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ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd $9.28, price $5.44, upside +70.6%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · ISIN CA14916J1021

AE ACT Energy Technologies Ltd logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

ACT Energy Technologies Ltd

ACXAF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $9.28 · Strongly undervalued (+70.6%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +63.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 31/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.42 $0.6500 Fair Value $9.28 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6500 – $7.42 · fair‑value band $6.42 – $12.06 · the $5.44 price screens below the $9.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

ACT Energy Technologies Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides directional drilling services and related downhole technologies to oil and natural gas companies in Canada and the United States. It offers measurement-while-drilling (MWD), automated gamma, drilling optimization, and well planning and rotary steerable services.

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ACT Energy Technologies Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides directional drilling services and related downhole technologies to oil and natural gas companies in Canada and the United States. It offers measurement-while-drilling (MWD), automated gamma, drilling optimization, and well planning and rotary steerable services. The company also provides mud motors, MWD technology solutions, rotary steerable systems, drilling motors and components, and downhole technology products. It is also involved in the operation of real-time operations centers and remote operations that offers continuous monitoring, collaboration, and optimization services and provision of equipment rental, training, maintenance, and repair services. ACT Energy Technologies Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is based in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF) currently trades at $5.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.28, implying the stock looks roughly 41.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $12.04 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the $5.44 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $3.02, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $6.42 (bear) to $12.06 (bull), the price of $5.44 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

ACT Energy Technologies Ltd reported revenue of C$475M in FY2025 versus C$62.5M in FY2021, a compound +66.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$15.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $203M · P/E ratio 20.9 · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) $0.2600 · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% · Operating margin 5.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 71%, ACXAF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $6.42 Fair Value $9.28 Bull $12.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1966 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $8.78 $12.49 $23.34 78
Growth DCF $8.19 $13.10 $21.84 76
Residual Income $3.23 $3.21 $3.38 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.78 $12.49 $23.34 78
Owner Earnings $2.67 $5.71 $11.01 72
5Y Revenue Exit $5.87 $9.56 $17.20 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.86 $15.59 $28.77 72
5Y P/E Exit $5.28 $10.32 $16.84 68
10Y Revenue Exit $6.79 $13.13 $16.51 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.80 $18.61 $35.28 64
10Y P/E Exit $6.56 $12.04 $20.28 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.93 $13.44 $18.87 63
Lynch FV $5.40 $7.71 $10.02 61
PEG = 1.0 $5.40 $7.71 $10.02 57
EPV $2.65 $3.02 $3.33 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.83 $5.10 $6.38 63
P/S Multiple $3.61 $4.82 $6.02 58
P/B Multiple $3.61 $4.82 $6.02 55
EV/EBIT $4.99 $6.82 $8.64 66
EV/EBITDA $8.89 $12.01 $15.14 67
EV/Revenue $3.95 $5.85 $7.74 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.26 $3.03 $4.53 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.19 $13.10 $21.84 76
Rev-Margin DCF $6.02 $11.01 $20.55 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.23 $3.21 $3.38 76
ROIC Compounder $2.65 $3.02 $3.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.41 $9.16 $11.91 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.1% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+4.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−45% → 6%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.9% a year for the price and +9.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+38.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.9%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Drilling · 33 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −27.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5.2% · Below median
Return on assets 3.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.25× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.71× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 5.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Noble Corporation NE $41.94 $46.13 +10%
Transocean Ltd RIG $5.38 $4.80 −11%
Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation 600871 ¥2.11 ¥0.5200 −75%
Valaris Limited VAL $80.99 $58.75 −27%
ADES Holding 2382 16.40 SAR 10.61 SAR −35%
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc PTEN $10.91 $22.18 +103%
Helmerich & Payne, Inc HP $36.61 $21.74 −41%
Seadrill Limited SDRL $44.67 $10.17 −77%
Odfjell Drilling Ltd ODL kr 100.20 kr 68.81 −31%
Borr Drilling Limited BORR kr 37.70 kr 57.68 +53%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ACT Energy Technologies Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACXAF

Frequently asked questions

Is ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.28 versus a price of $5.44, about +71% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACXAF?
Our model-based fair value for ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is $9.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.44.
What is the quality score of ACXAF?
ACT Energy Technologies Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.42, optimistic scenario $12.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ACT Energy Technologies Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.28, about +71% upside versus a price of $5.44 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.42, optimistic scenario $12.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
ACT Energy Technologies Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$484M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ACT Energy Technologies Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +63.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ACXAF use?
Our models discount ACT Energy Technologies Ltd at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.31, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ACT Energy Technologies Ltd that is +4.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ACT Energy Technologies Ltd grew +63.5 % a year. The price currently implies +4.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (+4.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.25 %: that much free cash flow ACT Energy Technologies Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ACT Energy Technologies Ltd it is $9.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $5.44. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ACT Energy Technologies Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ACXAF trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.44, fair value $9.28, a gap of about +71% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACXAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.28). For ACT Energy Technologies Ltd the two are $3.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ACT Energy Technologies Ltd worth?
The market values ACT Energy Technologies Ltd at about $203M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $5.44; our models calculate a fair value of $9.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACXAF?
Our models span a range for ACT Energy Technologies Ltd: cautious scenario $6.42, base $9.28, optimistic $12.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $5.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACXAF?
ACT Energy Technologies Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.28 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 3.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACXAF from its 52-week high?
ACT Energy Technologies Ltd trades at $5.44, about 4% below its 52-week high of $5.67 and 58% above the low of $3.44 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ACT Energy Technologies Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Noble Corporation, Transocean Ltd, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation, Valaris Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ACT Energy Technologies Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $5.44, calculated fair value $9.28 (+71%), Quality Score 47/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACXAF calculated?
We run ACT Energy Technologies Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ACT Energy Technologies Ltd currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $5.44. Our model-based fair value is $9.28, about +71% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ACT Energy Technologies Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($6.42 to $12.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
The market capitalisation of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is $203M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is 0.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
Earnings per share at ACT Energy Technologies Ltd are $0.2600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
The net margin of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is 3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
The operating margin of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
Revenue at ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is growing +6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF)?
Earnings per share at ACT Energy Technologies Ltd are growing −31.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ACT Energy Technologies Ltd (ACXAF) carry?
The net debt of ACT Energy Technologies Ltd is C$73.5M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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