ATA Creativity Global, (AACG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $43.2M
ATA Creativity Global,
AACG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $0.4400 to $1.05 (+138.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −10.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 22% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.5600 to $1.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5000 – $4.13 · fair‑value band $0.5600 – $1.52 · the $0.8602 price screens below the $1.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
ATA Creativity Global, (AACG) currently trades at $0.8602, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.05, implying the stock looks roughly 22.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ATA Creativity Global, generated revenue of $527M at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue declined 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $39.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.5600 (bear case) to $1.52 (bull case); at $0.8602, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 22%, AACG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($5.02) versus Asset-Based ($0.5000). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ATA Creativity Global, together with its subsidiaries, provides educational services in China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Overseas Art Study Services, Other Educational Services, and Other Services.
Full company description
ATA Creativity Global, together with its subsidiaries, provides educational services in China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Overseas Art Study Services, Other Educational Services, and Other Services. It offers portfolio training services, including portfolio training courses and specializations; academic educational learning, workshop experience, themed educational travel, and other research-based learning services; art-related overseas study counselling services, such as background development, university and program selection, paper writing, interview simulation, and application preparation; and other educational services, as well as online courses. The company serves high school and undergraduate students. It markets its services through partnership with sales channels, internet and mobile advertisements, word of mouth referral, and marketing events and activities. The company was formerly known as ATA Inc. and changed its name to ATA Creativity Global in September 2019. ATA Creativity Global was founded in 1999 and is based in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ATA Creativity Global, reported revenue of $268M in FY2025 versus $202M in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$48.0M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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