ARN Media Limited (A1N) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · AU · Market cap A$75.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from A$0.2759 to A$0.5300 (+92.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +2.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 116% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.2900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.2900 to A$0.5300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1800 – A$1.67 · fair‑value band A$0.2900 – A$0.5300 · the A$0.2450 price screens below the A$0.5300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
ARN Media Limited (A1N) currently trades at A$0.2450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5300, implying the stock looks roughly 116.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ARN Media Limited generated revenue of A$285M at a net margin of -12.2%. Revenue declined 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. Net debt stands at A$128M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.2900 (bear case) to A$0.5300 (bull case); at A$0.2450, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 116%, A1N screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$1.53) versus Earnings-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ARN Media Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and entertainment company in Australia and Hong Kong. The company offers metropolitan and regional radio broadcasters and home to the national KIIS and GOLD networks, as well as the youth radio network CADA.
Full company description
ARN Media Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and entertainment company in Australia and Hong Kong. The company offers metropolitan and regional radio broadcasters and home to the national KIIS and GOLD networks, as well as the youth radio network CADA. It also provides digital music; on-demand radio; and streaming and podcasting platform under a long-term licence agreement with iHeart, as well as advertising services. The company was formerly known as HT&E Limited and changed its name to ARN Media Limited in May 2023. ARN Media Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ARN Media Limited reported revenue of A$285M in FY2025 versus A$225M in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$34.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Broadcasting · 69 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nexstar Media Group NXST | $183.71 | $78.52 | -57% |
| SES S.A SESG | €7.46 | €15.46 | +107% |
| PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK | 505.00 IDR | 1,094 IDR | +117% |
| MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB | €3.64 | €5.38 | +48% |
| Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 | ¥3.07 | ¥1.14 | -63% |
| Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV | ₹489.20 | ₹586.58 | +20% |
| MBC Group 4072 | 20.06 SAR | 19.56 SAR | -2% |
| Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 | ¥7.13 | ¥3.64 | -49% |
| PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA | 206.00 IDR | 229.91 IDR | +12% |
| Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL | ₹92.61 | ₹53.22 | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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