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Able View Global Inc (ABLV) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $54.8M

AV Able View Global Inc logo Able View Global Inc ABLV · US
Price$0.8210
Fair Value$0.2550
Upside-68.9%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (0/11)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: High Range $0.1955 – $0.3230 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 18 valuation models · updated 36 days ago

Share price −24.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3230). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$12.31 $0.5600 Fair Value $0.2550 Sep 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range $0.5600 – $12.31 · fair‑value band $0.1955 – $0.3230 · the $0.8210 price screens above the $0.2550 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Able View Global Inc (ABLV) currently trades at $0.8210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2550, implying the stock looks roughly 68.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Able View Global Inc generated revenue of $105M at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -37.2%. Net debt stands at $2.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1955 (bear case) to $0.3230 (bull case); at $0.8210, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -69%, ABLV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.2300 $0.2600 $0.3000 80
Residual Income $0.0900 $0.1000 $0.1100 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2400 $0.3000 $0.3800 74
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.2300 $0.2600 $0.3100 38
Owner Earnings $0.2000 $0.2300 $0.2700 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2400 $0.3000 $0.3900 39
5Y P/E Exit $0.2500 $0.3200 $0.4100 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2300 $0.2700 $0.3100 36
10Y P/E Exit $0.2400 $0.2800 $0.3200 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0800 $0.1000 $0.1100 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.2000 $0.2700 $0.3400 63
P/S Multiple $0.1600 $0.2100 $0.2600 58
P/B Multiple $0.1600 $0.2100 $0.2600 55
EV/Revenue $0.2600 $0.3300 $0.4000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2300 $0.2600 $0.3000 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2400 $0.3000 $0.3800 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0900 $0.1000 $0.1100 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.1400 $0.2000 $0.2700 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.2700) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $105M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.6%
Net margin 0.8%
Return on equity -37.2%
Free cash flow $1.2M FY2025
Operating margin -3.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) +0.1%
Net debt $2.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 3
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Able View Global Inc. operates as a brand management partner of beauty and personal care brands in China. The company offers brand management services, such as strategy, branding, digital and social marketing, omni-channel sales, customer services, overseas logistics, and warehouse and fulfilment.

Full company description

Able View Global Inc. operates as a brand management partner of beauty and personal care brands in China. The company offers brand management services, such as strategy, branding, digital and social marketing, omni-channel sales, customer services, overseas logistics, and warehouse and fulfilment. It also imports and sells cosmetics and other beauty products to e-commerce platforms and distributors; and operates online stores. In addition, the company involved in the marketing and promotion of cosmetics products, warehouse management, logistics of products, and customer relationship services. Able View Global Inc. was founded in 2022 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Able View Global Inc reported revenue of $105M in FY2025 versus $117M in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $820K in FY2025, compounding −44.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$105M
Latest YoY
−18.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Revenue −2.7%/yr
FY21 $117M
FY22 $145M
FY23 $149M
FY24 $129M
FY25 $105M
Net income −44.6%/yr
FY21 $8.7M
FY22 $7.9M
FY23 $9.8M
FY24 −$7.4M
FY25 $820K

ABLV screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Able View Global Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABLV

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.28× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.52× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 46.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 86 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Able View Global Inc (ABLV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2550 versus a price of $0.8210, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABLV?
Our model-based fair value for Able View Global Inc is $0.2550 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.8210.
What is the quality score of ABLV?
Able View Global Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Able View Global Inc (ABLV)?
Able View Global Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $105M (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABLV?
The net profit margin of Able View Global Inc is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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