Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Admie Holding S.A €3.96, price €4.50, upside -12.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.35 – €4.90 · fair‑value band €2.61 – €5.76 · the €4.50 price screens above the €3.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Admie Holding S.A. operates an electricity transmission system in Greece. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece. Admie Holding S.A. is a subsidiary of Public Holding Company IPTO S.A.
Stock analysis
Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE) currently trades at €4.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.96, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €23.57 per share, and 10 of the 12 models we run sit above the €4.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €4.29, and 2 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €2.61 (bear) to €5.76 (bull), the price of €4.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Admie Holding S.A reported revenue of €457M in FY2025 versus €539M in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was €125M in FY2025, compounding +15.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €1.0B · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 2.28 · EPS (TTM) €0.5400 · Net margin 27.4% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 94.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −12%, ADMIE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €2.61Fair Value €3.96Bull €5.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.3950 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −11.0% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8% vs 13%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 39%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 13.3%/yr over ~8Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 76 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside−12% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)99% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)94% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−61% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.92× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
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Is Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.96 versus a price of €4.50, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADMIE?
Our model-based fair value for Admie Holding S.A is €3.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.50.
What is the quality score of ADMIE?
Admie Holding S.A has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €3.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.61, optimistic scenario €5.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Admie Holding S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €3.96, about −12% upside versus a price of €4.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €2.61, optimistic scenario €5.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Admie Holding S.A it is €3.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €4.50. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Admie Holding S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ADMIE trades above its calculated fair value: price €4.50, fair value €3.96, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADMIE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€3.96). For Admie Holding S.A the two are €0.5400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Admie Holding S.A worth?
The market values Admie Holding S.A at about €1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €4.50; our models calculate a fair value of €3.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADMIE?
Our models span a range for Admie Holding S.A: cautious scenario €2.61, base €3.96, optimistic €5.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €4.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ADMIE?
Admie Holding S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €3.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 18.6, EV/EBITDA 37.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Admie Holding S.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.1%, debt of 0.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ADMIE from its 52-week high?
Admie Holding S.A trades at €4.50, about 8% below its 52-week high of €4.90 and 63% above the low of €2.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €3.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Admie Holding S.A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Admie Holding S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €4.50, calculated fair value €3.96 (−12%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADMIE calculated?
We run Admie Holding S.A through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €3.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Admie Holding S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €4.50. Our model-based fair value is €3.96, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Admie Holding S.A right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€2.61 to €5.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Admie Holding S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
The market capitalisation of Admie Holding S.A is €1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Admie Holding S.A is 2.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
Earnings per share at Admie Holding S.A are €0.5400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
The net margin of Admie Holding S.A is 27.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Admie Holding S.A is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Admie Holding S.A is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
The operating margin of Admie Holding S.A is 94.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
Revenue at Admie Holding S.A is growing −60.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE)?
Earnings per share at Admie Holding S.A are growing −63.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE) generate?
The free cash flow of Admie Holding S.A is −€402M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Admie Holding S.A (ADMIE) carry?
The net debt of Admie Holding S.A is €1.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026