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Medibank Private Limited (MDBPF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $10.7B

Price$3.90
Fair Value$1.63
Upside-58.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $1.22 – $2.04

Analysis

Medibank Private Limited (MDBPF) currently trades at $3.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.63 — implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Medibank Private Limited provides private health insurance in Australia. The company operates in two segments, Health Insurance and Medibank Health. The Health Insurance segment provides private health insurance products, including hospital cover that offers members with health cover for hospital treatments; and ancillary cover, which provides members with health cover for healthcare services comprising dental, optical, and physiotherapy, as well as offers health insurance products to overseas visitors and students. The Medibank Health segment provides health management and in-home care services, as well as a range of telehealth and primary care services to government and corporate customers; and distributes travel, life, and pet insurance products. It underwrites and distributes private health insurance policies under the Medibank and ahm brands for resident and nonresident customers. The company was founded in 1976 and is based in Docklands, Australia.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.