7.4B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$28.52 (bear case) to R$55.92 (bull case); at R$395.46, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside — at -89%, A1DM34 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$80.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin 1.3%
Return on equity 4.8%
Free cash flow R$4.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 37.7
More key figures
Operating margin 1.3%
EPS (TTM) R$11.35
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +0.9%
Net debt R$7.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp. It is also involved in the grain sourcing, handling, and multimodal transportation network supporting import, export, and distribution activities; structured …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company reported revenue of R$80.3B in FY2025 versus R$102B in FY2022, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.1B in FY2025, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue −7.5%/yr
FY22 R$102B
FY23 R$93.9B
FY24 R$85.5B
FY25 R$80.3B
Net income −37.1%/yr
FY22 R$4.3B
FY23 R$3.5B
FY24 R$1.8B
FY25 R$1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/A1DM34

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Frequently asked questions

Is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (A1DM34) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$42.16 versus a price of R$395.46 — about −89% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of A1DM34?
Our model-based fair value for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is R$42.16 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$395.46.
What is the quality score of A1DM34?
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company has a Quality Score of 66/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (A1DM34)?
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$80.6B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of A1DM34?
The net profit margin of Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Archer-Daniels-Midland Company pay a dividend?
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.48% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.