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Ecoslops S.A (ALESA) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · FR · Market cap €6.1M

ES Ecoslops S.A ALESA · PA
Price€1.10
Fair Value€0.2400
Upside-78.2%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -20.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.2400 – €0.9600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €1.18 to €0.2400 (−79.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.9600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.2400 to €0.9600). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€10.80 €0.3399 Fair Value €0.2400 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.3399 – €10.80 · fair‑value band €0.2400 – €0.9600 · the €1.10 price screens above the €0.2400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Ecoslops S.A (ALESA) currently trades at €1.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 78.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ecoslops S.A generated revenue of €12.0M at a net margin of -20.0%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -63.7%. Net debt stands at €13.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.2400 (bear case) to €0.9600 (bull case); at €1.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -78%, ALESA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.2200 €1.76 €4.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.1200 €1.81 €4.24 74
NCAV (Graham) €0.1300 €0.1700 €0.2600 50
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.3200 €1.59 €4.54 38
5Y Revenue Exit €0.1200 €1.81 €4.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.7100 41
10Y Revenue Exit €0.1000 €1.72 €4.10 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.4000 €1.54 37
Multiples
EV/Revenue €0.8300 €1.65 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.1300 €0.1700 €0.2600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.2200 €1.76 €4.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.1200 €1.81 €4.24 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€1.76) versus Asset-Based (€0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €12.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.8%
Net margin -20.0%
Return on equity -63.7%
Free cash flow €1.1M FY2025
Operating margin -2.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.4600
Net debt €13.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ecoslops S.A. processes oil residues and used lube oil into fuels and soft bitumen. It is involved in the supply of slops and sludges. The company also sells refined products, including gasoline, diesel, fuel oil, and light bitumen; provides port services; and sells industrial equipment.

Full company description

Ecoslops S.A. processes oil residues and used lube oil into fuels and soft bitumen. It is involved in the supply of slops and sludges. The company also sells refined products, including gasoline, diesel, fuel oil, and light bitumen; provides port services; and sells industrial equipment. In addition, it offers solutions to port infrastructure and waste collectors. Ecoslops S.A. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ecoslops S.A reported revenue of €12.0M in FY2025 versus €12.4M in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€2.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€12.0M
Latest YoY
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.7%
Revenue −0.8%/yr
FY21 €12.4M
FY22 €19.0M
FY23 €10.3M
FY24 €11.5M
FY25 €12.0M
Net income
FY21 −€3.7M
FY22 −€1.8M
FY23 −€7.4M
FY24 −€3.1M
FY25 −€2.4M

ALESA screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ecoslops S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALESA

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 9.57× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 50.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 59 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 80
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,293 ₹835.66 -35%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $309.65 $127.32 -59%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $283.74 $135.80 -52%
Phillips 66 PSX $196.16 $101.04 -48%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.10 €4.07 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 81.30 TWD 16.68 TWD -79%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.96 ₹417.35 +200%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $88.59 $48.90 -45%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.55 ₹846.81 +168%
SK Innovation Co 096770 121,400 KRW 58,865 KRW -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ecoslops S.A (ALESA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2400 versus a price of €1.10, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALESA?
Our model-based fair value for Ecoslops S.A is €0.2400 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.10.
What is the quality score of ALESA?
Ecoslops S.A has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ecoslops S.A (ALESA)?
Ecoslops S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €12.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALESA?
The net profit margin of Ecoslops S.A is about -20.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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