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Akzo Nobel India Limited (AKZOINDIA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹136B

AN Akzo Nobel India Limited AKZOINDIA · NSE
Price₹3,086
Fair Value₹1,385
Upside-55.1%
Quality63/100
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Strengths

Highly profitable · 52.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 78/100

Risks

!Trades 55% ABOVE our fair value of ₹1,385
!Expensive Growth
Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 52.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 78/100
Evidence: High Range ₹1,053 – ₹1,718 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price +3.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,718). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹4,210 ₹1,477 Fair Value ₹1,385 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,477 – ₹4,210 · fair‑value band ₹1,053 – ₹1,718 · the ₹3,086 price screens above the ₹1,385 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Akzo Nobel India Limited (AKZOINDIA) currently trades at ₹3,086, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,385, implying the stock looks roughly 55.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Akzo Nobel India Limited generated revenue of ₹37.6B at a net margin of 52.0%. Revenue declined 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹2.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1,053 (bear case) to ₹1,718 (bull case); at ₹3,086, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -55%, AKZOINDIA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹186.86 ₹240.43 ₹316.14 80
Residual Income ₹2,705 ₹4,238 ₹73,597 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹620.52 ₹1,044 ₹1,516 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹184.50 ₹244.20 ₹333.56 38
Owner Earnings ₹4,971 ₹7,536 ₹11,375 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹620.52 ₹1,055 ₹1,616 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹590.88 ₹1,001 ₹1,479 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹3,280 ₹5,958 ₹8,760 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹434.94 ₹794.27 ₹1,284 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹441.02 ₹756.63 ₹1,181 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹2,145 ₹4,172 ₹6,665 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹2,947 ₹8,518 ₹11,242 54
Lynch FV ₹1,760 ₹2,514 ₹3,268 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,760 ₹2,514 ₹3,268 46
EPV ₹523.41 ₹598.91 ₹664.96 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹1,708 ₹3,551 ₹5,633 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹1,708 ₹2,735 ₹3,727 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹5,526 ₹7,368 ₹9,210 63
P/S Multiple ₹889.12 ₹1,186 ₹1,482 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,211 ₹1,615 ₹2,019 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,069 ₹1,402 ₹1,735 53
EV/EBITDA ₹907.88 ₹1,187 ₹1,466 54
EV/Revenue ₹900.29 ₹1,256 ₹1,612 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹269.17 ₹360.69 ₹538.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹186.86 ₹240.43 ₹316.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹620.52 ₹1,044 ₹1,516 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹2,705 ₹4,238 ₹73,597 76
ROIC Compounder ₹523.41 ₹630.01 ₹770.06 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹4,557 ₹6,510 ₹8,463 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹6,510) versus Growth DCF (₹240.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹37.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.6%
Net margin 52.0%
Return on equity 32.3%
Free cash flow ₹466M FY2026
P/E ratio 7.2
More key figures
Operating margin 13.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹429.50
EPS growth (YoY) -31.6%
Net cash ₹2.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JSW Dulux Limited manufactures, distributes, and sells paints and coatings in India and internationally. It offers paints, enamels or lacquers, and varnishes for interior, exterior, waterproofing, and woodcare and metal applications; waterproofing paint products; weathershield paint for institutions/builders/contractors; and automotive and specialty, …

Full company description

JSW Dulux Limited manufactures, distributes, and sells paints and coatings in India and internationally. It offers paints, enamels or lacquers, and varnishes for interior, exterior, waterproofing, and woodcare and metal applications; waterproofing paint products; weathershield paint for institutions/builders/contractors; and automotive and specialty, industrial, powder, and marine and protective coatings. The company's products are used in oil and gas, power, infrastructure, and wind energy projects; automobile; automotive OEM coating, consumer electronics coating, vehicle refinishes, and specialty coating businesses; and roofing, building structures, aluminum composite panels, and domestic appliance sectors. It offers its products primarily under the Dulux, International, Sikkens, and Interpon brands. The company was formerly known as Akzo Nobel India Limited and changed its name to JSW Dulux Limited in March 2026. JSW Dulux Limited was founded in 1792 and is based in Gurugram, India. As of November 12, 2025, JSW Dulux Limited operates as a subsidiary of JSW Paints Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Akzo Nobel India Limited reported revenue of ₹36.0B in FY2026 versus ₹31.1B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.7B in FY2026, compounding +61.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹36.0B
Latest YoY
−11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY22 ₹31.1B
FY23 ₹37.8B
FY24 ₹39.4B
FY25 ₹40.6B
FY26 ₹36.0B
Net income +61.5%/yr
FY22 ₹2.9B
FY23 ₹3.4B
FY24 ₹4.3B
FY25 ₹4.3B
FY26 ₹19.7B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +18.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.0 pp

of which total revenue +4.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp

EBIT margin +3.6 pp
Tax rate +1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

AKZOINDIA screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akzo Nobel India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKZOINDIA

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 677 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −55% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 5.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 24.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 19
PAST100 · sector 23
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $479.43 $222.03 -54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥75.06 ¥68.03 -9%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,630 ₹696.23 -74%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹541.00 ₹156.35 -71%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,680 ₹724.88 -85%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹703.65 ₹229.10 -67%
Enaex S.A ENAEX 25,050 CLP 23,574 CLP -6%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Akzo Nobel India Limited (AKZOINDIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,385 versus a price of ₹3,086, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKZOINDIA?
Our model-based fair value for Akzo Nobel India Limited is ₹1,385 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3,086.
What is the quality score of AKZOINDIA?
Akzo Nobel India Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Akzo Nobel India Limited (AKZOINDIA)?
Akzo Nobel India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹37.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AKZOINDIA?
The net profit margin of Akzo Nobel India Limited is about 52.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 52.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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