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Afcons Infrastructure Limited (AFCONS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹117B

AI Afcons Infrastructure Limited AFCONS · NSE
Price₹271.60
Fair Value₹142.98
Upside-47.4%
Quality31/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.64% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹107.70 – ₹156.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price −6.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹156.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

₹538.53 ₹262.85 Fair Value ₹142.98 Nov 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range ₹262.85 – ₹538.53 · fair‑value band ₹107.70 – ₹156.24 · the ₹271.60 price screens above the ₹142.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Afcons Infrastructure Limited (AFCONS) currently trades at ₹271.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹142.98, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Afcons Infrastructure Limited generated revenue of ₹119B at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 18.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at ₹27.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹107.70 (bear case) to ₹156.24 (bull case); at ₹271.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -47%, AFCONS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹112.53 ₹113.09 ₹106.00 76
ROIC Compounder ₹161.48 ₹193.44 ₹228.52 72
Gordon GGM ₹22.96 ₹25.13 ₹28.43 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹87.24 ₹121.85 ₹185.95 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹46.50 ₹56.83 ₹63.94 54
EPV ₹161.48 ₹188.55 ₹212.23 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹22.96 ₹25.13 ₹28.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹22.96 ₹28.80 ₹37.00 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹107.70 ₹143.60 ₹179.50 63
P/S Multiple ₹87.19 ₹116.25 ₹145.31 58
P/B Multiple ₹87.19 ₹116.25 ₹145.31 55
EV/EBIT ₹263.66 ₹351.85 ₹440.04 53
EV/EBITDA ₹321.74 ₹429.29 ₹536.84 54
EV/Revenue ₹187.92 ₹268.85 ₹349.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹74.09 ₹99.28 ₹148.18 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹112.53 ₹113.09 ₹106.00 76
ROIC Compounder ₹161.48 ₹193.44 ₹228.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹76.05 ₹108.65 ₹141.24 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹143.60) versus Dividend Discount (₹25.13). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹119B
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.9%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 4.7%
Free cash flow −₹10.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 39.8
More key figures
Operating margin -2.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹6.83
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -35.3%
Net debt ₹27.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Afcons Infrastructure Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in infrastructure, engineering, and construction businesses in India and internationally. The company undertakes marine works, highways, bridges, metro works, power houses, tunnels, oil and gas, liquified natural gas tanks, and other general civil engineering projects.

Full company description

Afcons Infrastructure Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in infrastructure, engineering, and construction businesses in India and internationally. The company undertakes marine works, highways, bridges, metro works, power houses, tunnels, oil and gas, liquified natural gas tanks, and other general civil engineering projects. It also constructs ports and harbour jetties, dry docks, wet basins, breakwaters, outfall and intake structures, and material handling systems; roads, interchanges, mining-related infrastructure railways; and dams and barrages, and water and irrigation projects, as well as tunnels, such as road tunnels and underground works. The company also undertakes elevated and underground metro, flyovers, and elevated corridor works; and onshore and offshore oil and gas projects. Afcons Infrastructure Limited was formerly known as Asia Foundations and Constructions Limited and changed its name to Afcons Infrastructure Limited in August 1996. The company was founded in 1959 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Afcons Infrastructure Limited reported revenue of ₹119B in FY2026 versus ₹109B in FY2022, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.5B in FY2026, compounding −8.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹119B
Latest YoY
−4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY22 ₹109B
FY23 ₹125B
FY24 ₹132B
FY25 ₹125B
FY26 ₹119B
Net income −8.3%/yr
FY22 ₹3.6B
FY23 ₹4.1B
FY24 ₹4.5B
FY25 ₹4.9B
FY26 ₹2.5B

AFCONS screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Afcons Infrastructure Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFCONS

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 834 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 16
PAST 19 · sector 26
HEALTH 92 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹230.00 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 61,400 KRW 151,137 KRW +146%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 45,400 KRW 43,924 KRW -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Afcons Infrastructure Limited (AFCONS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹142.98 versus a price of ₹271.60, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AFCONS?
Our model-based fair value for Afcons Infrastructure Limited is ₹142.98 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹271.60.
What is the quality score of AFCONS?
Afcons Infrastructure Limited has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Afcons Infrastructure Limited (AFCONS)?
Afcons Infrastructure Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹119B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AFCONS?
The net profit margin of Afcons Infrastructure Limited is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Afcons Infrastructure Limited pay a dividend?
Afcons Infrastructure Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.64% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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