Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation
Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free
Discover now →
Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Advantage Energy Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
- Add to watchlist
AE
Some data
Sep 13, 2026
Some data
Sep 13, 2026
Advantage Energy Ltd
AAVVF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $3.26 · Strongly overvalued (−57%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +21.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Advantage Energy Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.
Watch for free
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.32 – $9.25 · fair‑value band $2.39 – $4.07 · the $7.61 price screens above the $3.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Advantage Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploitation, development, and production natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the Province of Alberta, Canada. Advantage Energy Ltd. was formerly known as Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. and changed its name to Advantage Energy Ltd. in May 2021.
Show more
Advantage Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploitation, development, and production natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the Province of Alberta, Canada. Advantage Energy Ltd. was formerly known as Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. and changed its name to Advantage Energy Ltd. in May 2021. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF) currently trades at $7.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.26, implying the stock looks roughly 133.4% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $6.75 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the $7.61 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.7700, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.39 (bear) to $4.07 (bull), the price of $7.61 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Advantage Energy Ltd reported revenue of C$645M in FY2025 versus C$492M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$53.0M in FY2025, compounding −40.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.3B · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.33 · EPS (TTM) $0.4700 · Net margin 8.2% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5% · Operating margin 28.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −57%, AAVVF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.39
Fair Value $3.26
Bull $4.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3309 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$6.88
$6.53
$5.12
76
EPV
$0.3100
$0.7700
$1.16
69
ROIC Compounder
$0.3100
$0.7700
$1.16
68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$2.15
$7.45
$10.00
64
Lynch FV
$1.73
$2.46
$3.20
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.73
$2.46
$3.20
57
EPV
$0.3100
$0.7700
$1.16
69
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$3.32
$4.42
$5.53
63
P/S Multiple
$3.46
$4.62
$5.77
58
P/B Multiple
$4.03
$5.37
$6.71
55
EV/EBIT
$1.20
$2.63
$4.07
62
EV/EBITDA
$5.63
$8.54
$11.45
66
EV/Revenue
$0.1200
$1.51
$2.89
47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$5.04
$6.75
$10.08
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$6.88
$6.53
$5.12
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.3100
$0.7700
$1.16
68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$3.02
$4.32
$5.61
67
Notify me when AAVVF reaches fair value
Put AAVVF on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
46/100
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Profitability
21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.4%
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−31.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−31.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−32% vs 11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 15%
AAVVF screens 133% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Compare Advantage Energy Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 302 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥33.91 | ¥37.30 | +10% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $137.35 | $90.15 | −34% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | C$69.32 | C$76.25 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $147.36 | $165.02 | +12% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $61.46 | $30.06 | −51% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $204.97 | $242.64 | +18% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $50.23 | $55.25 | +10% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$32.86 | A$21.75 | −34% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $54.07 | $59.48 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $369.10 | $318.08 | −14% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
All undervalued stocks
TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
🥇 Backtested Best
🏆 Big Names
⭐ Top Rated
💎 Quality on Sale
🚀 Profitable Growth
🧊 Quality Compounders
💵 Dividend Stars
📈 Strong Momentum
📉 Fallen Angels
⚖️ Deeply Undervalued
🔍 Small-Cap Gems
🏰 Moat at a Fair Price
💼 Insider Buying
🎩 Buffett-Style Quality
📚 Peter Lynch GARP
🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula
🛡️ Graham Defensive
Discover tools
Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector
Compare toolTwo stocks side by side
Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark
Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
Frequently asked questions
Is Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.26 versus a price of $7.61, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AAVVF?
Our model-based fair value for Advantage Energy Ltd is $3.26 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.61.
What is the quality score of AAVVF?
Advantage Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.26 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.39, optimistic scenario $4.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advantage Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.26, about −57% upside versus a price of $7.61 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.39, optimistic scenario $4.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
Advantage Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $637M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advantage Energy Ltd it is $3.26 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $7.61. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advantage Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AAVVF trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.61, fair value $3.26, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AAVVF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.26). For Advantage Energy Ltd the two are $4.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advantage Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Advantage Energy Ltd at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $7.61; our models calculate a fair value of $3.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AAVVF?
Our models span a range for Advantage Energy Ltd: cautious scenario $2.39, base $3.26, optimistic $4.07 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $7.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AAVVF?
Advantage Energy Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 60.1, P/B 0.7, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
What is the PEG ratio of AAVVF?
The PEG ratio of Advantage Energy Ltd is 60.11 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advantage Energy Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AAVVF from its 52-week high?
Advantage Energy Ltd trades at $7.61, about 20% below its 52-week high of $9.50 and 13% above the low of $6.72 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advantage Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advantage Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $7.61, calculated fair value $3.26 (−57%), Quality Score 46/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AAVVF calculated?
We run Advantage Energy Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Advantage Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Advantage Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF) come from?
Earnings per share at Advantage Energy Ltd grew +13.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.4 %, EBIT margin −2.3 %, tax rate +3.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Advantage Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
The market capitalisation of Advantage Energy Ltd is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advantage Energy Ltd is 1.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
Earnings per share at Advantage Energy Ltd are $0.4700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
The net margin of Advantage Energy Ltd is 8.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advantage Energy Ltd is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advantage Energy Ltd is 10.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
The operating margin of Advantage Energy Ltd is 28.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
Revenue at Advantage Energy Ltd is growing −4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF)?
Earnings per share at Advantage Energy Ltd are growing −41.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF) generate?
The free cash flow of Advantage Energy Ltd is −$33.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Advantage Energy Ltd (AAVVF) carry?
The net debt of Advantage Energy Ltd is $862M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Advantage Energy Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Advantage Energy Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.