Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $3.7B
Assured Guaranty Ltd
AGO · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +9.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $73.20 – $91.32 · fair‑value band $110.75 – $184.58 · the $85.36 price screens below the $147.67 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
✦ Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →Analysis
Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) currently trades at $85.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $147.67, implying the stock looks roughly 73.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Assured Guaranty Ltd generated revenue of $814M at a net margin of 51.0%. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $110.75 (bear case) to $184.58 (bull case); at $85.36, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at 73%, AGO screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through Insurance and Asset Management segments. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It also provides specialty insurance and reinsurance on transactions with risk profiles similar to those of its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form, as well as offers credit protection through reinsurance. In addition, the company insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed bonds, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it involved in insuring and reinsuring of …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Assured Guaranty Ltd reported revenue of $788M in FY2025 versus $698M in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was $503M in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.
Is AGO fairly valued? → Check now
Recent news
- Q1 Earnings Roundup: Skyward Specialty Insurance (NASDAQ:SKWD) And The Rest Of The Property & Casualty Insurance Segment
- Property & Casualty Insurance Stocks Q1 Highlights: Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO)
- 3 Small-Cap Stocks That Concern Us
- 1 Oversold Stock Primed to Rebound and 2 We Find Risky
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fidelity National Financial, Inc FNF | $46.94 | $38.62 | -18% |
| Medibank Private Limited MDBPF | $3.90 | $1.97 | -49% |
| Beazley plc BZLYF | $16.90 | $21.66 | +28% |
| AXIS Capital Holdings AXS | $105.72 | $156.78 | +48% |
| First American Financial Corporation FAF | $70.06 | $79.33 | +13% |
| Enact Holdings ACT | $40.95 | $51.98 | +27% |
| MGIC Investment Corporation MTG | $25.72 | $35.47 | +38% |
| Essent Group ESNT | $58.93 | $117.86 | +100% |
| Radian Group RDN | $34.73 | $32.34 | -7% |
| Protector Forsikring ASA PROT | kr 449.40 | kr 441.49 | -2% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) undervalued?
What is the fair value of AGO?
What is the quality score of AGO?
What is the revenue of Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO)?
What is the net profit margin of AGO?
Does Assured Guaranty Ltd pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Unlock the full Assured Guaranty Ltd analysis, and try Pro free
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.