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Arn Media Ltd (A1N) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Arn Media Ltd A$0.30, price A$0.28, upside +5.6%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · AU · ISIN AU0000279853

AM Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Arn Media Ltd

A1N · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.2956 · Fairly valued (+6%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +7.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·4.29% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 9 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.67 A$0.1800 Fair Value A$0.2956 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1800 – A$1.67 · fair‑value band A$0.2669 – A$0.2956 · the A$0.2800 price screens below the A$0.2956 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

ARN Media Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and entertainment company in Australia and Hong Kong. The company offers metropolitan and regional radio broadcasters and home to the national KIIS and GOLD networks, as well as the youth radio network CADA.

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ARN Media Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and entertainment company in Australia and Hong Kong. The company offers metropolitan and regional radio broadcasters and home to the national KIIS and GOLD networks, as well as the youth radio network CADA. It also provides digital music; on-demand radio; and streaming and podcasting platform under a long-term licence agreement with iHeart, as well as advertising services. The company was formerly known as HT&E Limited and changed its name to ARN Media Limited in May 2023. ARN Media Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

Arn Media Ltd (A1N) currently trades at A$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2956, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$1.69 per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the A$0.2800 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.1700, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.2669 (bear) to A$0.2956 (bull), the price of A$0.2800 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Arn Media Ltd reported revenue of A$285M in FY2025 versus A$225M in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$34.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$87.7M (≈ $61.5M) · P/E ratio 18.4 · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0152 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin −12.2% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside, at 6%, A1N screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.2669 Fair Value A$0.2956 Bull A$0.2956
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0059 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF A$2.11 A$2.70 A$3.67 79
Growth DCF A$2.16 A$2.73 A$3.56 78
5Y EBITDA Exit A$1.21 A$1.51 A$1.91 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$2.11 A$2.70 A$3.67 79
5Y Revenue Exit A$1.03 A$1.20 A$1.43 72
5Y EBITDA Exit A$1.21 A$1.51 A$1.91 74
10Y Revenue Exit A$1.53 A$1.69 A$1.83 66
10Y EBITDA Exit A$1.63 A$1.85 A$2.07 68
Earnings-Based
EPV n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0300 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.1600 A$0.1700 A$0.1900 67
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.1600 A$0.1900 A$0.2200 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT A$0.1600 A$0.2800 A$0.4000 64
EV/EBITDA A$0.5000 A$0.7300 A$0.9700 66
EV/Revenue A$0.0700 A$0.1900 A$0.3100 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.3500 A$0.4600 A$0.6900 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$2.16 A$2.73 A$3.56 78
Rev-Margin DCF A$1.03 A$1.26 A$1.59 72
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0300 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.4% (2020) → 3.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Broadcasting · 69 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.34× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.28× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)41 · sector 65
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)9 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)83 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)86 · sector 95

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $167.53 $184.28 +10%
SES S.A SESG €4.78 €10.23 +114%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEA €2.32 €5.62 +142%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.09 ¥1.72 −44%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹490.20 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 18.66 SAR 8.97 SAR −52%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 446.00 IDR 843.40 IDR +89%
Métropole Télévision S.A MMT €11.20 €16.02 +43%
TF1 SA TFI €6.48 €12.07 +86%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.07 ¥3.63 −49%

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Arn Media Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.2956 +5%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arn Media Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/A1N

Frequently asked questions

Is Arn Media Ltd (A1N) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2956 versus a price of A$0.2800, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of A1N?
Our model-based fair value for Arn Media Ltd is A$0.2956 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2800.
What is the quality score of A1N?
Arn Media Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2956 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.2669, optimistic scenario A$0.2956. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arn Media Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2956, about +6% upside versus a price of A$0.2800 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.2669, optimistic scenario A$0.2956. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Arn Media Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$285M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Arn Media Ltd pay a dividend?
Arn Media Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arn Media Ltd it is A$0.2956 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.2800. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arn Media Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, A1N trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2800, fair value A$0.2956, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of A1N?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2956). For Arn Media Ltd the two are A$0.0156 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arn Media Ltd worth?
The market values Arn Media Ltd at about A$87.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2800; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2956 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about A1N?
Our models span a range for Arn Media Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.2669, base A$0.2956, optimistic A$0.2956 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.2800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of A1N?
Arn Media Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.2956 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 5.8 (reported 18.4). Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arn Media Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.3%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is A1N from its 52-week high?
Arn Media Ltd trades at A$0.2800, about 51% below its 52-week high of A$0.5750 and 56% above the low of A$0.1800 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2956 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arn Media Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, SES S.A, MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V, Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arn Media Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.2800, calculated fair value A$0.2956 (+6%), Quality Score 46/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of A1N calculated?
We run Arn Media Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.2956, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Arn Media Ltd currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.2800. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2956, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arn Media Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.2669 to A$0.2956), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Arn Media Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The market capitalisation of Arn Media Ltd is A$87.7M (≈ $61.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arn Media Ltd is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Earnings per share at Arn Media Ltd are A$0.0152 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The dividend yield of Arn Media Ltd is 4.3% (payout 78.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The net margin of Arn Media Ltd is −12.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arn Media Ltd is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arn Media Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The operating margin of Arn Media Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Revenue at Arn Media Ltd is growing −13.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Earnings per share at Arn Media Ltd are growing −89.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arn Media Ltd (A1N) generate?
The free cash flow of Arn Media Ltd is A$90.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arn Media Ltd (A1N) carry?
The net debt of Arn Media Ltd is A$128M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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