Antilles Gold Limited (AAU) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$23.0M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated yesterday
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0053). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0030 – A$0.0900 · the A$0.0070 price screens above the A$0.0053 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Antilles Gold Limited (AAU) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0053, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$188K. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$3.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -24%, AAU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$0.0200) versus Earnings-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Antilles Gold Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Cuba. The company explores for gold, silver, antimony, and copper deposits. It holds interests in the La Demajagua open pit mine located on the Isle of Youth, southwest Cuba; and Nueva Sabana open pit mine situated in central Cuba.
Full company description
Antilles Gold Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Cuba. The company explores for gold, silver, antimony, and copper deposits. It holds interests in the La Demajagua open pit mine located on the Isle of Youth, southwest Cuba; and Nueva Sabana open pit mine situated in central Cuba. The company was formerly known as PanTerra Gold Limited and changed its name to Antilles Gold Limited in November 2020. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Bowral, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Antilles Gold Limited reported revenue of A$188K in FY2025 versus A$5.5M in FY2020, a compound −49.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.1M in FY2025.
AAU screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $112.82 | +1% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$257.82 | C$154.33 | -40% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$187.84 | C$52.47 | -72% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$334.84 | C$97.76 | -71% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | -9% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $40.73 | $59.06 | +45% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$135.60 | HK$96.81 | -29% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $27.48 | $34.62 | +26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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