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Agile Content SA (AGIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Aug 10, 2026: fair value of Agile Content SA €4.74, price €2.20, upside +115.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · ES · ISIN ES0105102000

AC Some data Sep 24, 2026

Agile Content SA

AGIL · MC

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value €4.74 · Strongly undervalued (+115.5%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +32.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€7.86 €1.56 Fair Value €4.74 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.56 – €7.86 · fair‑value band €2.90 – €8.25 · the €2.20 price screens below the €4.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Agile Content, S.A. engages in the information technology (IT) consulting services in Spain and internationally. It offers TV platform, CDN solutions, device manager, video processing, and managed services. It serves telecommunications service providers, media and broadcasters, and enterprises industries. Agile Content, S.A.

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Agile Content, S.A. engages in the information technology (IT) consulting services in Spain and internationally. It offers TV platform, CDN solutions, device manager, video processing, and managed services. It serves telecommunications service providers, media and broadcasters, and enterprises industries. Agile Content, S.A. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Bilbao, Spain.

Stock analysis

Agile Content SA (AGIL) currently trades at €2.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.74, implying the stock looks roughly 53.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €4.85 per share, and 7 of the 12 models we run sit above the €2.20 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €1.12, and 5 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €2.90 (bear) to €8.25 (bull), the price of €2.20 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Agile Content SA reported revenue of €83.2M in FY2025 versus €54.9M in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €50.5M · P/S ratio 0.61 · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 5.8% · Revenue (TTM) €83.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) −30.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 115%, AGIL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €2.90 Fair Value €4.74 Bull €8.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €3.09 €4.85 €9.69 74
Growth DCF €2.85 €5.12 €9.02 73
Owner Earnings €5.79 €12.29 €23.62 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €3.09 €4.85 €9.69 74
Owner Earnings €5.79 €12.29 €23.62 70
5Y Revenue Exit €1.00 €1.87 €3.50 67
5Y EBITDA Exit €4.91 €10.12 €19.85 68
10Y Revenue Exit €1.71 €3.22 €4.32 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.11 €9.79 €20.49 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.6000 €1.12 €1.63 63
EV/EBITDA €6.22 €8.61 €10.99 67
EV/Revenue n/a €0.1700 €0.5100 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.8400 €1.12 €1.68 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.85 €5.12 €9.02 73
Rev-Margin DCF €1.00 €2.19 €3.96 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.9% (2020) → 2.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.6% a year for the price.

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Compare Agile Content SA with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 358 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +115.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −30.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.68× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.48× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 19.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.26× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)66 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $512.90 $564.19 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $187.05 $42.16 −77%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.30 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $264.75 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $434.94 $249.20 −43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.12 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agile Content SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGIL

Frequently asked questions

Is Agile Content SA (AGIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.74 versus the last price from Aug 10, 2026 of €2.20, about +115% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AGIL?
Our model-based fair value for Agile Content SA is €4.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 10, 2026): €2.20.
What is the quality score of AGIL?
Agile Content SA has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.90, optimistic scenario €8.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Agile Content SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.74, about +115% upside versus the last price from Aug 10, 2026 of €2.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €2.90, optimistic scenario €8.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
Agile Content SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €83.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Agile Content SA would have to grow free cash flow by +21.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +32.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AGIL use?
Our models discount Agile Content SA at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.72, country premium for Spain. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Agile Content SA that is +21.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Agile Content SA (AGIL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Agile Content SA grew +32.5 % a year. The price currently implies +21.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Agile Content SA (AGIL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Agile Content SA (+21.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.77 %: that much free cash flow Agile Content SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agile Content SA it is €4.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €2.20. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Agile Content SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AGIL trades below its calculated fair value: price €2.20, fair value €4.74, a gap of about +115% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.74). For Agile Content SA the two are €2.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agile Content SA worth?
The market values Agile Content SA at about €50.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €2.20; our models calculate a fair value of €4.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGIL?
Our models span a range for Agile Content SA: cautious scenario €2.90, base €4.74, optimistic €8.25 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €2.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AGIL?
The PEG ratio of Agile Content SA is 0.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agile Content SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.6%, debt of 0.68 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGIL from its 52-week high?
Agile Content SA trades at €2.20, about 1% below its 52-week high of €2.22 and 41% above the low of €1.56 (as of Aug 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agile Content SA?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agile Content SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €2.20, calculated fair value €4.74 (+115%), Quality Score 48/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGIL calculated?
We run Agile Content SA through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €4.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Agile Content SA currently trades 54 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 10, 2026 and stands at €2.20. Our model-based fair value is €4.74, about +115% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Agile Content SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€2.90). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (€2.90 to €8.25). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Agile Content SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
The market capitalisation of Agile Content SA is €50.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agile Content SA is 0.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
The net margin of Agile Content SA is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agile Content SA is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agile Content SA is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
The operating margin of Agile Content SA is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agile Content SA (AGIL)?
Revenue at Agile Content SA is growing −30.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Agile Content SA (AGIL) carry?
The net debt of Agile Content SA is €27.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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