Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Akr Corporindo Tbk IDR 1,691, price IDR 1,460, upside +15.8%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 434.77 IDR – 1,553 IDR · fair‑value band 1,102 IDR – 2,287 IDR · the 1,460 IDR price screens below the 1,691 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, engages in distribution and trading of petroleum and basic chemical products in Indonesia. It operates through four segments: Trading and Distribution, Logistics Services, Manufacturing, and Industrial Estate and related utility services.
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PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, engages in distribution and trading of petroleum and basic chemical products in Indonesia. It operates through four segments: Trading and Distribution, Logistics Services, Manufacturing, and Industrial Estate and related utility services. The Trading and Distribution segment distributes petroleum products, and base chemicals, such as caustic soda, sodium sulphate, PVC resins, soda ash, chlor-alkali chemicals, and solvents, as well as organic and non-organic chemicals. The Logistics Services segment offers rental of storage tanks and warehouses, bagging, port handling, and transportation services primarily for liquid and solid chemical, and petroleum products. The Manufacturing segment produces and sells adhesive materials. The Industrial Estate segment leases and sells industrial estate land, sales of electricity, and other related services to tenants of the estate. The company is also involved in coal trading and mining; domestic shipping; installation, construction, operation, and generation of electric power; industrial estate operations and supporting facilities; and trading and distribution of lubricants. The company was formerly known as PT Aneka Kimia Raya Tbk and changed its name to PT AKR Corporindo Tbk in September 2004. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT AKR Corporindo Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Arthakencana Rayatama.
Stock analysis
Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) currently trades at 1,460 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,691 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 13.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 3,260 IDR per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,460 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 411.34 IDR, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1,102 IDR (bear) to 2,287 IDR (bull), the price of 1,460 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Akr Corporindo Tbk reported revenue of 46.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 25.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5T IDR in FY2025, compounding +22.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 28.8T IDR (≈ $2.9B) · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 0.60 · EPS (TTM) 129.88 IDR · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 18.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% · Operating margin 6.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at 16%, AKRA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,102 IDRFair Value 1,691 IDRBull 2,287 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (95.01 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+21.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.22% vs 9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.9% a year for the price and −0.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 110 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+16% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
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Is Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,691 IDR versus a price of 1,460 IDR, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AKRA?
Our model-based fair value for Akr Corporindo Tbk is 1,691 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,460 IDR.
What is the quality score of AKRA?
Akr Corporindo Tbk has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,691 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,102 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,287 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akr Corporindo Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,691 IDR, about +16% upside versus a price of 1,460 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,102 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,287 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
Akr Corporindo Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 48.7T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Akr Corporindo Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AKRA use?
Our models discount Akr Corporindo Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Akr Corporindo Tbk that is +0.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Akr Corporindo Tbk grew +21.0 % a year. The price currently implies +0.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Akr Corporindo Tbk (+0.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.98 %: that much free cash flow Akr Corporindo Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akr Corporindo Tbk it is 1,691 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,460 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Akr Corporindo Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AKRA trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,460 IDR, fair value 1,691 IDR, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKRA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,460 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,691 IDR). For Akr Corporindo Tbk the two are 231.30 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akr Corporindo Tbk worth?
The market values Akr Corporindo Tbk at about 28.8T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,460 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,691 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKRA?
Our models span a range for Akr Corporindo Tbk: cautious scenario 1,102 IDR, base 1,691 IDR, optimistic 2,287 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,460 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AKRA?
Akr Corporindo Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,691 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 2.4, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
What is the PEG ratio of AKRA?
The PEG ratio of Akr Corporindo Tbk is 0.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Akr Corporindo Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 18.9%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKRA from its 52-week high?
Akr Corporindo Tbk trades at 1,460 IDR, about 6% below its 52-week high of 1,550 IDR and 42% above the low of 1,031 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,691 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Akr Corporindo Tbk?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Akr Corporindo Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,460 IDR, calculated fair value 1,691 IDR (+16%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKRA calculated?
We run Akr Corporindo Tbk through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,691 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Akr Corporindo Tbk currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,460 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,691 IDR, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Akr Corporindo Tbk right now?
A fairly wide model range (1,102 IDR to 2,287 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) come from?
Earnings per share at Akr Corporindo Tbk grew +11.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.2 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Akr Corporindo Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
The market capitalisation of Akr Corporindo Tbk is 28.8T IDR (≈ $2.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akr Corporindo Tbk is 0.60 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
Earnings per share at Akr Corporindo Tbk are 129.88 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
The net margin of Akr Corporindo Tbk is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akr Corporindo Tbk is 18.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akr Corporindo Tbk is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
The operating margin of Akr Corporindo Tbk is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
Revenue at Akr Corporindo Tbk is growing +26.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA)?
Earnings per share at Akr Corporindo Tbk are growing +16.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Akr Corporindo Tbk (AKRA) hold?
Akr Corporindo Tbk holds more cash than debt, 692B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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