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PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, (AKRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · ID · Market cap 26.8T IDR

PA PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, AKRA · JK
Price1,420 IDR
Fair Value1,500 IDR
Upside+5.7%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1,131 IDR – 2,199 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 2,367 IDR to 1,500 IDR (−36.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +7.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (1,131 IDR to 2,199 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,553 IDR 434.77 IDR Fair Value 1,500 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 434.77 IDR – 1,553 IDR · fair‑value band 1,131 IDR – 2,199 IDR · the 1,420 IDR price screens below the 1,500 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, (AKRA) currently trades at 1,420 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,500 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, generated revenue of 48.7T IDR at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 26.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 692B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,131 IDR (bear case) to 2,199 IDR (bull case); at 1,420 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 6%, AKRA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2,216 IDR 4,123 IDR 7,732 IDR 80
Residual Income 857.02 IDR 1,137 IDR 5,062 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1,748 IDR 2,998 IDR 4,699 IDR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2,252 IDR 4,318 IDR 8,538 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 1,568 IDR 3,014 IDR 5,821 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,748 IDR 3,038 IDR 4,833 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,925 IDR 3,421 IDR 5,354 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 2,070 IDR 3,735 IDR 5,714 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1,841 IDR 3,173 IDR 5,323 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2,016 IDR 3,468 IDR 5,791 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 2,116 IDR 3,710 IDR 6,114 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 849.19 IDR 4,603 IDR 6,382 IDR 54
Lynch FV 1,276 IDR 1,823 IDR 2,370 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 1,276 IDR 1,823 IDR 2,370 IDR 46
EPV 1,427 IDR 1,654 IDR 1,857 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,967 IDR 2,623 IDR 3,278 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 1,592 IDR 2,123 IDR 2,654 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 1,592 IDR 2,123 IDR 2,654 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 2,077 IDR 2,724 IDR 3,370 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 1,885 IDR 2,468 IDR 3,051 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 1,521 IDR 2,115 IDR 2,708 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 306.97 IDR 411.34 IDR 613.94 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2,216 IDR 4,123 IDR 7,732 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,748 IDR 2,998 IDR 4,699 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 857.02 IDR 1,137 IDR 5,062 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 1,646 IDR 2,219 IDR 2,976 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,868 IDR 2,668 IDR 3,468 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (3,421 IDR) versus Asset-Based (411.34 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 48.7T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.2%
Net margin 5.3%
Return on equity 18.9%
Free cash flow 2.9T IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 10.4
More key figures
Operating margin 6.3%
EPS (TTM) 129.88 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +16.1%
Net cash 692B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, engages in distribution and trading of petroleum and basic chemical products in Indonesia. It operates through four segments: Trading and Distribution, Logistics Services, Manufacturing, and Industrial Estate and related utility services.

Full company description

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, engages in distribution and trading of petroleum and basic chemical products in Indonesia. It operates through four segments: Trading and Distribution, Logistics Services, Manufacturing, and Industrial Estate and related utility services. The Trading and Distribution segment distributes petroleum products, and base chemicals, such as caustic soda, sodium sulphate, PVC resins, soda ash, chlor-alkali chemicals, and solvents, as well as organic and non-organic chemicals. The Logistics Services segment offers rental of storage tanks and warehouses, bagging, port handling, and transportation services primarily for liquid and solid chemical, and petroleum products. The Manufacturing segment produces and sells adhesive materials. The Industrial Estate segment leases and sells industrial estate land, sales of electricity, and other related services to tenants of the estate. The company is also involved in coal trading and mining; domestic shipping; installation, construction, operation, and generation of electric power; industrial estate operations and supporting facilities; and trading and distribution of lubricants. The company was formerly known as PT Aneka Kimia Raya Tbk and changed its name to PT AKR Corporindo Tbk in September 2004. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT AKR Corporindo Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Arthakencana Rayatama.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, reported revenue of 46.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 25.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5T IDR in FY2025, compounding +22.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
46.0T IDR
Latest YoY
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+15.5%
Revenue +15.7%/yr
FY21 25.7T IDR
FY22 47.5T IDR
FY23 42.1T IDR
FY24 38.7T IDR
FY25 46.0T IDR
Net income +22.1%/yr
FY21 1.1T IDR
FY22 2.4T IDR
FY23 2.8T IDR
FY24 2.2T IDR
FY25 2.5T IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKRA

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.40× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 76 · sector 32
HEALTH 85 · sector 80
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,293 ₹835.66 -35%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $309.65 $127.32 -59%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $283.74 $135.80 -52%
Phillips 66 PSX $196.16 $101.04 -48%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.10 €4.07 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 81.30 TWD 16.68 TWD -79%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.96 ₹417.35 +200%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $88.59 $48.90 -45%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.55 ₹846.81 +168%
SK Innovation Co 096770 121,400 KRW 58,865 KRW -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, (AKRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,500 IDR versus a price of 1,420 IDR, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AKRA?
Our model-based fair value for PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, is 1,500 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,420 IDR.
What is the quality score of AKRA?
PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, (AKRA)?
PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 48.7T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AKRA?
The net profit margin of PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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