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Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Forafric Global PLC stock $9.37, price $12.65, that is 25.9% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US · ISIN GI000A3DNK69

FG Forafric Global PLC logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Forafric Global PLC

AFRI · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 26% below what the stock costs today.

Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Revenue last quarter 22% below a year ago.
Fair value $9.37 · Overvalued
Quality 35/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.1 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -8.4% net margin (TTM) · excl. goodwill write-downs -7.9%
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate⚠ Small free float
Watch Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.85 $5.98 Fair Value $9.37 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.98 – $12.85 · fair‑value band $7.03 – $11.71 · the $12.65 price screens above the $9.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Forafric Global PLC engages in the purchase, storage, transport, processing, and sale of agricultural commodities and commodity products in Morocco and West Africa. It operates through Soft Wheat, Durum Wheat, and Couscous and Pasta segments.

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The company provides wheat flours and semolina; and secondary processing products, such as pasta and couscous. It operates under the TRIA and MayMouna brand names. The company serves wholesale foods manufacturers and distributors. It also exports its products to approximately 45 countries.

Forafric Global PLC was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Gibraltar.

Stock analysis

Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) currently trades at $12.65, while our estimate is $9.37, 26% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $7.03 (bear) to $11.71 (bull), the price of $12.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $176M in FY2025 versus $262M in FY2021, a compound −9.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $340M Small · P/S ratio 1.81 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4500 · Net margin −8.4% · Return on equity −202% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.6% · Revenue (TTM) $176M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −26%, AFRI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $7.03 Fair Value $9.37 Bull $11.71
Price $12.65 · Downside -25.9%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 6
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 85
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 71
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 83
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.0% (2020) → −1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AFRI screens overvalued: fair value 26% below the price. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 302 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −6.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −8.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −22.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 1.93× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 20.10 THB 40.78 THB +103% vs AFRI
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $60.29 $73.24 +21% vs AFRI
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 225.20 kr 273.41 +21% vs AFRI
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥44.57 ¥53.02 +19% vs AFRI
United Plantations Berhad 2089 30.40 MYR 33.42 MYR +10% vs AFRI
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $69.30 $61.55 −11% vs AFRI
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥16.83 ¥12.08 −28% vs AFRI
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥131.00 ¥88.62 −32% vs AFRI
Bunge Global SA BG $99.42 $56.81 −43% vs AFRI
SalMar ASA SALM kr 592.00 kr 260.28 −56% vs AFRI

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Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFRI

Frequently asked questions

Is Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $9.37 versus a price of $12.65, about 26% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AFRI?
Our estimate for Forafric Global PLC is $9.37 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.65.
What is the quality score of AFRI?
Forafric Global PLC has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $9.37 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $7.03, optimistic scenario $11.71. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $9.37, about 26% lower versus a price of $12.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.03, optimistic scenario $11.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Forafric Global PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $176M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Forafric Global PLC it is $9.37 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $12.65.
Is Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, AFRI trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.65, fair value $9.37, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AFRI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.37). For Forafric Global PLC the two are $3.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Forafric Global PLC at about $340M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $12.65; our models calculate a fair value of $9.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AFRI?
Our models span a range for Forafric Global PLC: cautious scenario $7.03, base $9.37, optimistic $11.71 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $12.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Forafric Global PLC (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AFRI from its 52-week high?
Forafric Global PLC trades at $12.65, about 2% below its 52-week high of $12.85 and 36% above the low of $9.31 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $12.65, calculated fair value $9.37 (−26%), Quality Score 35/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Forafric Global PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $12.65. Our estimate is $9.37, about 26% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Forafric Global PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The market capitalisation of Forafric Global PLC is $340M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Forafric Global PLC is 1.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Earnings per share at Forafric Global PLC are $−0.4500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The net margin of Forafric Global PLC is −8.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Forafric Global PLC is −202% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Forafric Global PLC is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
The operating margin of Forafric Global PLC is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?
Revenue at Forafric Global PLC is growing −22.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) generate?
The free cash flow of Forafric Global PLC is −$161K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) carry?
The net debt of Forafric Global PLC is $145M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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