Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Ai Holdings Corporation $25.70, price $15.12, upside +70.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range $13.40 – $15.12 · fair‑value band $8.42 – $34.09 · the $15.12 price screens below the $25.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Ai Holdings Corporation provides security and peripheral computer equipment, measuring equipment, business communication systems, and card and other office equipment.
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Ai Holdings Corporation provides security and peripheral computer equipment, measuring equipment, business communication systems, and card and other office equipment. The company offers surveillance cameras and recorders for banks, governmental facilities, shopping districts, retail shops, and other facilities, as well as installation and after-sales services; card issuing system and specialized CAD software for steel structures; and systems for medical institutions to general-purpose systems, such as magnetic card readers, ID cards, and cards with embedded IC chips. The company also provides cutting plotters for professional and home use; measuring instruments for voltage, current, temperature, humidity, pulse, and data captures; cloud storage products; and office-oriented business phones for general corporate offices, nursing care facilities, medical facilities, factory plants, mass retailers, and commercial facilities, as well as an optimal communications system for small-to-large-scale business establishments. In addition, it develops, manufactures, and sells the Ai-Glies demand control and energy conservation systems, which reduce electric power consumption and power usage fees for air conditioners; and offers architectural design and mechanical, electrical, and plumbing engineering services, as well as engages in the IoT promotion business, such as IoT, high-speed communications (5G/6G), digital transformations (DX), and AI-based automation. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF) currently trades at $15.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.70, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 24 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Scenario range: $8.42 (bear) to $34.09 (bull), the price of $15.12 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ai Holdings Corporation reported revenue of ¥66.2B in FY2025 versus ¥46.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥21.3B in FY2025, compounding +38.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $805M · P/E ratio 6.4 · P/S ratio 2.06 · EPS (TTM) $2.36 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 32.1% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 70%, AIHZF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $8.42Fair Value $25.70Bull $34.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +2.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 13%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 130% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.3% a year for the price.
Compare Ai Holdings Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 358 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside+70.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)17.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)17.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth31.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.70 versus a price of $15.12, about +70% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AIHZF?
Our model-based fair value for Ai Holdings Corporation is $25.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.12.
What is the quality score of AIHZF?
Ai Holdings Corporation has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $25.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.42, optimistic scenario $34.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ai Holdings Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $25.70, about +70% upside versus a price of $15.12 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $8.42, optimistic scenario $34.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
Ai Holdings Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥80.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ai Holdings Corporation pay a dividend?
Ai Holdings Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ai Holdings Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +10.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AIHZF use?
Our models discount Ai Holdings Corporation at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ai Holdings Corporation that is +10.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ai Holdings Corporation grew +8.9 % a year. The price currently implies +10.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ai Holdings Corporation (+10.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.10 %: that much free cash flow Ai Holdings Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ai Holdings Corporation it is $25.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $15.12. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ai Holdings Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AIHZF trades below its calculated fair value: price $15.12, fair value $25.70, a gap of about +70% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIHZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($25.70). For Ai Holdings Corporation the two are $10.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ai Holdings Corporation worth?
The market values Ai Holdings Corporation at about $805M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $15.12; our models calculate a fair value of $25.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIHZF?
Our models span a range for Ai Holdings Corporation: cautious scenario $8.42, base $25.70, optimistic $34.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $15.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AIHZF?
Ai Holdings Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $25.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ai Holdings Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIHZF from its 52-week high?
Ai Holdings Corporation trades at $15.12, at its 52-week high of $15.12 and 8% above the low of $13.99 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $25.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ai Holdings Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ITOCHU Corporation, 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ai Holdings Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $15.12, calculated fair value $25.70 (+70%), Quality Score 46/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIHZF calculated?
We run Ai Holdings Corporation through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $25.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ai Holdings Corporation currently trades 70 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $15.12. Our model-based fair value is $25.70, about +70% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ai Holdings Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($8.42 to $34.09). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Ai Holdings Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
The market capitalisation of Ai Holdings Corporation is $805M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ai Holdings Corporation is 2.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
Earnings per share at Ai Holdings Corporation are $2.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
The dividend yield of Ai Holdings Corporation is 4.0% (payout 25.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
The net margin of Ai Holdings Corporation is 32.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ai Holdings Corporation is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ai Holdings Corporation is 11.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
The operating margin of Ai Holdings Corporation is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
Revenue at Ai Holdings Corporation is growing +31.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ai Holdings Corporation (AIHZF)?
Earnings per share at Ai Holdings Corporation are growing +29.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026