Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jul 16, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.5600 – €7.50 · fair‑value band €0.3000 – €0.5900 · the €1.14 price screens above the €0.4000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Groupe Airwell provides thermal solutions in France and internationally. The company offers eco-thermal service for the home; air conditioning and heating solutions; and climatic solutions. It also provides technical or training courses for installers. Groupe Airwell was founded in 1947 and is based in Montigny-le-Bretonneux, France.
Stock analysis
Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR) currently trades at €1.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.4000, implying the stock looks roughly 185.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €0.3000 (bear) to €0.5900 (bull), the price of €1.14 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Groupe Airwell Société anonyme reported revenue of €42.9M in FY2025 versus €39.3M in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€5.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €8.9M · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) €−0.8700 · Net margin −12.4% · Return on equity −85.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% · Operating margin −13.2% · Revenue (TTM) €42.9M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −65%, ALAIR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.3000Fair Value €0.4000Bull €0.5900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.4%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.3% (2020) → −12.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 316 stocks
P/B2.86× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.24× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)17· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 61
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Groupe Airwell Société anonyme Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALAIR
Frequently asked questions
Is Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.4000 versus a price of €1.14, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALAIR?
Our model-based fair value for Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is €0.4000 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.14.
What is the quality score of ALAIR?
Groupe Airwell Société anonyme has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.4000 (as of Jul 16, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.3000, optimistic scenario €0.5900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Groupe Airwell Société anonyme stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.4000, about −65% upside versus a price of €1.14 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.3000, optimistic scenario €0.5900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
Groupe Airwell Société anonyme reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €42.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Groupe Airwell Société anonyme it is €0.4000 per share (as of Jul 16, 2026), against a price of €1.14. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Groupe Airwell Société anonyme stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 16, 2026, ALAIR trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.14, fair value €0.4000, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALAIR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.4000). For Groupe Airwell Société anonyme the two are €0.7400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Groupe Airwell Société anonyme worth?
The market values Groupe Airwell Société anonyme at about €8.9M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 16, 2026). Per share that is €1.14; our models calculate a fair value of €0.4000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALAIR?
Our models span a range for Groupe Airwell Société anonyme: cautious scenario €0.3000, base €0.4000, optimistic €0.5900 per share (as of Jul 16, 2026, price €1.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (as of Jul 16, 2026): return on equity −85.2%, debt of 1.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALAIR from its 52-week high?
Groupe Airwell Société anonyme trades at €1.14, about 40% below its 52-week high of €1.89 and 104% above the low of €0.5600 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Groupe Airwell Société anonyme?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Groupe Airwell Société anonyme stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 16, 2026: price €1.14, calculated fair value €0.4000 (−65%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALAIR calculated?
We run Groupe Airwell Société anonyme through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Groupe Airwell Société anonyme itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €1.14. Our model-based fair value is €0.4000, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Groupe Airwell Société anonyme right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.5900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€0.3000 to €0.5900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme
How large is the market capitalisation of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
The market capitalisation of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is €8.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
Earnings per share at Groupe Airwell Société anonyme are €−0.8700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
The net margin of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is −12.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is −85.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
The operating margin of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is −13.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR)?
Revenue at Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is growing −16.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR) generate?
The free cash flow of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is −€1.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Groupe Airwell Société anonyme (ALAIR) carry?
The net debt of Groupe Airwell Société anonyme is €8.0M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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