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Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (AKFGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TR · Market cap 10.7B TRY

AG Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. AKFGY · IS
Price2.77 TRY
Fair Value5.05 TRY
Upside+82.3%
Quality50/100
Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 99.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Wide moat 66/100
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Evidence: High Range 3.44 TRY – 6.57 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Share price +0.4% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (3.44 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (3.44 TRY to 6.57 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

3.12 TRY 2.46 TRY Fair Value 5.05 TRY Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 2.46 TRY – 3.12 TRY · fair‑value band 3.44 TRY – 6.57 TRY · the 2.77 TRY price screens below the 5.05 TRY fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (AKFGY) currently trades at 2.77 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.05 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 82.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. generated revenue of 1.8B TRY at a net margin of 99.0%. Revenue grew 41.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at 4.1B TRY. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.44 TRY (bear case) to 6.57 TRY (bull case); at 2.77 TRY, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 82%, AKFGY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +41.4%
Net margin 99.0%
Return on equity 5.7%
Free cash flow 1.2B TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 6.1
More key figures
Operating margin 81.2%
EPS (TTM) 0.4500 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -91.7%
Net debt 4.1B TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100
Profitability 38
Quality Growth 54
Cashflow 75
Fin. Strength 55
Investment 33
Low Volatility 80
Momentum 33
52W Momentum 37
Net Issuance 40

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. was formed because of the name change and restructuring of Aksel Tourism Investments and Management Inc. (Aksel) into a real estate investment partnership. Aksel was initially established as a partnership between Hamdi Akin and Yüksel Insaat A.S. with the aim of investing in the domestic tourism sector.

Full company description

Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. was formed because of the name change and restructuring of Aksel Tourism Investments and Management Inc. (Aksel) into a real estate investment partnership. Aksel was initially established as a partnership between Hamdi Akin and Yüksel Insaat A.S. with the aim of investing in the domestic tourism sector. Subsequently, the shares of Yüksel Insaat A.S. were acquired by Akfen Holding A.S. (Akfen Holding) in 2006, and the Company became a subsidiary of Akfen Holding. The restructuring was finalized with the transformation of the Company into a (Real Estate Investment Trust) following the Board of Directors' decision dated April 25, 2006, and the Capital Markets Board's (CMB) decision numbered 31/894 dated July 14, 2006, which was registered on August 25, 2006. The adoption of the title (Real Estate Investment Trust) and the change in the scope of activity were published in the Trade Registry Gazette on August 31, 2006. On August 6, 2018, 1000 Class A and 1000 Class D preferred shares of Akfen GYO, owned by Akfen Holding, were transferred to Hamdi Akin, who is the indirect ultimate owner of management control of these shares. The company's main activity is investing in real estate-based capital market instruments, creating and developing a real estate portfolio, and engaging in the purposes and activities described in Articles 5, 23, and 25 of the Capital Markets Board's Communiqué on Principles Regarding Real Estate Investment Trusts (Series III, No: 48.1). In 2005, the company signed a framework agreement with ACCOR SA, one of the world's leading hotel chains, to develop hotel projects in Türkiye under the Novotel and Ibis Hotel brands. The company primarily develops Novotel and Ibis branded hotel projects and leases them to Tamaris Turizm A.S. (Tamaris), a wholly owned subsidiary of ACCOR SA operating in Türkiye. The company was listed on the Istanbul Stock Exchange (BIST) on May 11, 2011. Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. was established on June 25, 1997.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported revenue of 1.6B TRY in FY2025 versus 191M TRY in FY2021, a compound +71.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.6B TRY in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +71.2%/yr
FY21 191M TRY
FY22 512M TRY
FY23 1.6B TRY
FY24 1.6B TRY
FY25 1.6B TRY
Net income +5.8%/yr
FY21 2.1B TRY
FY22 3.1B TRY
FY23 1.0B TRY
FY24 1.9B TRY
FY25 2.6B TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKFGY

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 3
FUTURE 100 / 7
PAST 23 / 6
HEALTH 93 / 70
DIVIDEND 0 / 65

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $24.50 $16.49 -33%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $129.77 $48.74 -62%
COVH COVH €23.20 €40.93 +76%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $16.64 $12.63 -24%
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK $14.34 $20.58 +44%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.31 $6.25 -49%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.74 $3.89 -67%
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB $18.36 $43.55 +137%
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR $21.49 $11.63 -46%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $11.36 $6.57 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (AKFGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.05 TRY versus a price of 2.77 TRY, about +82% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AKFGY?
Our model-based fair value for Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is 5.05 TRY (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.77 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKFGY?
Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (AKFGY)?
Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B TRY (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AKFGY?
The net profit margin of Akfen Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is about 99.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 99.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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