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Aker ASA (AKER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Aker ASA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · NO · ISIN NO0010234552

AA Broad data Sep 19, 2026

Aker ASA

AKER · OL

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 617.95 · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 60/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +37.7 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 69.3% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·3.41% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 89/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 1,624 kr 453.50 Fair Value kr 617.95 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 453.50 – kr 1,624 · fair‑value band kr 515.79 – kr 1,094 · the kr 1,554 price screens above the kr 617.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.

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Company profile

Aker ASA operates as an industrial investment company in Norway, Europa, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Listed Equity Investments and Unlisted Equity Investments. It is involved in exploration and production of oil and gas; provision of offshore supply vessels to global offshore energy markets.

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Aker ASA operates as an industrial investment company in Norway, Europa, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Listed Equity Investments and Unlisted Equity Investments. It is involved in exploration and production of oil and gas; provision of offshore supply vessels to global offshore energy markets. In addition, the company develops and supplies krill-based products, and health and nutrition products; long-term property development and management; industrial software, artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and infrastructure, that improve efficiency and decision-making across capital-intensive industries; oil and gas production and energy services; renewable energy sector; and harvesting and processing of marine biomass for human, and animal nutrition. Further, it offers subscriptions to access the software-as-a-service (SaaS) applications. Additionally, the company engages in real estate activities. The company was founded in 1841 and is based in Lysaker, Norway. Aker ASA operates as a subsidiary of TRG Holding AS.

Stock analysis

Aker ASA (AKER) currently trades at kr 1,554, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 617.95, implying the stock looks roughly 151.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of kr 1,709 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 1,554 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 91.16, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: kr 515.79 (bear) to kr 1,094 (bull), the price of kr 1,554 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Aker ASA reported revenue of 18.4B NOK in FY2025 versus 5.7B NOK in FY2021, a compound +34.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9B NOK in FY2025, compounding −1.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 115B NOK (≈ $12.2B) · P/E ratio 28.5 · P/S ratio 6.11 · EPS (TTM) kr 54.45 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 21.4% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades near its 52-week high and 176% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −60%, AKER screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 515.79 Fair Value kr 617.95 Bull kr 1,094
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 237.24 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income kr 535.73 kr 579.51 kr 684.46 76
Growth DCF n/a kr 91.16 kr 626.86 75
Rev-Margin DCF n/a kr 274.94 kr 893.99 69
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings kr 25.56 kr 673.03 kr 2,032 65
5Y P/E Exit n/a kr 564.60 kr 1,343 68
10Y P/E Exit n/a kr 499.63 kr 1,509 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 359.73 kr 2,509 kr 3,521 63
Lynch FV kr 834.31 kr 1,192 kr 1,549 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 974.80 kr 2,027 kr 3,215 66
DDM Multi-Stage kr 974.80 kr 1,709 kr 2,127 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 515.79 kr 687.72 kr 859.65 63
P/B Multiple kr 661.44 kr 881.92 kr 1,102 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 314.97 kr 422.06 kr 629.94 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a kr 91.16 kr 626.86 75
Rev-Margin DCF n/a kr 274.94 kr 893.99 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 535.73 kr 579.51 kr 684.46 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 92

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+50.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.7%
Revenue growth 21 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+18.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs −12%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−26% → 19%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

AKER screens 151% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (89 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 377 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Return on assets 16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 69% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 82% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 361% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.83× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.92× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.23× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 6.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.88× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)59 · sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)68 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €26.18 €7.65 −71%
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$99.70 HK$34.59 −65%
SK Inc 034730 539,000 KRW 360,206 KRW −33%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,900 IDR 9,800 IDR +100%
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $57.40 $79.11 +38%
Keppel Ltd BN4 11.43 SGD 3.86 SGD −66%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aker ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKER

Frequently asked questions

Is Aker ASA (AKER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 617.95 versus a price of kr 1,554, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKER?
Our model-based fair value for Aker ASA is kr 617.95 (as of Sep 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 1,554.
What is the quality score of AKER?
Aker ASA has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aker ASA (AKER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 617.95 (as of Sep 19, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 515.79, optimistic scenario kr 1,094. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aker ASA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 617.95, about −60% upside versus a price of kr 1,554 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 515.79, optimistic scenario kr 1,094. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aker ASA (AKER)?
Aker ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.4B NOK (latest available figure, as of Sep 19, 2026).
Does Aker ASA pay a dividend?
Aker ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 19, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aker ASA (AKER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aker ASA would have to grow free cash flow by +35.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +37.7 % per year. As of Sep 19, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AKER use?
Our models discount Aker ASA at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for Norway. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aker ASA that is +35.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aker ASA (AKER) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aker ASA grew +37.7 % a year. The price currently implies +35.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aker ASA (AKER) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aker ASA (+35.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aker ASA (AKER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.25 %: that much free cash flow Aker ASA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aker ASA (AKER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aker ASA it is kr 617.95 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026), against a price of kr 1,554. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aker ASA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 19, 2026, AKER trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 1,554, fair value kr 617.95, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 1,554); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 617.95). For Aker ASA the two are kr 936.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aker ASA worth?
The market values Aker ASA at about 115B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 19, 2026). Per share that is kr 1,554; our models calculate a fair value of kr 617.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKER?
Our models span a range for Aker ASA: cautious scenario kr 515.79, base kr 617.95, optimistic kr 1,094 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026, price kr 1,554). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AKER?
Aker ASA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.5 (as of Sep 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 617.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.9, P/B 1.9, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
What is the PEG ratio of AKER?
The PEG ratio of Aker ASA is 1.88 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 19, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aker ASA (AKER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aker ASA (as of Sep 19, 2026): return on equity 45.1%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKER from its 52-week high?
Aker ASA trades at kr 1,554, about 16% below its 52-week high of kr 1,334 and 176% above the low of kr 562.99 (as of Sep 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 617.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aker ASA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ITOCHU Corporation, 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aker ASA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 19, 2026: price kr 1,554, calculated fair value kr 617.95 (−60%), Quality Score 60/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKER calculated?
We run Aker ASA through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 617.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Aker ASA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aker ASA (AKER)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was kr 1,554. Our model-based fair value is kr 617.95, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aker ASA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1,094). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 515.79 to kr 1,094) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Aker ASA

How large is the market capitalisation of Aker ASA (AKER)?
The market capitalisation of Aker ASA is 115B NOK (≈ $12.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aker ASA (AKER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aker ASA is 6.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aker ASA (AKER)?
Earnings per share at Aker ASA are kr 54.45 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aker ASA (AKER)?
The dividend yield of Aker ASA is 3.4% (payout 97.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aker ASA (AKER)?
The net margin of Aker ASA is 21.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aker ASA (AKER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aker ASA is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aker ASA (AKER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aker ASA is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aker ASA (AKER)?
The operating margin of Aker ASA is 27.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aker ASA (AKER)?
Revenue at Aker ASA is growing +12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Aker ASA (AKER) carry?
The net debt of Aker ASA is 38.7B NOK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 26.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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