Austral Gold Limited (AGLD) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$86.9M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +8.0% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from C$0.1000 (bear) to C$0.1600 (bull), base C$0.1300. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0200 – C$0.2300 · fair‑value band C$0.1000 – C$0.1600 · the C$0.1350 price screens above the C$0.1300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Austral Gold Limited (AGLD) currently trades at C$0.1350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1300, implying the stock looks roughly 3.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Austral Gold Limited generated revenue of C$51.2M at a net margin of 28.8%. Revenue grew 84.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 66.8%. Net debt stands at C$15.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.1000 (bear case) to C$0.1600 (bull case); at C$0.1350, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 238% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -4%, AGLD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$0.2900) versus Growth DCF (C$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Austral Gold Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, production, and mining of gold and silver deposits in Chile, Argentina, and internationally. It explores gold and silver.
Full company description
Austral Gold Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, production, and mining of gold and silver deposits in Chile, Argentina, and internationally. It explores gold and silver. The company holds 100% interest in the Guanaco/Amancaya Mine Complex located to the southeast of Antofagasta in Northern Chile; and Casposo/Manantiales Mine Complex located in in Argentina. It is also involved in Paleocene Belt exploration project located in Chile; and Triassic Choiyoi Belt exploration project located in Argentina. The company was formerly known as Diamond Rose NL and changed its name to Austral Gold Limited in November 2006. Austral Gold Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Sydney, Australia. Austral Gold Limited operates as a subsidiary of Inversiones Financieras Del Sur S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Austral Gold Limited reported revenue of C$51.2M in FY2025 versus C$64.4M in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was C$14.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 579.75 MXN | 544.18 MXN | -6% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $17.76 | $8.15 | -54% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $34.60 | $29.53 | -15% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $10.71 | $19.44 | +82% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$35.90 | C$18.48 | -49% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$39.91 | C$21.85 | -45% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $32.25 | $16.03 | -50% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥19.06 | ¥2.84 | -85% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.71 | ¥13.23 | -39% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$35.18 | C$5.85 | -83% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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