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Alliance Global Group (ALGGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.1B

AG Alliance Global Group logo Alliance Global Group ALGGY · US
Price$6.50
Fair Value$13.00
Upside+100.0%
Quality43/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $9.75 – $16.25

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from $34.62 to $13.00 (−62.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$8.57 $5.09 Fair Value $13.00 Apr 2024 Jul 2026

12‑month range $5.09 – $8.57 · fair‑value band $9.75 – $16.25 · the $6.50 price screens below the $13.00 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Alliance Global Group (ALGGY) currently trades at $6.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.00 — implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alliance Global Group generated revenue of $171B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue declined 18.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at $222B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.75 (bear case) to $16.25 (bull case); at $6.50, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside — at 100%, ALGGY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $171B
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.8%
Net margin 10.3%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow −$2.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.9
More key figures
Operating margin 26.5%
EPS (TTM) $1.66
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -37.2%
Net debt $222B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Alliance Global Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in real estate property development, tourism-entertainment and gaming, food and beverage, and quick-service restaurant businesses in the Philippines and internationally. It operates through Megaworld, Emperador, Travellers or NWR, and GADC segments. The company develops residential and condominium units, subdivision lots, and townhouses, as well as office and retail space; real estate sales of residential developments; develops integrated resorts; leases office and retail spaces; and management of hotel operations. It also develops and operates Newport World Resorts, NEWPORT mall, Newport Cinemas, Newport Performing Arts Theater, and the Horizon Center. In addition, the company produces glass containers; and manufactures, bottles, and distributes distilled spirits and other alcoholic beverages under the Emperador Light, Emperador Double Light, Emperador Deluxe, Emperador Brandy, Emperador Deluxe Spanish Edition, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alliance Global Group reported revenue of $184B in FY2025 versus $143B in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was $21.2B in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +6.6%/yr
FY21 $143B
FY22 $179B
FY23 $205B
FY24 $219B
FY25 $184B
Net income +5.8%/yr
FY21 $16.9B
FY22 $16.1B
FY23 $19.6B
FY24 $17.4B
FY25 $21.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alliance Global Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALGGY

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alliance Global Group (ALGGY) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.00 versus a price of $6.50 — about +100% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ALGGY?
Our model-based fair value for Alliance Global Group is $13.00 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.50.
What is the quality score of ALGGY?
Alliance Global Group has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Alliance Global Group (ALGGY)?
Alliance Global Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $171B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALGGY?
The net profit margin of Alliance Global Group is about 10.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alliance Global Group pay a dividend?
Alliance Global Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.