Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Adaro Energy Tbk PT $8.11, price $7.47, upside +8.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2406 – $7.55 · fair‑value band $6.87 – $9.50 · the $7.47 price screens below the $8.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the coal and mining business in Indonesia. It operates through Coal Mining and Trading; Mining Services; Logistics; and Others segments. The company provides trading, transportation, warehousing, quarrying, cargo handling, and mining and transportation support services.
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PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the coal and mining business in Indonesia. It operates through Coal Mining and Trading; Mining Services; Logistics; and Others segments. The company provides trading, transportation, warehousing, quarrying, cargo handling, and mining and transportation support services. It is involved in the agriculture, construction, and seaport service activities, as well as repair and installation of machines, power supply, water treatment, and forestry and industry related activities. In addition, the company provides investment, trading and power plant, electric power supply, metal processing, and stone sand and other clays quarrying services; and transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity. It also exports its products to China, India, Korea, and Singapore. The company was formerly known as PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk and changed its name to PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk in November 2024. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR (ADOOY) currently trades at $7.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.11, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $8.78 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the $7.47 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.22, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $6.87 (bear) to $9.50 (bull), the price of $7.47 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $4.0B in FY2021, a compound −17.3%/yr. Reported net income was $447M in FY2025, compounding −16.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.4B · P/E ratio 8.7 · P/S ratio 2.08 · EPS (TTM) $0.8600 · Dividend yield 12.0% · Net margin 23.9% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 9%, ADOOY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.87Fair Value $8.11Bull $9.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6174 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.6% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)12.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5% vs 11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 28%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 100 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)12.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADOOY
Frequently asked questions
Is Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.11 versus a price of $7.47, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ADOOY?
Our model-based fair value for Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is $8.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.47.
What is the quality score of ADOOY?
Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.87, optimistic scenario $9.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.11, about +9% upside versus a price of $7.47 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $6.87, optimistic scenario $9.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR pay a dividend?
Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR it is $8.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $7.47. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ADOOY trades below its calculated fair value: price $7.47, fair value $8.11, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADOOY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.11). For Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR the two are $0.6400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR worth?
The market values Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR at about $4.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $7.47; our models calculate a fair value of $8.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADOOY?
Our models span a range for Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR: cautious scenario $6.87, base $8.11, optimistic $9.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $7.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ADOOY?
Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.11 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 5.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ADOOY from its 52-week high?
Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR trades at $7.47, about 1% below its 52-week high of $7.55 and 65% above the low of $4.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, PT Bayan Resources Tbk.,, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $7.47, calculated fair value $8.11 (+9%), Quality Score 60/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADOOY calculated?
We run Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $7.47. Our model-based fair value is $8.11, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY) come from?
Earnings per share at Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR grew +21.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.7 %, EBIT margin +7.8 %, tax rate +3.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
The market capitalisation of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is $4.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is 2.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
Earnings per share at Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR are $0.8600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
The dividend yield of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is 12.0% (payout 104%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
The net margin of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is 23.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is 19.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
The operating margin of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is 31.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
Revenue at Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is growing +23.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −38.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY)?
Earnings per share at Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR are growing +74.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY) generate?
The free cash flow of Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR is −$163M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADOOY) hold?
Adaro Energy Tbk PT ADR holds more cash than debt, $227M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Sep 24, 2026