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Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA €0.25, price €1.00, upside -75.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · IT · ISIN IT0005244030

AB Some data Sep 23, 2026

Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA

ABTG · MI

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €0.2500 · Strongly overvalued (−75%)
!Quality 46/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€3.85 €1.00 Fair Value €0.2500 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.00 – €3.85 · fair‑value band €0.2000 – €0.3000 · the €1.00 price screens above the €0.2500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Alfio Bardolla Training Group S.p.A. operates as a personal financial training company in Italy.

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Alfio Bardolla Training Group S.p.A. operates as a personal financial training company in Italy. The company offers training courses in real estate, such as investing in real estate, real estate auctions, real estate excerpts, airbnb business, investing in Dubai, real estate marketing, and NPLs; real estate coaching services; and Real Estate Pro, a tool to find apartments at a discount or auction. It also provides training courses in trading, including forex trading, crypto trading, commodity spread trading, options trading, ETFs, and scalping; and forex trading diary, options trading diary, crypto trading diary, and commodity trading diary. In addition, the company offers business training courses comprising business revolution and second in command; and business and mindset coaching services. Further, it provides money mindset, color negotiation, and philosophy of money; Passion Money Planner; books related to mindset; and experiences. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Milan, Italy.

Stock analysis

Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG) currently trades at €1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2500, implying the stock looks roughly 300.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €1.47 per share, and 5 of the 8 models we run sit above the €1.00 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.2900, and 3 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €0.2000 (bear) to €0.3000 (bull), the price of €1.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA reported revenue of €19.7M in FY2025 versus €13.7M in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€108K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €6.4M · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0200 · Dividend yield 6.1% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin −10.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −75%, ABTG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.2000 Fair Value €0.2500 Bull €0.3000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV €0.2300 €0.2900 €0.3500 74
ROIC Compounder €0.2300 €0.2900 €0.3500 72
Gordon GGM €0.6800 €1.35 €2.04 67
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV €0.2300 €0.2900 €0.3500 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.6800 €1.35 €2.04 67
DDM Multi-Stage €0.6800 €1.17 €1.42 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT €1.05 €1.47 €1.88 66
EV/EBITDA €2.85 €3.86 €4.87 67
EV/Revenue €0.6500 €1.01 €1.36 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.4100 €0.5500 €0.8200 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €0.2300 €0.2900 €0.3500 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−57.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.0% (2020) → 2.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ABTG screens 300% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 142 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.34× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)83 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU $56.08 $63.95 +14%
TAL Education Group TAL $11.87 $33.07 +179%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.13 $39.95 +11%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $146.78 $161.46 +10%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹136.11 ₹32.25 −76%
Covista Inc CVSA $123.00 $135.45 +10%
Stride, Inc LRN $78.69 $140.28 +78%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $20.41 $21.53 +5%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.23 $41.28 +32%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $76.47 $105.48 +38%

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€0.2500 −300%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABTG

Frequently asked questions

Is Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2500 versus a price of €1.00, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABTG?
Our model-based fair value for Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is €0.2500 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.00.
What is the quality score of ABTG?
Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.2500 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.2000, optimistic scenario €0.3000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.2500, about −75% upside versus a price of €1.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.2000, optimistic scenario €0.3000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA pay a dividend?
Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA it is €0.2500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1.00. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ABTG trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.00, fair value €0.2500, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABTG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.2500). For Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA the two are €0.7500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA worth?
The market values Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA at about €6.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1.00; our models calculate a fair value of €0.2500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABTG?
Our models span a range for Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA: cautious scenario €0.2000, base €0.2500, optimistic €0.3000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.1%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABTG from its 52-week high?
Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA trades at €1.00, about 51% below its 52-week high of €2.03 and at the low of €1.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.2500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Grand Canyon Education, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1.00, calculated fair value €0.2500 (−75%), Quality Score 46/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABTG calculated?
We run Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.2500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1.00. Our model-based fair value is €0.2500, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.3000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA

How large is the market capitalisation of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
The market capitalisation of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is €6.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
Earnings per share at Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA are €−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
The dividend yield of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is 6.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
The net margin of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
The operating margin of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is −10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
Revenue at Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is growing −15.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG)?
Earnings per share at Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA are growing −16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG) generate?
The free cash flow of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is −€2.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA (ABTG) carry?
The net debt of Alfio Bardolla Training Group SpA is €1.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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