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PORR AG (ABS2) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of PORR AG €61.78, price €31.80, upside +94.3%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
PORR AG
ABS2 · XETRAClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value €61.78 · Strongly undervalued (+94.3%)
!Quality 52/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.3% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 36/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €7.71 – €46.35 · fair‑value band €45.88 – €77.67 · the €31.80 price screens below the €61.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
PORR AG operates as a construction company in Austria, Germany, Poland, the Czech Republic, Italy, Romania, Switzerland, Serbia, Great Britain, Slovakia, Norway, Belgium, and internationally.
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PORR AG operates as a construction company in Austria, Germany, Poland, the Czech Republic, Italy, Romania, Switzerland, Serbia, Great Britain, Slovakia, Norway, Belgium, and internationally. It offers building construction services for residential construction, office buildings, hotels, healthcare facilities, revitalisation, industrial construction, educational institutions, shopping centers, and stadium construction. The company also provides civil engineering and infrastructure construction services in the fields of railway construction, civil engineering, bridge construction, rock technology, structural engineering, power plant construction, special civil engineering, road construction, tunneling, hydraulic engineering and harbours, pipeline construction, and project management. In addition, it involved in environmental activities, including demolition, waste management, remediation of contaminated sites, asbestos and hazardous substance removal, landfill operation, earthworks, and gravels. Further, the company provides design and engineering services comprising building information modeling, fire protection, general planning, architecture, construction preparation and building certification, LEAN management, construction supervision, technical building services planning, and structural design. Additionally, it offers sealing, asphalt and concrete production, concrete slab construction, facility management, facade construction, slab tracks, airport construction, mastic asphalt, healthcare, high-alpine construction, high-rise construction, timber construction, public private partnerships, property management, and steel construction services. PORR AG was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Vienna, Austria.
Stock analysis
PORR AG (ABS2) currently trades at €31.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €61.78, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €89.00 per share, and 17 of the 23 models we run sit above the €31.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €13.11, and 6 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €45.88 (bear) to €77.67 (bull), the price of €31.80 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PORR AG reported revenue of €6.3B in FY2025 versus €5.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was €130M in FY2025, compounding +24.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €1.5B · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) €3.00 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 14.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 94%, ABS2 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €45.88
Fair Value €61.78
Bull €77.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.47 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
€71.70
€96.59
€129.13
81
Growth DCF
€72.25
€94.11
€121.04
80
Owner Earnings
€63.20
€84.52
€112.40
77
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€71.70
€96.59
€129.13
81
Owner Earnings
€63.20
€84.52
€112.40
77
5Y Revenue Exit
€63.17
€88.40
€119.79
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
€61.37
€85.09
€111.89
76
5Y P/E Exit
€63.75
€89.48
€115.76
72
10Y Revenue Exit
€64.89
€87.24
€115.80
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
€65.04
€85.15
€110.37
69
10Y P/E Exit
€66.42
€87.92
€113.03
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€22.55
€65.61
€86.66
65
Lynch FV
€13.62
€19.46
€25.30
61
PEG = 1.0
€13.62
€19.46
€25.30
57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€9.95
€17.92
€24.67
68
DDM Multi-Stage
€9.95
€15.04
€19.15
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€52.22
€69.62
€87.03
63
P/S Multiple
€42.27
€56.36
€70.45
58
P/B Multiple
€42.27
€56.36
€70.45
55
EV/EBITDA
€60.03
€75.92
€91.82
67
EV/Revenue
€60.04
€80.48
€100.92
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€9.78
€13.11
€19.56
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€72.25
€94.11
€121.04
80
Rev-Margin DCF
€63.17
€89.00
€118.35
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€19.32
€23.95
€33.19
76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
€42.21
€60.30
€78.39
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
52/100
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Profitability
45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.2% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+20.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21.0% vs 5.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 0%
2025 sits 52% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−19.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.8% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.0%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 779 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $642.51 | $162.77 | −75% |
| Vinci SA DG | €105.60 | €186.22 | +76% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,658 | $1,116 | −33% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is PORR AG (ABS2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €61.78 versus a price of €31.80, about +94% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ABS2?
Our model-based fair value for PORR AG is €61.78 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €31.80.
What is the quality score of ABS2?
PORR AG has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PORR AG (ABS2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €61.78 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €45.88, optimistic scenario €77.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PORR AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €61.78, about +94% upside versus a price of €31.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €45.88, optimistic scenario €77.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PORR AG (ABS2)?
PORR AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PORR AG pay a dividend?
PORR AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PORR AG (ABS2)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PORR AG would have to grow free cash flow by -19.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ABS2 use?
Our models discount PORR AG at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PORR AG that is -19.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PORR AG (ABS2) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PORR AG grew +6.2 % a year. The price currently implies -19.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PORR AG (ABS2) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PORR AG (-19.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PORR AG (ABS2)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.75 %: that much free cash flow PORR AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PORR AG (ABS2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PORR AG it is €61.78 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €31.80. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PORR AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ABS2 trades below its calculated fair value: price €31.80, fair value €61.78, a gap of about +94% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABS2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€31.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€61.78). For PORR AG the two are €29.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PORR AG worth?
The market values PORR AG at about €1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €31.80; our models calculate a fair value of €61.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABS2?
Our models span a range for PORR AG: cautious scenario €45.88, base €61.78, optimistic €77.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €31.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ABS2?
PORR AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €61.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of PORR AG (ABS2)?
Balance-sheet figures for PORR AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.7%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABS2 from its 52-week high?
PORR AG trades at €31.80, about 31% below its 52-week high of €46.35 and 28% above the low of €24.76 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €61.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PORR AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PORR AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €31.80, calculated fair value €61.78 (+94%), Quality Score 52/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABS2 calculated?
We run PORR AG through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €61.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. PORR AG currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PORR AG (ABS2)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €31.80. Our model-based fair value is €61.78, about +94% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PORR AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€45.88). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of PORR AG (ABS2) come from?
Earnings per share at PORR AG grew +3.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin +6.2 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of PORR AG
How large is the market capitalisation of PORR AG (ABS2)?
The market capitalisation of PORR AG is €1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PORR AG (ABS2)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PORR AG is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PORR AG (ABS2)?
Earnings per share at PORR AG are €3.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PORR AG (ABS2)?
The dividend yield of PORR AG is 3.3% (payout 35.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PORR AG (ABS2)?
The net margin of PORR AG is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PORR AG (ABS2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PORR AG is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PORR AG (ABS2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PORR AG is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PORR AG (ABS2)?
The operating margin of PORR AG is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PORR AG (ABS2)?
Revenue at PORR AG is growing +5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PORR AG (ABS2)?
Earnings per share at PORR AG are growing +35.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PORR AG (ABS2) carry?
The net debt of PORR AG is €70.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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