Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Surya Citra Media Tbk IDR 182, price IDR 179, upside +1.5%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 91.36 IDR – 423.88 IDR · fair‑value band 112.98 IDR – 258.39 IDR · the 179.00 IDR price screens below the 181.76 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides multimedia services in Indonesia. It operates in four segments: Television and Other Multimedia Platform, Digital, Content Creation and Production Support, and Marketing Services and Enabler. The company owns SCTV, Indosiar, and Mentari TV television channels.
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PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides multimedia services in Indonesia. It operates in four segments: Television and Other Multimedia Platform, Digital, Content Creation and Production Support, and Marketing Services and Enabler. The company owns SCTV, Indosiar, and Mentari TV television channels. It also produces TV content and movies, and drama series of various genre; in-house content for national FTAs; and provides impresario, entertainment, online, printed, and electronic media, as well as artist management. In addition, it engages in the content production, studios and facility management, content library monetization, and content distribution; distribution and marketing activities; program production and creation services and other related business activities; movie production and distribution; film and video recording; and trading activities. Further, it offers information technology, advertising, promotion and marketing, general telecommunication, entertainment, management agency and production, information technology consultancy, mass media, and audio recording services. Additionally, the company provides multiplexing services; ad based video-on-demand and subscription video-on-demand; and leases and manages broadcast and movie production equipment and facilities. The company was formerly known as PT Cipta Aneka Selaras and changed its name to PT Surya Citra Media Tbk in January 2002. PT Surya Citra Media Tbk was founded in 1999 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA) currently trades at 179.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 181.76 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 1.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 345.09 IDR per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the 179.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 68.95 IDR, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 112.98 IDR (bear) to 258.39 IDR (bull), the price of 179.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Surya Citra Media Tbk reported revenue of 6.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 5.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 771B IDR in FY2025, compounding −13.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 13.1T IDR (≈ $1.3B) · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 1.38 · EPS (TTM) 14.56 IDR · Dividend yield 13.1% · Net margin 11.2% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside, at 2%, SCMA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 112.98 IDRFair Value 181.76 IDRBull 258.39 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (10.65 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)13.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs −5%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 13%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Broadcasting · 69 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)13.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Surya Citra Media Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCMA
Frequently asked questions
Is Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 181.76 IDR versus a price of 179.00 IDR, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SCMA?
Our model-based fair value for Surya Citra Media Tbk is 181.76 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 179.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SCMA?
Surya Citra Media Tbk has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 181.76 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 112.98 IDR, optimistic scenario 258.39 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Surya Citra Media Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 181.76 IDR, about +2% upside versus a price of 179.00 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 112.98 IDR, optimistic scenario 258.39 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
Surya Citra Media Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Surya Citra Media Tbk pay a dividend?
Surya Citra Media Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 13.10% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Surya Citra Media Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +19.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCMA use?
Our models discount Surya Citra Media Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.07, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Surya Citra Media Tbk that is +19.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Surya Citra Media Tbk grew +6.2 % a year. The price currently implies +19.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Surya Citra Media Tbk (+19.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.45 %: that much free cash flow Surya Citra Media Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Surya Citra Media Tbk it is 181.76 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 179.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Surya Citra Media Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SCMA trades below its calculated fair value: price 179.00 IDR, fair value 181.76 IDR, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCMA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (179.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (181.76 IDR). For Surya Citra Media Tbk the two are 2.76 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Surya Citra Media Tbk worth?
The market values Surya Citra Media Tbk at about 13.1T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 179.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 181.76 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCMA?
Our models span a range for Surya Citra Media Tbk: cautious scenario 112.98 IDR, base 181.76 IDR, optimistic 258.39 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 179.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SCMA?
Surya Citra Media Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 181.76 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 2.0, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
What is the PEG ratio of SCMA?
The PEG ratio of Surya Citra Media Tbk is 1.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Surya Citra Media Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCMA from its 52-week high?
Surya Citra Media Tbk trades at 179.00 IDR, about 58% below its 52-week high of 423.88 IDR and 1% above the low of 177.00 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 181.76 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Surya Citra Media Tbk?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, SES S.A, PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries,, MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Surya Citra Media Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 179.00 IDR, calculated fair value 181.76 IDR (+2%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCMA calculated?
We run Surya Citra Media Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 181.76 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Surya Citra Media Tbk currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 179.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 181.76 IDR, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Surya Citra Media Tbk right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (112.98 IDR to 258.39 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA) come from?
Earnings per share at Surya Citra Media Tbk grew −8.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.0 %, EBIT margin −16.5 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Surya Citra Media Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
The market capitalisation of Surya Citra Media Tbk is 13.1T IDR (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Surya Citra Media Tbk is 1.38 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
Earnings per share at Surya Citra Media Tbk are 14.56 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
The dividend yield of Surya Citra Media Tbk is 13.1% (payout 161%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
The net margin of Surya Citra Media Tbk is 11.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Surya Citra Media Tbk is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Surya Citra Media Tbk is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
The operating margin of Surya Citra Media Tbk is 21.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
Revenue at Surya Citra Media Tbk is growing +7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA)?
Earnings per share at Surya Citra Media Tbk are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA) hold?
Surya Citra Media Tbk holds more cash than debt, 1.2T IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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