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ASF Group (AFA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value of ASF Group A$0.06, price A$0.04, upside +25.9%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · AU · ISIN AU000000AFA2

AG Thin data Oct 14, 2026

ASF Group

AFA · AU

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

The stock costs 21% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value A$0.0554 · Undervalued (+25.9%)
Quality 63/100
Highly profitable · 76.3% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 100/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.4 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.3500 A$0.0030 Fair Value A$0.0554 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0030 – A$0.3500 · fair‑value band A$0.0466 – A$0.0686 · the A$0.0440 price screens below the A$0.0554 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.

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Company profile

ASF Group Limited, an investment and trading house, operates in the real estate, resources, technology, and financial sectors in Australia, and Europe.

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ASF Group Limited, an investment and trading house, operates in the real estate, resources, technology, and financial sectors in Australia, and Europe. It holds coal tenements portfolio of copper, gold, and rare earth elements in Queensland; and develops flat opposed cylinder boxer-type engines for applications in new energy vehicles, aviation, and distributed power generation. The company also provides property services related to development, management, project marketing, asset management, property management, and property consultations; and fund management and advisory services on public listing, financial advisory, investment strategies, tailored wholesale fund structures, and entry and expansion in Australia, as well as visa migration related areas. ASF Group Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

ASF Group (AFA) currently trades at A$0.0440, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0554, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.1900 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the A$0.0440 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0466 (bear) to A$0.0686 (bull), the price of A$0.0440 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

ASF Group reported revenue of A$2.4M in FY2026 versus A$2.2M in FY2022, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.1M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$34.7M (≈ $24.3M) · P/E ratio 4.4 · P/S ratio 7.38 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Net margin 76.3% · Return on equity 110% · Return on assets (EBIT) 203% · Operating margin 93.5%.

What moves the price

The share trades about 87% below its 52-week high and 529% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at 26%, AFA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0466 Fair Value A$0.0554 Bull A$0.0686
Price A$0.0440 · Upside +25.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0029 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings A$0.0900 A$0.1900 A$0.3900 69
P/E Multiple A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.0800 63
Graham-Dodd A$0.0400 A$0.2400 A$0.3400 61
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$0.0900 A$0.1900 A$0.3900 69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0400 A$0.2400 A$0.3400 61
Lynch FV A$0.1300 A$0.1800 A$0.2300 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.0800 63
P/B Multiple A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a n/a A$0.0100 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.1500 57

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−92.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−188.3% (2021) → 16.8% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

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Compare ASF Group with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 463 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +25.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 109.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets 55.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 76.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 93.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −88.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 4.27× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.51× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 2.40× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)68 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 76
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ASF Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFA

Frequently asked questions

Is ASF Group (AFA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0554 versus a price of A$0.0440, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AFA?
Our model-based fair value for ASF Group is A$0.0554 (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0440.
What is the quality score of AFA?
ASF Group has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ASF Group (AFA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0554 (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0466, optimistic scenario A$0.0686. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ASF Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0554, about +26% upside versus a price of A$0.0440 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0466, optimistic scenario A$0.0686. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ASF Group (AFA)?
ASF Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$5.4M (latest available figure, as of Oct 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ASF Group (AFA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ASF Group it is A$0.0554 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of A$0.0440. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ASF Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, AFA trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0440, fair value A$0.0554, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AFA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0440); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0554). For ASF Group the two are A$0.0114 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ASF Group worth?
The market values ASF Group at about A$34.7M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0440; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0554 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AFA?
Our models span a range for ASF Group: cautious scenario A$0.0466, base A$0.0554, optimistic A$0.0686 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026, price A$0.0440). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AFA?
ASF Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.4 (as of Oct 14, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0554 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.4, P/B 4.3, P/S 4.5, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
What is the PEG ratio of AFA?
The PEG ratio of ASF Group is 2.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 14, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of ASF Group (AFA)?
Balance-sheet figures for ASF Group (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity 109.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AFA from its 52-week high?
ASF Group trades at A$0.0440, about 87% below its 52-week high of A$0.3500 and 529% above the low of A$0.0070 (as of Oct 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0554 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ASF Group?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ASF Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price A$0.0440, calculated fair value A$0.0554 (+26%), Quality Score 63/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AFA calculated?
We run ASF Group through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0554, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ASF Group currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ASF Group (AFA)?
The closing price on Oct 12, 2026 was A$0.0440. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0554, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ASF Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0466). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of ASF Group

How large is the market capitalisation of ASF Group (AFA)?
The market capitalisation of ASF Group is A$34.7M (≈ $24.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ASF Group (AFA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ASF Group is 7.38 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ASF Group (AFA)?
Earnings per share at ASF Group are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ASF Group (AFA)?
The net margin of ASF Group is 76.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ASF Group (AFA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ASF Group is 110% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ASF Group (AFA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ASF Group is 203% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ASF Group (AFA)?
The operating margin of ASF Group is 93.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ASF Group (AFA)?
Revenue at ASF Group is growing −88.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ASF Group (AFA)?
Earnings per share at ASF Group are growing −87.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ASF Group (AFA) generate?
The free cash flow of ASF Group is −A$1.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ASF Group (AFA) hold?
ASF Group holds more cash than debt, A$5.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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