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Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Akamai Technologies, Inc BRL 21.49, price BRL 49.10, upside -56.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · BR · ISIN US00971T1016

AT Broad data Sep 29, 2026

Akamai Technologies, Inc

A1KA34 · SA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value R$21.49 · Strongly overvalued (−56.2%)
!Quality 58/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +5.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 47/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$68.32 R$31.22 Fair Value R$21.49 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$31.22 – R$68.32 · fair‑value band R$11.58 – R$33.03 · the R$49.10 price screens above the R$21.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Akamai Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of security, delivery, and cloud computing solutions in the United States and internationally.

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Akamai Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of security, delivery, and cloud computing solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers security solutions that include web application and application programming interfaces (API) protection solutions, which protect web, API, and mobile app traffic from attacks; Bot & Abuse portfolio, which provides solutions to help customers protect against threats; full account lifecycle protections including the ability to defend against account takeover and opening abuse, adversarial bot protection, protection against credential stuffing, inventory scalping, and hoarding; and solutions designed to stop persistent scrapers from stealing content; API security, which discovers, audits, and monitors API; and microservice and application component protection that analyzes and protects application traffic that moves between application components. The company also offers cloud computing services, which include compute, storage, and cloud native and networking services; and Akamai App Platform, provides ready-to-run templates that address challenges in deploying, managing and scaling Kubernetes clusters at scale. In addition, it offers delivery solutions that include web and mobile performance solutions, which enables dynamic websites and applications, as well as global traffic management, site acceleration, application load balancing, large-scale load testing, and real-user monitoring; and media delivery solutions, including video streaming and video player services, game and software delivery, broadcast operations, authoritative domain name system, resolution, and data and analytics. Akamai Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34) currently trades at R$49.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$21.49, 56.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$31.45 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the R$49.10 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at R$5.39, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: R$11.58 (bear) to R$33.03 (bull), the price of R$49.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Akamai Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $4.2B in FY2025 versus $3.6B in FY2022, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $452M in FY2025, compounding −4.8%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap R$93.7B (≈ $17.9B) · P/E ratio 38.4 · P/S ratio 4.12 · EPS (TTM) R$1.28 · Net margin 10.7% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2% · Operating margin 10.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −56%, A1KA34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$11.58 Fair Value R$21.49 Bull R$33.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.9679 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$14.33 R$26.25 R$43.86 75
Growth DCF R$14.88 R$25.69 R$40.81 73
5Y EBITDA Exit R$28.29 R$53.36 R$82.12 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$14.33 R$26.25 R$43.86 75
Owner Earnings R$1.55 R$7.08 R$15.24 66
5Y Revenue Exit R$8.38 R$17.02 R$27.69 67
5Y EBITDA Exit R$28.29 R$53.36 R$82.12 70
5Y P/E Exit R$15.13 R$29.34 R$43.84 66
10Y Revenue Exit R$9.89 R$18.16 R$28.58 62
10Y EBITDA Exit R$22.92 R$43.06 R$69.19 64
10Y P/E Exit R$14.61 R$26.61 R$40.63 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$9.20 R$25.16 R$33.01 62
Lynch FV R$4.98 R$7.12 R$9.25 58
PEG = 1.0 R$4.98 R$7.12 R$9.25 55
EPV R$3.26 R$5.39 R$7.25 69
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$28.41 R$37.89 R$47.36 63
P/S Multiple R$17.25 R$23.00 R$28.75 58
P/B Multiple R$17.25 R$23.00 R$28.75 55
EV/EBIT R$21.04 R$31.23 R$41.41 65
EV/EBITDA R$42.04 R$59.22 R$76.41 67
EV/Revenue R$5.94 R$12.56 R$19.18 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$7.45 R$9.98 R$14.90 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$14.88 R$25.69 R$40.81 73
Rev-Margin DCF R$8.38 R$17.27 R$27.23 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$12.87 R$14.02 R$16.85 68
ROIC Compounder R$3.26 R$5.39 R$7.25 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$22.01 R$31.45 R$40.88 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 14%

A1KA34 screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Akamai Technologies, Inc · Fair Value
R$21.49 −56%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akamai Technologies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/A1KA34

Frequently asked questions

Is Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$21.49 versus a price of R$49.10, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of A1KA34?
Our model-based fair value for Akamai Technologies, Inc is R$21.49 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$49.10.
What is the quality score of A1KA34?
Akamai Technologies, Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$21.49 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$11.58, optimistic scenario R$33.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akamai Technologies, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$21.49, about −56% upside versus a price of R$49.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$11.58, optimistic scenario R$33.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
Akamai Technologies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akamai Technologies, Inc it is R$21.49 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$49.10. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Akamai Technologies, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, A1KA34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$49.10, fair value R$21.49, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of A1KA34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$49.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$21.49). For Akamai Technologies, Inc the two are R$27.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akamai Technologies, Inc worth?
The market values Akamai Technologies, Inc at about R$93.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$49.10; our models calculate a fair value of R$21.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about A1KA34?
Our models span a range for Akamai Technologies, Inc: cautious scenario R$11.58, base R$21.49, optimistic R$33.03 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$49.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is A1KA34 from its 52-week high?
Akamai Technologies, Inc trades at R$49.10, about 28% below its 52-week high of R$68.32 and 52% above the low of R$32.24 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$21.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Akamai Technologies, Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Akamai Technologies, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$49.10, calculated fair value R$21.49 (−56%), Quality Score 58/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of A1KA34 calculated?
We run Akamai Technologies, Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$21.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Akamai Technologies, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$49.10. Our model-based fair value is R$21.49, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Akamai Technologies, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$33.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (R$11.58 to R$33.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Akamai Technologies, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
The market capitalisation of Akamai Technologies, Inc is R$93.7B (≈ $17.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 38.4. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 4.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
Earnings per share at Akamai Technologies, Inc are R$1.28 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
The net margin of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 10.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 6.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
The operating margin of Akamai Technologies, Inc is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
Revenue at Akamai Technologies, Inc is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34)?
Earnings per share at Akamai Technologies, Inc are growing −13.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34) generate?
The free cash flow of Akamai Technologies, Inc is $699M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Akamai Technologies, Inc (A1KA34) carry?
The net debt of Akamai Technologies, Inc is $3.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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