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Accelleron Industries AG (ACLLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $9.5B

AI Accelleron Industries AG logo Accelleron Industries AG ACLLY · US
Price$91.31
Fair Value$44.64
Upside-51.1%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.99% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: High Range $30.65 – $64.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −2.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($64.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($30.65 to $64.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$114.91 $12.71 Fair Value $44.64 Oct 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

46‑month range $12.71 – $114.91 · fair‑value band $30.65 – $64.17 · the $91.31 price screens above the $44.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Accelleron Industries AG (ACLLY) currently trades at $91.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.64, implying the stock looks roughly 51.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Accelleron Industries AG generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue grew 26.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 57.5%. Net debt stands at $234M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $30.65 (bear case) to $64.17 (bull case); at $91.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -51%, ACLLY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $26.23 $47.08 $81.20 80
Residual Income $15.95 $20.69 $148.45 76
Rev-Margin DCF $18.75 $32.83 $51.38 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $26.65 $50.05 $90.15 38
Owner Earnings $26.60 $49.96 $90.00 31
5Y Revenue Exit $18.75 $33.06 $52.35 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $29.39 $55.38 $88.41 41
5Y P/E Exit $31.80 $60.42 $93.71 38
10Y Revenue Exit $20.65 $35.11 $57.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $28.17 $51.25 $87.15 37
10Y P/E Exit $29.74 $54.90 $91.56 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $16.93 $83.35 $114.91 54
Lynch FV $22.43 $32.04 $41.65 50
PEG = 1.0 $22.43 $32.04 $41.65 46
EPV $21.43 $25.13 $28.31 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $13.47 $26.84 $40.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage $13.47 $23.20 $28.33 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $39.21 $52.28 $65.35 63
P/S Multiple $20.25 $27.00 $33.75 58
P/B Multiple $17.13 $22.84 $28.54 55
EV/EBIT $38.87 $52.49 $66.10 53
EV/EBITDA $33.36 $45.15 $56.93 54
EV/Revenue $15.03 $22.32 $29.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.54 $3.40 $5.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $26.23 $47.08 $81.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF $18.75 $32.83 $51.38 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.95 $20.69 $148.45 76
ROIC Compounder $24.20 $31.84 $40.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $34.56 $49.36 $64.17 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($50.05) versus Asset-Based ($3.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.7%
Net margin 18.4%
Return on equity 57.5%
Free cash flow $215M FY2025
P/E ratio 40.9
More key figures
Operating margin 24.7%
EPS (TTM) $2.48
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +44.0%
Net debt $234M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 78
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Accelleron Industries AG designs, manufactures, sells, and services turbochargers, fuel injection equipment, and digital solutions for heavy-duty applications. The company operates in two segments, Medium & Low Speed and High Speed.

Full company description

Accelleron Industries AG designs, manufactures, sells, and services turbochargers, fuel injection equipment, and digital solutions for heavy-duty applications. The company operates in two segments, Medium & Low Speed and High Speed. Its products are used in electric power generation, such as gas-fired engines for base load power, combined heat and power, balancing power, and back-up power; and onshore oil and gas, including gas-fired engines driving compressor stations for gas pipelines, as well as in marine and off-highway applications. The company has operations in Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, China, the Americas, the United States, Europe, and Switzerland. Accelleron Industries AG was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Baden, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Accelleron Industries AG reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $756M in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was $234M in FY2025, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 96/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+24.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+8.4%
Revenue +13.8%/yr
FY21 $756M
FY22 $781M
FY23 $915M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $1.3B
Net income +14.0%/yr
FY21 $139M
FY22 $123M
FY23 $101M
FY24 $170M
FY25 $234M

ACLLY screens 51% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Accelleron Industries AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACLLY

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.14× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 19.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 44.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 27.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 28
HEALTH 43 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Accelleron Industries AG (ACLLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.64 versus a price of $91.31, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACLLY?
Our model-based fair value for Accelleron Industries AG is $44.64 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $91.31.
What is the quality score of ACLLY?
Accelleron Industries AG has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Accelleron Industries AG (ACLLY)?
Accelleron Industries AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACLLY?
The net profit margin of Accelleron Industries AG is about 18.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Accelleron Industries AG pay a dividend?
Accelleron Industries AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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