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Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd A$0.04, price A$0.13, upside -69.2%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000122194

AG Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Australian Gold and Copper Ltd

AGC · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0400 · Strongly overvalued (−69%)
!Quality 31/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +152.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -144.2% net margin (FY2025)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.5600 A$0.0490 Fair Value A$0.0400 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0490 – A$0.5600 · fair‑value band A$0.0300 – A$0.0500 · the A$0.1300 price screens above the A$0.0400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Australian Gold and Copper Limited, an exploration company, explores for and develops multi-asset gold portfolio in Australia. The company primarily focuses on the exploration of gold, copper, and base metals.

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Australian Gold and Copper Limited, an exploration company, explores for and develops multi-asset gold portfolio in Australia. The company primarily focuses on the exploration of gold, copper, and base metals. It holds a 100% interest in the Moorefield project comprising two exploration licenses covering 480 square kilometers; the Gundagai project consisting of an exploration license covering 265 square kilometers; and the Cargelligo project with an exploration license covering 227 square kilometers located 15km west of the town of Lake Cargelligo in New South Wales, Australia. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Orange, Australia. Australian Gold and Copper Limited is a subsidiary of Geozen Resources Group Co Limited.

Stock analysis

Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC) currently trades at A$0.1300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 225.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0300 (bear) to A$0.0500 (bull), the price of A$0.1300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Australian Gold and Copper Ltd reported revenue of A$755K in FY2025 versus A$3.4K in FY2021, a compound +285.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$43.1M (≈ $30.2M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −144% · Return on equity −4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.8% · Revenue (TTM) −A$398 · Revenue growth (YoY) −0.9% · Free cash flow −A$776K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −69%, AGC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0300 Fair Value A$0.0400 Bull A$0.0500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.1100 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.1100 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 13
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+156.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+152.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−58,997.6% (2021) → −244.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AGC screens 225% overvalued. Compare with Zijin Mining Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −144% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.85× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥31.41 ¥43.81 +39%
Newmont Corporation NEM A$177.02 A$265.78 +50%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $195.57 $222.49 +14%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $42.49 $65.40 +54%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $260.91 $287.00 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $145.45 $89.12 −39%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.60 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$146.60 HK$83.20 −43%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $27.62 $51.30 +86%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.78 $278.06 +10%

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Australian Gold and Copper Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0400 −225%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Australian Gold and Copper Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGC

Frequently asked questions

Is Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0400 versus a price of A$0.1300, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AGC?
Our model-based fair value for Australian Gold and Copper Ltd is A$0.0400 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1300.
What is the quality score of AGC?
Australian Gold and Copper Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0400 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0300, optimistic scenario A$0.0500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Australian Gold and Copper Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0400, about −69% upside versus a price of A$0.1300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0300, optimistic scenario A$0.0500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Australian Gold and Copper Ltd it is A$0.0400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.1300. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Australian Gold and Copper Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AGC trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1300, fair value A$0.0400, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0400). For Australian Gold and Copper Ltd the two are A$0.0900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Australian Gold and Copper Ltd worth?
The market values Australian Gold and Copper Ltd at about A$43.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1300; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGC?
Our models span a range for Australian Gold and Copper Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0300, base A$0.0400, optimistic A$0.0500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.1300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGC from its 52-week high?
Australian Gold and Copper Ltd trades at A$0.1300, about 57% below its 52-week high of A$0.3050 and 13% above the low of A$0.1150 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Australian Gold and Copper Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Australian Gold and Copper Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.1300, calculated fair value A$0.0400 (−69%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGC calculated?
We run Australian Gold and Copper Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Australian Gold and Copper Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1300. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0400, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Australian Gold and Copper Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
The market capitalisation of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd is A$43.1M (≈ $30.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
Earnings per share at Australian Gold and Copper Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
The net margin of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd is −144% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd is −5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much revenue does Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC) generate?
Australian Gold and Copper Ltd generates revenue of −A$398 (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC)?
Revenue at Australian Gold and Copper Ltd is growing −0.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +153%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC) generate?
The free cash flow of Australian Gold and Copper Ltd is −A$776K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (AGC) hold?
Australian Gold and Copper Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$14.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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