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Valterra Platinum Limited (AGPPF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $21.4B

VP Valterra Platinum Limited logo Valterra Platinum Limited AGPPF · US
Price$88.35
Fair Value$83.61
Upside-5.4%
Quality69/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/10)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $45.21 – $123.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $83.33 to $83.61 (+0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +24.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($45.21 to $123.17). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$112.79 $0.0100 Fair Value $83.61 Feb 2016 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0100 – $112.79 · fair‑value band $45.21 – $123.17 · the $88.35 price screens above the $83.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Valterra Platinum Limited (AGPPF) currently trades at $88.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $83.61, implying the stock looks roughly 5.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Valterra Platinum Limited generated revenue of $116B at a net margin of 13.3%. Revenue grew 30.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $45.21 (bear case) to $123.17 (bull case); at $88.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -5%, AGPPF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $752.86 $1,348 $2,550 80
Residual Income $388.22 $513.61 $1,534 76
Rev-Margin DCF $648.83 $1,199 $2,249 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $796.57 $1,218 $2,561 38
Owner Earnings $435.74 $913.59 $1,917 31
5Y Revenue Exit $636.90 $1,056 $1,931 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1,002 $1,795 $3,351 41
5Y P/E Exit $824.97 $1,782 $3,089 38
10Y Revenue Exit $672.87 $1,399 $1,859 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $960.55 $2,186 $4,361 37
10Y P/E Exit $831.12 $1,804 $3,408 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $397.24 $2,770 $3,888 54
Lynch FV $1,093 $1,561 $2,029 50
PEG = 1.0 $1,093 $1,561 $2,029 46
EPV $535.27 $614.29 $683.43 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $744.82 $993.09 $1,241 63
P/S Multiple $495.79 $661.06 $826.32 58
P/B Multiple $744.82 $993.09 $1,241 55
EV/EBIT $1,107 $1,455 $1,804 53
EV/EBITDA $1,041 $1,367 $1,694 54
EV/Revenue $523.88 $722.20 $920.52 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $187.42 $251.14 $374.84 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $752.86 $1,348 $2,550 80
Rev-Margin DCF $648.83 $1,199 $2,249 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $388.22 $513.61 $1,534 76
ROIC Compounder $677.08 $966.94 $1,177 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1,279 $1,827 $2,375 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($1,827) versus Asset-Based ($251.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $116B
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.3%
Net margin 13.3%
Return on equity 15.7%
Free cash flow $11.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 22.4
More key figures
Operating margin 28.6%
EPS (TTM) $3.61
EPS growth (YoY) +1,908%
Net debt $2.0B FY2017

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Valterra Platinum Limited engages in the production and supply of platinum group metals, base metals, and precious metals in South Africa, Asia, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company produces platinum, palladium, rhodium, ruthenium, iridium, and osmium; and nickel, copper, cobalt sulphate, and chrome, as well as gold and sodium sulphate.

Full company description

Valterra Platinum Limited engages in the production and supply of platinum group metals, base metals, and precious metals in South Africa, Asia, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company produces platinum, palladium, rhodium, ruthenium, iridium, and osmium; and nickel, copper, cobalt sulphate, and chrome, as well as gold and sodium sulphate. It also provides fuel cell electric vehicles. The company was formerly known as Anglo American Platinum Limited and changed its name to Valterra Platinum Limited in May 2025. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Valterra Platinum Limited reported revenue of $116B in FY2025 versus $215B in FY2021, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was $15.4B in FY2025, compounding −33.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$116B
Latest YoY
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+6.9%
Revenue −14.2%/yr
FY21 $215B
FY22 $164B
FY23 $125B
FY24 $109B
FY25 $116B
Net income −33.5%/yr
FY21 $79.0B
FY22 $49.2B
FY23 $13.0B
FY24 $7.1B
FY25 $15.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Valterra Platinum Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGPPF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 26 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 21
PAST 63 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fresnillo plc FRES 579.75 MXN 558.30 MXN -4%
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.52 $8.15 -44%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $29.82 $29.96 +0%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $8.12 $9.90 +22%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$24.78 C$18.48 -25%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$32.98 C$21.86 -34%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $28.10 $16.03 -43%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥21.01 ¥13.23 -37%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA C$26.10 C$5.85 -78%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥13.15 ¥2.84 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Valterra Platinum Limited (AGPPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $83.61 versus a price of $88.35, about −5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AGPPF?
Our model-based fair value for Valterra Platinum Limited is $83.61 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $88.35.
What is the quality score of AGPPF?
Valterra Platinum Limited has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Valterra Platinum Limited (AGPPF)?
Valterra Platinum Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $116B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AGPPF?
The net profit margin of Valterra Platinum Limited is about 13.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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