Agrogeneration (ALAGR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Agrogeneration €0.14, price €0.05, upside +190.8%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.0240 – €0.3130 · fair‑value band €0.1138 – €0.1887 · the €0.0488 price screens below the €0.1419 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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AgroGeneration SA, an agricultural company, engages in the grain and oil commodity crop farming business in Ukraine. It is involved in the farming of winter wheat, rapeseed, and barely; and corn. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Paris, France. AgroGeneration SA operates as a subsidiary of Novaagro Ukraine LLC.
Stock analysis
Agrogeneration (ALAGR) currently trades at €0.0488, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.1419, implying the stock looks roughly 65.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €0.4300 per share, and 8 of the 9 models we run sit above the €0.0488 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.0500, and 1 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.1138 (bear) to €0.1887 (bull), the price of €0.0488 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Agrogeneration reported revenue of €8.2M in FY2025 versus €43.9M in FY2021, a compound −34.2%/yr. Reported net income was €3.7M in FY2025, compounding −28.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €10.8M · P/E ratio 2.4 · P/S ratio 1.09 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Net margin 44.9% · Return on equity 27.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 191%, ALAGR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.1138Fair Value €0.1419Bull €0.1887
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0149 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−63.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −17.9% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → −9%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 19.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+190.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)27.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets10.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)44.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth82.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agrogeneration Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALAGR
Frequently asked questions
Is Agrogeneration (ALAGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.1419 versus a price of €0.0488, about +191% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALAGR?
Our model-based fair value for Agrogeneration is €0.1419 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.0488.
What is the quality score of ALAGR?
Agrogeneration has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.1419 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.1138, optimistic scenario €0.1887. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Agrogeneration stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.1419, about +191% upside versus a price of €0.0488 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €0.1138, optimistic scenario €0.1887. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
Agrogeneration reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €8.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agrogeneration it is €0.1419 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of €0.0488. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Agrogeneration stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, ALAGR trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.0488, fair value €0.1419, a gap of about +191% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALAGR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.0488); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.1419). For Agrogeneration the two are €0.0931 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agrogeneration worth?
The market values Agrogeneration at about €10.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is €0.0488; our models calculate a fair value of €0.1419 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALAGR?
Our models span a range for Agrogeneration: cautious scenario €0.1138, base €0.1419, optimistic €0.1887 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price €0.0488). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALAGR?
Agrogeneration trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.4 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.1419 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 1.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agrogeneration (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 27.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALAGR from its 52-week high?
Agrogeneration trades at €0.0488, about 18% below its 52-week high of €0.0594 and 43% above the low of €0.0342 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.1419 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agrogeneration?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agrogeneration stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price €0.0488, calculated fair value €0.1419 (+191%), Quality Score 47/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALAGR calculated?
We run Agrogeneration through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.1419, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Agrogeneration currently trades 191 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was €0.0488. Our model-based fair value is €0.1419, about +191% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Agrogeneration right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€0.1138). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Agrogeneration
How large is the market capitalisation of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
The market capitalisation of Agrogeneration is €10.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agrogeneration is 1.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
Earnings per share at Agrogeneration are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
The net margin of Agrogeneration is 44.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agrogeneration is 27.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agrogeneration is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
The operating margin of Agrogeneration is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agrogeneration (ALAGR)?
Revenue at Agrogeneration is growing +82.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −31.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Agrogeneration (ALAGR) generate?
The free cash flow of Agrogeneration is −€3.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Agrogeneration (ALAGR) carry?
The net debt of Agrogeneration is €12.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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