Emova Group SA (ALEMV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Emova Group SA €1.76, price €0.59, upside +198.3%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.5350 – €1.70 · fair‑value band €1.32 – €2.20 · the €0.5900 price screens below the €1.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Emova Group SA engages in the retail sale of indoor plants in France. The company operates a network of own shops and entrepreneurial franchise stores under the Monceau Fleurs, Coeur de Fleurs, Happy, and Au Nom de la Rose brands. The company was formerly known as Groupe Monceau Fleurs S.A. and changed its name to Emova Group SA in April 2015.
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Emova Group SA engages in the retail sale of indoor plants in France. The company operates a network of own shops and entrepreneurial franchise stores under the Monceau Fleurs, Coeur de Fleurs, Happy, and Au Nom de la Rose brands. The company was formerly known as Groupe Monceau Fleurs S.A. and changed its name to Emova Group SA in April 2015. Emova Group SA was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Issy-les-Moulineaux, France.
Stock analysis
Emova Group SA (ALEMV) currently trades at €0.5900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.76, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €2.12 per share, and 22 of the 22 models we run sit above the €0.5900 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.9000, and 0 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €1.32 (bear) to €2.20 (bull), the price of €0.5900 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Emova Group SA reported revenue of €28.0M in FY2025 versus €29.7M in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was €1.6M in FY2025, compounding +91.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €16.4M · P/E ratio 6.6 · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) €0.0900 · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% · Operating margin 10.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 198%, ALEMV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.32Fair Value €1.76Bull €2.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0888 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+73.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+73.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.74% vs 2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 11%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.37× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)6.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.62× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Emova Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALEMV
Frequently asked questions
Is Emova Group SA (ALEMV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.76 versus a price of €0.5900, about +198% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALEMV?
Our model-based fair value for Emova Group SA is €1.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.5900.
What is the quality score of ALEMV?
Emova Group SA has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.32, optimistic scenario €2.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Emova Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.76, about +198% upside versus a price of €0.5900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.32, optimistic scenario €2.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
Emova Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €28.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Emova Group SA it is €1.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.5900. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Emova Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALEMV trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.5900, fair value €1.76, a gap of about +198% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALEMV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.5900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.76). For Emova Group SA the two are €1.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Emova Group SA worth?
The market values Emova Group SA at about €16.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.5900; our models calculate a fair value of €1.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALEMV?
Our models span a range for Emova Group SA: cautious scenario €1.32, base €1.76, optimistic €2.20 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.5900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALEMV?
Emova Group SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Emova Group SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALEMV from its 52-week high?
Emova Group SA trades at €0.5900, about 29% below its 52-week high of €0.8300 and 10% above the low of €0.5350 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Emova Group SA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Emova Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.5900, calculated fair value €1.76 (+198%), Quality Score 57/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALEMV calculated?
We run Emova Group SA through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Emova Group SA currently trades 198 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.5900. Our model-based fair value is €1.76, about +198% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Emova Group SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Emova Group SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
The market capitalisation of Emova Group SA is €16.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Emova Group SA is 0.38 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
Earnings per share at Emova Group SA are €0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
The net margin of Emova Group SA is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Emova Group SA is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Emova Group SA is −1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
The operating margin of Emova Group SA is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
Revenue at Emova Group SA is growing +0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Emova Group SA (ALEMV)?
Earnings per share at Emova Group SA are growing −40.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Emova Group SA (ALEMV) generate?
The free cash flow of Emova Group SA is €4.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Emova Group SA (ALEMV) carry?
The net debt of Emova Group SA is €15.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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