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Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Anglo Asian Mining PLC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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AA
Broad data
Sep 13, 2026
Broad data
Sep 13, 2026
Anglo Asian Mining PLC
AGXKF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality growthQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $5.00 · Overvalued (−13%)
✓Quality 70/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 14.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 59/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0143 – $5.83 · fair‑value band $3.58 – $6.82 · the $5.75 price screens above the $5.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Anglo Asian Mining PLC, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates gold, silver, and copper producing properties in the Republic of Azerbaijan. It explores and develops gold and copper deposits. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Baku, Azerbaijan.
Stock analysis
Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF) currently trades at $5.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.00, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.98 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the $5.75 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.5000, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.58 (bear) to $6.82 (bull), the price of $5.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Anglo Asian Mining PLC reported revenue of $126M in FY2025 versus $92.5M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $18.1M in FY2025, compounding +25.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $659M · P/E ratio 38.3 · P/S ratio 5.52 · EPS (TTM) $0.1500 · Net margin 14.4% · Return on equity 23.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Operating margin 28.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 234% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −13%, AGXKF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.58
Fair Value $5.00
Bull $6.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1056 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.00
$3.00
$4.45
80
Growth DCF
$1.99
$2.90
$4.16
78
Owner Earnings
$1.61
$2.40
$3.53
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.00
$3.00
$4.45
80
Owner Earnings
$1.61
$2.40
$3.53
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.58
$2.35
$3.35
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$3.26
$5.66
$8.60
74
5Y P/E Exit
$2.01
$3.21
$4.51
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.69
$2.42
$3.43
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.72
$4.58
$7.28
67
10Y P/E Exit
$1.98
$2.98
$4.29
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$1.07
$4.26
$5.78
64
Lynch FV
$1.05
$1.51
$1.96
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.05
$1.51
$1.96
57
EPV
$2.48
$2.79
$3.04
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.3100
$0.5600
$0.7800
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.3100
$0.5100
$0.6000
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$2.01
$2.68
$3.36
63
P/S Multiple
$1.23
$1.64
$2.06
58
P/B Multiple
$1.68
$2.24
$2.80
55
EV/EBIT
$3.95
$5.19
$6.44
66
EV/EBITDA
$4.48
$5.89
$7.31
67
EV/Revenue
$1.37
$1.86
$2.35
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.3700
$0.5000
$0.7500
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$1.99
$2.90
$4.16
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.58
$2.36
$3.32
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.9000
$1.20
$4.34
64
ROIC Compounder
$2.62
$3.11
$3.63
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.65
$2.36
$3.07
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
70/100
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Profitability
51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+217.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1% vs 16%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 32%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.4%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
AGXKF screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $128.00 | $175.41 | +37% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.26 | ¥57.62 | +79% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$278.09 | C$313.75 | +13% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $43.68 | $60.62 | +39% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $266.00 | $292.60 | +10% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$213.75 | C$112.10 | −48% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $104.42 | $88.63 | −15% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$160.10 | HK$147.86 | −8% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $29.13 | $51.02 | +75% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $252.28 | $277.51 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.00 versus a price of $5.75, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AGXKF?
Our model-based fair value for Anglo Asian Mining PLC is $5.00 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.75.
What is the quality score of AGXKF?
Anglo Asian Mining PLC has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.00 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.58, optimistic scenario $6.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Anglo Asian Mining PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.00, about −13% upside versus a price of $5.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.58, optimistic scenario $6.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
Anglo Asian Mining PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $123M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Anglo Asian Mining PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +25.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AGXKF use?
Our models discount Anglo Asian Mining PLC at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.40, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Anglo Asian Mining PLC that is +25.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Anglo Asian Mining PLC grew +4.2 % a year. The price currently implies +25.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Anglo Asian Mining PLC (+25.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.08 %: that much free cash flow Anglo Asian Mining PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Anglo Asian Mining PLC it is $5.00 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $5.75. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Anglo Asian Mining PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AGXKF trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.75, fair value $5.00, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGXKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.00). For Anglo Asian Mining PLC the two are $0.7500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Anglo Asian Mining PLC worth?
The market values Anglo Asian Mining PLC at about $659M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $5.75; our models calculate a fair value of $5.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGXKF?
Our models span a range for Anglo Asian Mining PLC: cautious scenario $3.58, base $5.00, optimistic $6.82 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $5.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is AGXKF from its 52-week high?
Anglo Asian Mining PLC trades at $5.75, about 22% below its 52-week high of $4.72 and 234% above the low of $1.72 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Anglo Asian Mining PLC?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Anglo Asian Mining PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $5.75, calculated fair value $5.00 (−13%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGXKF calculated?
We run Anglo Asian Mining PLC through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Anglo Asian Mining PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Anglo Asian Mining PLC right now?
A fairly wide model range ($3.58 to $6.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Anglo Asian Mining PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
The market capitalisation of Anglo Asian Mining PLC is $659M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Anglo Asian Mining PLC is 38.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Anglo Asian Mining PLC is 5.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
Earnings per share at Anglo Asian Mining PLC are $0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
The net margin of Anglo Asian Mining PLC is 14.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Anglo Asian Mining PLC is 23.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Anglo Asian Mining PLC is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
The operating margin of Anglo Asian Mining PLC is 28.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
Revenue at Anglo Asian Mining PLC is growing +212% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF)?
Earnings per share at Anglo Asian Mining PLC are growing −76.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AGXKF) carry?
The net debt of Anglo Asian Mining PLC is $36.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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