Arn Media Ltd (A1N) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arn Media Ltd stock A$0.84, price A$0.28, upside +200.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1800 – A$1.67 · fair‑value band A$0.7526 – A$1.08 · the A$0.2800 price screens below the A$0.8400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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ARN Media Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and entertainment company in Australia and Hong Kong.
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The company offers metropolitan and regional radio broadcasters and home to the national KIIS and GOLD networks, as well as the youth radio network CADA. It also provides digital music; on-demand radio; and streaming and podcasting platform under a long-term licence agreement with iHeart, as well as advertising services.
The company was formerly known as HT&E Limited and changed its name to ARN Media Limited in May 2023. ARN Media Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Arn Media Ltd (A1N) currently trades at A$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.8400, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$1.47 per share, and 8 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$0.2800 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.3000, and 1 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.7526 (bear) to A$1.08 (bull), the price of A$0.2800 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Arn Media Ltd reported revenue of A$285M in FY2025 versus A$225M in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$34.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$85.1M (≈ $59.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.33 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin −12.2% · Return on equity −9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$264M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 200%, A1N screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.7526Fair Value A$0.8400BullA$1.08
Price A$0.2800 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.4% (2020) → 3.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Broadcasting · 62 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−9.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)6.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−14.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.39× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arn Media Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/A1N
Frequently asked questions
Is Arn Media Ltd (A1N) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.8400 versus a price of A$0.2800, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of A1N?
Our model-based fair value for Arn Media Ltd is A$0.8400 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2800.
What is the quality score of A1N?
Arn Media Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.8400 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.7526, optimistic scenario A$1.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arn Media Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.8400, about +200% upside versus a price of A$0.2800 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.7526, optimistic scenario A$1.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Arn Media Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$264M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Arn Media Ltd pay a dividend?
Arn Media Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.29% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Arn Media Ltd (A1N) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Arn Media Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.012 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 4, 2025. A dividend has been paid every year since 2017. Free cash flow covers the dividend 17.90 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arn Media Ltd it is A$0.8400 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$0.2800. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Arn Media Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, A1N trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2800, fair value A$0.8400, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of A1N?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.8400). For Arn Media Ltd the two are A$0.5600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arn Media Ltd worth?
The market values Arn Media Ltd at about A$85.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2800; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.8400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about A1N?
Our models span a range for Arn Media Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.7526, base A$0.8400, optimistic A$1.08 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price A$0.2800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arn Media Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −9.0%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is A1N from its 52-week high?
Arn Media Ltd trades at A$0.2800, about 48% below its 52-week high of A$0.5425 and 56% above the low of A$0.1800 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.8400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arn Media Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, Sun TV Network Limited, Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation, SES S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arn Media Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$0.2800, calculated fair value A$0.8400 (+200%), Quality Score 49/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of A1N calculated?
We run Arn Media Ltd through 12 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.8400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Arn Media Ltd currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was A$0.2800. Our model-based fair value is A$0.8400, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arn Media Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (49/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.7526). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Arn Media Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The market capitalisation of Arn Media Ltd is A$85.1M (≈ $59.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arn Media Ltd is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The dividend yield of Arn Media Ltd is 4.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The net margin of Arn Media Ltd is −12.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arn Media Ltd is −9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arn Media Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
The operating margin of Arn Media Ltd is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Revenue at Arn Media Ltd is growing −14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arn Media Ltd (A1N)?
Earnings per share at Arn Media Ltd are growing −89.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arn Media Ltd (A1N) generate?
The free cash flow of Arn Media Ltd is A$67.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arn Media Ltd (A1N) carry?
The net debt of Arn Media Ltd is A$128M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026