Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS stock TRY 126, price TRY 78.90, upside +60.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?Yes
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.83 TRY – 179.67 TRY · fair‑value band 80.51 TRY – 184.94 TRY · the 78.90 TRY price screens below the 126.24 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 23, 2026.
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Aciselsan Acipayam Selüloz Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. purchases, produces, and sells cellulose and cellulose derivatives, and sodium carboxymethyl derivatives in Turkey. The company also engages in the import, export, and trading of various chemicals.
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Its products are used in detergents, paints, wallpaper adhesives, thickeners, paper and cardboard, textiles, oil drilling muds, ceramics, tiles, food products, cosmetics, and pharmaceuticals.
Aciselsan Acipayam Selüloz Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Denizli, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL) currently trades at 78.90 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 126.24 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 120.37 TRY per share, and 7 of the 10 models we run sit above the 78.90 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 35.83 TRY, and 3 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 80.51 TRY (bear) to 184.94 TRY (bull), the price of 78.90 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 686M TRY in FY2025 versus 111M TRY in FY2021, a compound +57.6%/yr. Reported net income was −67.2M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 846M TRY (≈ $17.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 151.7 · P/S ratio 1.08 · EPS (TTM) 0.5200 TRY · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 60%, ACSEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear80.51 TRYFair Value 126.24 TRYBull184.94 TRY
Price 78.90 TRY · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4302 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+70.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +49.2% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
17.7% (2020) → −1.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.9% a year for the price.
Compare Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 338 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.0% · Below median
Return on assets−7.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)8.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)14.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACSEL
Frequently asked questions
Is Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 126.24 TRY versus a price of 78.90 TRY, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACSEL?
Our model-based fair value for Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 126.24 TRY (as of Oct 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 78.90 TRY.
What is the quality score of ACSEL?
Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 126.24 TRY (as of Oct 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 80.51 TRY, optimistic scenario 184.94 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 126.24 TRY, about +60% upside versus a price of 78.90 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 80.51 TRY, optimistic scenario 184.94 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 787M TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 23, 2026).
Does Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS pay a dividend?
Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS currently shows a dividend yield of 0.31% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS would have to grow free cash flow by +7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +70.5 % per year. As of Oct 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ACSEL use?
Our models discount Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS that is +7.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS grew +70.5 % a year. The price currently implies +7.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (+7.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.46 %: that much free cash flow Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS it is 126.24 TRY per share (as of Oct 23, 2026), against a price of 78.90 TRY. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 23, 2026, ACSEL trades below its calculated fair value: price 78.90 TRY, fair value 126.24 TRY, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACSEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (78.90 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (126.24 TRY). For Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS the two are 47.34 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS at about 846M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 23, 2026). Per share that is 78.90 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 126.24 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACSEL?
Our models span a range for Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 80.51 TRY, base 126.24 TRY, optimistic 184.94 TRY per share (as of Oct 23, 2026, price 78.90 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACSEL?
Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 151.7 (as of Oct 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 126.24 TRY is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2017 to 2023), reported earnings: 9.3. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 9.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (as of Oct 23, 2026): return on equity 1.0%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACSEL from its 52-week high?
Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS trades at 78.90 TRY, about 55% below its 52-week high of 176.20 TRY and 7% above the low of 73.70 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 126.24 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Rongsheng Petrochemical Co, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 23, 2026: price 78.90 TRY, calculated fair value 126.24 TRY (+60%), Quality Score 44/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACSEL calculated?
We run Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 126.24 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 78.90 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 126.24 TRY, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. A fairly wide model range (80.51 TRY to 184.94 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
The market capitalisation of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 846M TRY (≈ $17.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 1.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
Earnings per share at Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS are 0.5200 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 151.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
The dividend yield of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 0.3% (payout 46.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
The net margin of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 0.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
The operating margin of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
Revenue at Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is growing +14.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL)?
Earnings per share at Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS are growing +96.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS (ACSEL) carry?
The net debt of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS is 168M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 23, 2026