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C3.ai, Inc. (AI1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of C3.ai, Inc. stock MXN 63.76, price MXN 210, upside -69.6%, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · MX · Based in US

CA C3.ai, Inc. logo Thin data Oct 17, 2026

C3.ai, Inc.

AI1 · MX

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 70% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value 63.76 MXN · Strongly overvalued (−69.6%)
Quality 29/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.1 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -192.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/9)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1,385 MXN 136.00 MXN Fair Value 63.76 MXN Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 136.00 MXN – 1,385 MXN · fair‑value band 42.08 MXN – 79.70 MXN · the 210.00 MXN price screens above the 63.76 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 17, 2026.

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Company profile

C3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence application software company.

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The company offers C3 agentic AI platform, an application development and runtime environment that enables customers to design, develop, and deploy enterprise AI applications; C3 AI CRM Suite, a customer relationship management solution; C3 Generative AI that enables to locate, retrieve, present information, disparate data stores, applications, and enterprise information systems; C3 AI Health Suite to accelerate healthcare innovation; and C3 AI Financial Services Suite.

Its C3 AI Applications include C3 AI Asset Performance suite, which consists of C3 AI Reliability, C3 AI Process Optimization, and C3 AI Energy Management applications.

The company's C3 AI Supply Chain Suite comprises C3 AI Supply Network Risk, C3 AI Inventory Optimization, C3 AI Demand Forecasting, C3 AI Production Schedule Optimization, and C3 AI Sourcing Optimization solutions; C3 AI Sustainability Suite includes C3 AI ESG and C3 AI Energy Management applications to decrease greenhouse gas emissions; and C3 AI Defense & Intelligence Suite.

It provides C3 AI State and Local Government Suite that includes various applications, such as C3 Law Enforcement for state, county, and municipal law enforcement agencies; C3 AI Residential Property Appraisal and C3 AI Commercial Property Appraisal for county property assessors and appraisers; and C3 Generative AI for Government Programs and C3 Generative AI for Constituent Services for federal, state, and local governments.

It has strategic partnerships with Microsoft Azure, AWS, Google Cloud, McKinsey & Company, Baker Hughes, Booz Allen, and others. The company has a strategic alliance with SMX Group, LLC for the development of mission critical AI in the secure environments.

The company was formerly known as C3 IoT, Inc. and changed its name to C3.ai, Inc. in June 2019. C3.ai, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

Stock analysis

C3.ai, Inc. (AI1) currently trades at 210.00 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 63.76 MXN, 69.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 42.08 MXN (bear) to 79.70 MXN (bull), the price of 210.00 MXN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

C3.ai, Inc. reported revenue of $250M in FY2026 versus $253M in FY2022, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$470M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 35.4B MXN (≈ $1.9B) · EPS (TTM) −55.11 MXN · Net margin −192% · Return on equity −59.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −33.0% · Operating margin −186% · Revenue (TTM) $232M · Revenue growth (YoY) −25.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −70%, AI1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 42.08 MXN Fair Value 63.76 MXN Bull 79.70 MXN
Price 210.00 MXN · Upside -69.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 42.30 MXN 64.08 MXN 80.11 MXN 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 42.30 MXN 64.08 MXN 80.11 MXN 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 6
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 3
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 82
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 55
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 17
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−32.9% (2021) → −194.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AI1 screens overvalued: fair value 70% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 347 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −57.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −192.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −186.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −25.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.93× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 8.24× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $543.45 $597.80 +10% vs AI1
Block, Inc XYZ $77.89 $76.95 −1% vs AI1
Oracle Corporation ORCL $130.55 $112.26 −14% vs AI1
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $194.75 $164.68 −15% vs AI1
NetApp, Inc NTAP $203.80 $157.26 −23% vs AI1
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $77.81 $58.32 −25% vs AI1
Okta, Inc OKTA $232.13 $142.12 −39% vs AI1
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $479.93 $249.20 −48% vs AI1
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $200.97 $42.16 −79% vs AI1
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $261.21 $37.31 −86% vs AI1

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C3.ai, Inc. · Fair Value
63.76 MXN −70%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "C3.ai, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AI1.MX

Frequently asked questions

Is C3.ai, Inc. (AI1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 63.76 MXN versus a price of 210.00 MXN, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AI1?
Our model-based fair value for C3.ai, Inc. is 63.76 MXN (as of Oct 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 210.00 MXN.
What is the quality score of AI1?
C3.ai, Inc. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 63.76 MXN (as of Oct 17, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 42.08 MXN, optimistic scenario 79.70 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the C3.ai, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 63.76 MXN, about −70% upside versus a price of 210.00 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 42.08 MXN, optimistic scenario 79.70 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
C3.ai, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $232M (latest available figure, as of Oct 17, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For C3.ai, Inc. it is 63.76 MXN per share (as of Oct 17, 2026), against a price of 210.00 MXN. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is C3.ai, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 17, 2026, AI1 trades above its calculated fair value: price 210.00 MXN, fair value 63.76 MXN, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AI1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (210.00 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (63.76 MXN). For C3.ai, Inc. the two are 146.24 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is C3.ai, Inc. worth?
The market values C3.ai, Inc. at about 35.4B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 17, 2026). Per share that is 210.00 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 63.76 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AI1?
Our models span a range for C3.ai, Inc.: cautious scenario 42.08 MXN, base 63.76 MXN, optimistic 79.70 MXN per share (as of Oct 17, 2026, price 210.00 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Balance-sheet figures for C3.ai, Inc. (as of Oct 17, 2026): return on equity −59.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AI1 from its 52-week high?
C3.ai, Inc. trades at 210.00 MXN, about 38% below its 52-week high of 338.00 MXN and 54% above the low of 136.00 MXN (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 63.76 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to C3.ai, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is C3.ai, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 17, 2026: price 210.00 MXN, calculated fair value 63.76 MXN (−70%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AI1 calculated?
We run C3.ai, Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 63.76 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7 % above its aggregate fair value. C3.ai, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was 210.00 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 63.76 MXN, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with C3.ai, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (79.70 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (42.08 MXN to 79.70 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of C3.ai, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The market capitalisation of C3.ai, Inc. is 35.4B MXN (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Earnings per share at C3.ai, Inc. are −55.11 MXN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The net margin of C3.ai, Inc. is −192% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of C3.ai, Inc. is −59.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of C3.ai, Inc. is −33.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
The operating margin of C3.ai, Inc. is −186% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at C3.ai, Inc. (AI1)?
Revenue at C3.ai, Inc. is growing −25.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does C3.ai, Inc. (AI1) generate?
The free cash flow of C3.ai, Inc. is −$192M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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