ACMAT Corporation (ACMT) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $22.1M
ACMAT Corporation
ACMT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $7.56 to $9.43 (+24.7%) since Jun 26, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.50 – $88.00 · fair‑value band $7.07 – $11.79 · the $23.00 price screens above the $9.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
ACMAT Corporation (ACMT) currently trades at $23.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.43, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.3M. Revenue grew 44.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.07 (bear case) to $11.79 (bull case); at $23.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at -59%, ACMT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($25.88) versus Multiples ($9.43). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ACMAT Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides construction surety bonds for construction contractors in the United States. The company offers surety bonds for prime, sub-prime, specialty trade, environmental, asbestos and lead abatement contractors, and miscellaneous obligations.
Full company description
ACMAT Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides construction surety bonds for construction contractors in the United States. The company offers surety bonds for prime, sub-prime, specialty trade, environmental, asbestos and lead abatement contractors, and miscellaneous obligations. It also provides other miscellaneous surety, including workers' compensation bonds, supply bonds, subdivision bonds, and license and permit bonds. The company was founded in 1950 and is based in Farmington, Connecticut.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ACMAT Corporation reported revenue of $3.3M in FY2025 versus $3.3M in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was $559K in FY2025, compounding −17.5%/yr from FY2021.
ACMT screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Fidelity National Financial, Inc →
Peer Group
Insurance - Specialty · 32 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fidelity National Financial, Inc FNF | $49.53 | $29.08 | -41% |
| AXIS Capital Holdings AXS | $114.62 | $177.90 | +55% |
| First American Financial Corporation FAF | $70.06 | $79.33 | +13% |
| Enact Holdings ACT | $46.52 | $62.79 | +35% |
| MGIC Investment Corporation MTG | $29.47 | $45.39 | +54% |
| Essent Group ESNT | $66.71 | $97.33 | +46% |
| Radian Group RDN | $39.14 | $56.98 | +46% |
| Protector Forsikring ASA PROT | kr 485.80 | kr 418.04 | -14% |
| Assured Guaranty Ltd AGO | $82.49 | $147.67 | +79% |
| NMI Holdings NMIH | $41.16 | $66.55 | +62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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