Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Forafric Global PLC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jun 23, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.98 – $12.10 · fair‑value band $7.85 – $13.09 · the $11.04 price screens above the $10.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
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Forafric Global PLC engages in the purchase, storage, transport, processing, and sale of agricultural commodities and commodity products in Morocco and West Africa. It operates through Soft Wheat, Durum Wheat, and Couscous and Pasta segments. The company provides wheat flours and semolina; and secondary processing products, such as pasta and couscous.
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Forafric Global PLC engages in the purchase, storage, transport, processing, and sale of agricultural commodities and commodity products in Morocco and West Africa. It operates through Soft Wheat, Durum Wheat, and Couscous and Pasta segments. The company provides wheat flours and semolina; and secondary processing products, such as pasta and couscous. It operates under the TRIA and MayMouna brand names. The company serves wholesale foods manufacturers and distributors. It also exports its products to approximately 45 countries. Forafric Global PLC was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Gibraltar.
Stock analysis
Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares (AFRI) currently trades at $11.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.47, implying the stock looks roughly 5.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 85/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $7.85 (bear) to $13.09 (bull), the price of $11.04 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $176M in FY2025 versus $262M in FY2021, a compound −9.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $297M · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4500 · Net margin −8.4% · Return on equity −202% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Operating margin −0.6% · Revenue (TTM) $176M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −5%, AFRI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.85Fair Value $10.47Bull $13.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.0% (2020) → −1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 297 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−22% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)1.68× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)26· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 47
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFRI
Frequently asked questions
Is Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.47 versus a price of $11.04, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AFRI?
Our model-based fair value for Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is $10.47 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.04.
What is the quality score of AFRI?
Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.47 (as of Jun 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.85, optimistic scenario $13.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.47, about −5% upside versus a price of $11.04 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $7.85, optimistic scenario $13.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $176M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares it is $10.47 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026), against a price of $11.04. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 23, 2026, AFRI trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.04, fair value $10.47, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AFRI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.47). For Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares the two are $0.5700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares at about $297M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 23, 2026). Per share that is $11.04; our models calculate a fair value of $10.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AFRI?
Our models span a range for Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $7.85, base $10.47, optimistic $13.09 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026, price $11.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares (as of Jun 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AFRI from its 52-week high?
Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares trades at $11.04, about 2% below its 52-week high of $11.30 and 29% above the low of $8.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 23, 2026: price $11.04, calculated fair value $10.47 (−5%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AFRI calculated?
We run Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $11.04. Our model-based fair value is $10.47, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The market capitalisation of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is $297M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is 1.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Earnings per share at Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares are $−0.4500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The net margin of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is −8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is −202% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The operating margin of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Revenue at Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is growing −22.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) generate?
The free cash flow of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is −$161K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) carry?
The net debt of Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares is $145M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Jun 23, 2026