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PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, (SCMA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · ID · Market cap 13.1T IDR

PS PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA · JK
Price204.00 IDR
Fair Value229.91 IDR
Upside+12.7%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: Medium Range 137.74 IDR – 294.23 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −2.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (137.74 IDR to 294.23 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from 137.74 IDR (bear) to 294.23 IDR (bull), base 229.91 IDR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

423.88 IDR 91.36 IDR Fair Value 229.91 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 91.36 IDR – 423.88 IDR · fair‑value band 137.74 IDR – 294.23 IDR · the 204.00 IDR price screens below the 229.91 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, (SCMA) currently trades at 204.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 229.91 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 12.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, generated revenue of 7.0T IDR at a net margin of 13.2%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 137.74 IDR (bear case) to 294.23 IDR (bull case); at 204.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 13%, SCMA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 97.60 IDR 150.28 IDR 239.86 IDR 80
Residual Income 96.79 IDR 112.66 IDR 190.30 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 126.32 IDR 204.95 IDR 299.04 IDR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 96.66 IDR 149.58 IDR 238.36 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 192.09 IDR 310.29 IDR 508.59 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 126.32 IDR 206.76 IDR 312.97 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 146.25 IDR 245.37 IDR 365.06 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 166.59 IDR 284.78 IDR 413.83 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 111.47 IDR 184.55 IDR 289.69 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 128.82 IDR 212.51 IDR 331.74 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 142.26 IDR 241.05 IDR 371.11 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 82.56 IDR 301.53 IDR 406.93 IDR 54
Lynch FV 71.81 IDR 102.59 IDR 133.37 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 71.81 IDR 102.59 IDR 133.37 IDR 46
EPV 116.86 IDR 134.08 IDR 149.38 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 259.56 IDR 566.67 IDR 953.44 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 259.56 IDR 464.19 IDR 590.56 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 200.33 IDR 267.10 IDR 333.88 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 154.80 IDR 206.40 IDR 258.00 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 154.80 IDR 206.40 IDR 258.00 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 184.60 IDR 239.70 IDR 294.80 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 186.27 IDR 241.93 IDR 297.59 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 144.65 IDR 198.37 IDR 252.10 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 51.45 IDR 68.95 IDR 102.91 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 97.60 IDR 150.28 IDR 239.86 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 126.32 IDR 204.95 IDR 299.04 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 96.79 IDR 112.66 IDR 190.30 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 121.91 IDR 156.75 IDR 205.47 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 139.14 IDR 198.76 IDR 258.39 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (464.19 IDR) versus Asset-Based (68.95 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.0T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3%
Net margin 13.2%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow 392B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 12.4
More key figures
Operating margin 21.0%
EPS (TTM) 14.57 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +100%
Net cash 1.2T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides multimedia services in Indonesia. It operates in four segments: Television and Other Multimedia Platform, Digital, Content Creation and Production Support, and Marketing Services and Enabler. The company owns SCTV, Indosiar, and Mentari TV television channels.

Full company description

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides multimedia services in Indonesia. It operates in four segments: Television and Other Multimedia Platform, Digital, Content Creation and Production Support, and Marketing Services and Enabler. The company owns SCTV, Indosiar, and Mentari TV television channels. It also produces TV content and movies, and drama series of various genre; in-house content for national FTAs; and provides impresario, entertainment, online, printed, and electronic media, as well as artist management. In addition, it engages in the content production, studios and facility management, content library monetization, and content distribution; distribution and marketing activities; program production and creation services and other related business activities; movie production and distribution; film and video recording; and trading activities. Further, it offers information technology, advertising, promotion and marketing, general telecommunication, entertainment, management agency and production, information technology consultancy, mass media, and audio recording services. Additionally, the company provides multiplexing services; ad based video-on-demand and subscription video-on-demand; and leases and manages broadcast and movie production equipment and facilities. The company was formerly known as PT Cipta Aneka Selaras and changed its name to PT Surya Citra Media Tbk in January 2002. PT Surya Citra Media Tbk was founded in 1999 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, reported revenue of 6.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 5.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 771B IDR in FY2025, compounding −13.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.9T IDR
Latest YoY
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+9.8%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 5.9T IDR
FY22 7.1T IDR
FY23 6.5T IDR
FY24 7.1T IDR
FY25 6.9T IDR
Net income −13.0%/yr
FY21 1.3T IDR
FY22 846B IDR
FY23 335B IDR
FY24 595B IDR
FY25 771B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCMA

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 69 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.22× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 50 · sector 36
FUTURE 37 · sector 0
PAST 46 · sector 3
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $183.71 $78.52 -57%
SES S.A SESG €7.46 €15.46 +107%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 505.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +117%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.64 €5.38 +48%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.07 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹489.20 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.06 SAR 19.56 SAR -2%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.13 ¥3.64 -49%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL ₹92.61 ₹53.22 -43%
Sinclair, Inc SBGI $15.42 $4.29 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, (SCMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 229.91 IDR versus a price of 204.00 IDR, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SCMA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, is 229.91 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 204.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SCMA?
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, (SCMA)?
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCMA?
The net profit margin of PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, is about 13.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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