PT Adhi Commuter Properti Tbk (ADCP) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 1.1T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (18.80 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (9.40 IDR to 18.80 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range 50.00 IDR – 120.10 IDR · fair‑value band 9.40 IDR – 18.80 IDR · the 50.00 IDR price screens above the 12.59 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
PT Adhi Commuter Properti Tbk (ADCP) currently trades at 50.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.59 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 74.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 165B IDR. Revenue declined 46.3% year over year. Net debt stands at 1.1T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 9.40 IDR (bear case) to 18.80 IDR (bull case); at 50.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -75%, ADCP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Adhi Commuter Properti Tbk engages in property and real estate activities in Indonesia. The company develops various Transit Oriented Development brands, such as LRT CITY, Member of LRT CITY, and Adhi City.
Full company description
PT Adhi Commuter Properti Tbk engages in property and real estate activities in Indonesia. The company develops various Transit Oriented Development brands, such as LRT CITY, Member of LRT CITY, and Adhi City. It is also involved in the construction of offices, apartments, and landed houses; trading of related properties and real estate; property and real estate agency; building management and rental; and hotel management. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia. PT Adhi Commuter Properti Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Adhi Commuter Properti Tbk reported revenue of 197B IDR in FY2025 versus 564B IDR in FY2021, a compound −23.1%/yr. Reported net income was −2.1T IDR in FY2025.
ADCP screens 75% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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