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AIRA Capital Public Company (AIRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TH · Market cap 6.4B THB

AC AIRA Capital Public Company AIRA · BK
Price1.03 THB
Fair Value0.3300 THB
Upside-68.0%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -8.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.2500 THB – 0.5000 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5000 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.2500 THB to 0.5000 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.43 THB 0.8500 THB Fair Value 0.3300 THB Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.8500 THB – 2.43 THB · fair‑value band 0.2500 THB – 0.5000 THB · the 1.03 THB price screens above the 0.3300 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

AIRA Capital Public Company (AIRA) currently trades at 1.03 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3300 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 68.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, AIRA Capital Public Company generated revenue of 740M THB at a net margin of -8.6%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. Net debt stands at 4.6B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.2500 THB (bear case) to 0.5000 THB (bull case); at 1.03 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -68%, AIRA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.4300 THB 0.5900 THB 0.8100 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.2500 THB 0.3400 THB 0.4400 THB 74
NCAV (Graham) 0.2500 THB 0.3300 THB 0.5000 THB 50
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2500 THB 0.3300 THB 0.5000 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.4300 THB 0.5900 THB 0.8100 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.2500 THB 0.3400 THB 0.4400 THB 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (0.3400 THB) versus Asset-Based (0.3300 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 740M THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.1%
Net margin -8.6%
Return on equity 0.0%
Free cash flow 242M THB FY2025
Operating margin -3.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0100 THB
EPS growth (YoY) -77.9%
Net debt 4.6B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AIRA Capital Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment and financial advisory activities in Thailand. It operates through Securities and Investment Business, Advisory and Investment Banking, Factoring, Rental and Service Business, and Property Development segments.

Full company description

AIRA Capital Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment and financial advisory activities in Thailand. It operates through Securities and Investment Business, Advisory and Investment Banking, Factoring, Rental and Service Business, and Property Development segments. The company offers securities brokerage, securities trading, investment advisory, securities underwriting, securities borrowing and lending, derivatives brokerage, and private fund management services. In addition, it provides financial services; hire purchase, financial lease, and operating lease for industrial equipment and machines; and private fund, mutual fund management and securities brokerage of investment unit services, as well as receivable factoring, venture capital, property development, and asset management businesses. Further, it is involved in the real estate industry. AIRA Capital Public Company Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AIRA Capital Public Company reported revenue of 1.0B THB in FY2025 versus 1.1B THB in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −109M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B THB
Latest YoY
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Revenue −0.7%/yr
FY21 1.1B THB
FY22 909M THB
FY23 967M THB
FY24 1.1B THB
FY25 1.0B THB
Net income
FY21 126M THB
FY22 −14.8M THB
FY23 −194M THB
FY24 −136M THB
FY25 −109M THB

AIRA screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AIRA Capital Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIRA

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 21 · sector 96
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 92 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AIRA Capital Public Company (AIRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3300 THB versus a price of 1.03 THB, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIRA?
Our model-based fair value for AIRA Capital Public Company is 0.3300 THB (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.03 THB.
What is the quality score of AIRA?
AIRA Capital Public Company has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AIRA Capital Public Company (AIRA)?
AIRA Capital Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 740M THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AIRA?
The net profit margin of AIRA Capital Public Company is about -8.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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