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Aida Engineering, Ltd (ADERY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $363M

AE Aida Engineering, Ltd logo Aida Engineering, Ltd ADERY · US
Price$66.75
Fair Value$106.48
Upside+59.5%
Quality71/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.30% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range $79.86 – $133.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $108.22 to $106.48 (−1.6%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($79.86). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$99.94 $48.12 Fair Value $106.48 Dec 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $48.12 – $99.94 · fair‑value band $79.86 – $133.10 · the $66.75 price screens below the $106.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Aida Engineering, Ltd (ADERY) currently trades at $66.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $106.48, implying the stock looks roughly 59.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Aida Engineering, Ltd generated revenue of $78.6B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue declined 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $34.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $79.86 (bear case) to $133.10 (bull case); at $66.75, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 60%, ADERY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $113.54 $137.17 $165.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF $105.25 $136.19 $170.22 74
ROIC Compounder $77.90 $82.76 $86.80 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $112.56 $138.90 $172.21 38
Owner Earnings $92.93 $111.92 $135.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit $105.25 $135.29 $172.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $117.87 $158.03 $203.14 41
5Y P/E Exit $112.37 $148.12 $184.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit $106.12 $132.12 $164.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $114.88 $146.26 $185.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $111.72 $140.09 $172.28 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $34.48 $88.45 $115.13 54
PEG = 1.0 $16.58 $23.68 $30.78 46
EPV $77.90 $82.76 $86.80 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $79.86 $106.48 $133.10 63
P/S Multiple $64.65 $86.20 $107.75 58
P/B Multiple $64.65 $86.20 $107.75 55
EV/EBIT $128.69 $157.48 $186.28 53
EV/EBITDA $132.84 $163.02 $193.19 54
EV/Revenue $103.96 $130.38 $156.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $48.80 $65.39 $97.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $113.54 $137.17 $165.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF $105.25 $136.19 $170.22 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $70.69 $70.03 $62.75 61
ROIC Compounder $77.90 $82.76 $86.80 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $62.02 $88.60 $115.18 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($138.90) versus Asset-Based ($65.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $78.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.3%
Net margin 5.4%
Return on equity 5.0%
Free cash flow $7.0B FY2026
P/E ratio 13.8
More key figures
Operating margin 7.2%
EPS (TTM) $4.84
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -45.5%
Net cash $34.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aida Engineering, Ltd. manufactures and sells press machines, auto-processing lines, industrial robots, auto-conveyers, and dies in Japan, China, rest of Asia, the Americas, and Europe.

Full company description

Aida Engineering, Ltd. manufactures and sells press machines, auto-processing lines, industrial robots, auto-conveyers, and dies in Japan, China, rest of Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It offers general-purpose servo, mid-size and large servo, general-purpose, mid-size and large, precision forming, high speed automatic, and cold forging presses, as well as transfer equipment, coil feeders, and tooling dies. The company also provides troubleshooting/spare parts, retrofit/modernization, routine inspection, and overhaul/machine relocation services. In addition, it offers piling systems, servo motors, servo drive technologies, material feeders, die-forming methods, servo die cushions, and line synchronization control technologies. The company was formerly known as AIDA Ironworks and changed its name to Aida Engineering, Ltd. in 1970. Aida Engineering, Ltd. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Sagamihara, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Aida Engineering, Ltd reported revenue of $83.4B in FY2026 versus $62.5B in FY2022, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $4.5B in FY2026, compounding +49.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$83.4B
Latest YoY
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY22 $62.5B
FY23 $68.8B
FY24 $72.7B
FY25 $76.0B
FY26 $83.4B
Net income +49.8%/yr
FY22 $896M
FY23 $1.3B
FY24 $2.8B
FY25 $5.1B
FY26 $4.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −2.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.4 pp

of which total revenue +0.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.8 pp

EBIT margin −4.8 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aida Engineering, Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADERY

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 806 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 20 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 66 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aida Engineering, Ltd (ADERY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $106.48 versus a price of $66.75, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ADERY?
Our model-based fair value for Aida Engineering, Ltd is $106.48 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $66.75.
What is the quality score of ADERY?
Aida Engineering, Ltd has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aida Engineering, Ltd (ADERY)?
Aida Engineering, Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $78.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADERY?
The net profit margin of Aida Engineering, Ltd is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aida Engineering, Ltd pay a dividend?
Aida Engineering, Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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