Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Alliance Global Group Inc $6.20, price $6.65, upside -6.8%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.07 – $15.67 · fair‑value band $3.48 – $7.74 · the $6.65 price screens above the $6.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Alliance Global Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in real estate property development, tourism-entertainment and gaming, food and beverage, and quick-service restaurant businesses in the Philippines and internationally. It operates through Megaworld, Emperador, Travellers or NWR, and GADC segments.
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Alliance Global Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in real estate property development, tourism-entertainment and gaming, food and beverage, and quick-service restaurant businesses in the Philippines and internationally. It operates through Megaworld, Emperador, Travellers or NWR, and GADC segments. The company develops residential and condominium units, subdivision lots, and townhouses, as well as office and retail space; real estate sales of residential developments; develops integrated resorts; leases office and retail spaces; and management of hotel operations. It also develops and operates Newport World Resorts, NEWPORT mall, Newport Cinemas, Newport Performing Arts Theater, and the Horizon Center. In addition, the company produces glass containers; and manufactures, bottles, and distributes distilled spirits and other alcoholic beverages under the Emperador Light, Emperador Double Light, Emperador Deluxe, Emperador Brandy, Emperador Deluxe Spanish Edition, Andy Player Whisky, So Nice, The Bar Fruity Mix, Smirnoff Mule, The BaR, The New York Club No. 1 Vodka, Charles & James Light, Zabana Philippine Rum, Terry White, Tres Cepas, Harveys, Vermut Marinero, Presidente, Presidente Light, Don Pedro, Azteca De Oro, Scotch whisky, The Dalmore Single Malt Scotch Whisky, The Dalmore Quintessence, Jura Single Malt Scotch Whisky, Jura 12 Years, Jura 14 Year Old - Rye Cask, Jura Rare & Prestige, Tamnavulin Single Malt Scotch whisky, Fettercairn, Whyte and Mackay Blended Scotch Whisky, and Woodsman Blended Scotch Whisky, Shackleton, John Barr, Cluny and Claymore, Glayva, Invergordon, and Fundador brand names. In addition, the company operates franchised McDonald's restaurants in the Philippines. Additionally, it distributes wines, whisky and brandy products; shoestring potato snacks under Pik-Nik; and Gallo wines brand name. Alliance Global Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Quezon City, the Philippines.
Stock analysis
Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY) currently trades at $6.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.20, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $33.58 per share, and 6 of the 8 models we run sit above the $6.65 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.07, and 2 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.48 (bear) to $7.74 (bull), the price of $6.65 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Alliance Global Group Inc reported revenue of 184B PHP in FY2025 versus 143B PHP in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was 21.2B PHP in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 4.0 · P/S ratio 0.46 · EPS (TTM) $1.66 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 11.5% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −7%, ALGGY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.48Fair Value $6.20Bull $7.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.18 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.1% vs 6.0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 23%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 361 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+100.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.2% · Above median
Return on assets3.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)10.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)26.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alliance Global Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALGGY
Frequently asked questions
Is Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.20 versus a price of $6.65, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ALGGY?
Our model-based fair value for Alliance Global Group Inc is $6.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.65.
What is the quality score of ALGGY?
Alliance Global Group Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.48, optimistic scenario $7.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alliance Global Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.20, about −7% upside versus a price of $6.65 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.48, optimistic scenario $7.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
Alliance Global Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 171B PHP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Alliance Global Group Inc pay a dividend?
Alliance Global Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.50% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alliance Global Group Inc it is $6.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.65. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alliance Global Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ALGGY trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.65, fair value $6.20, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALGGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.20). For Alliance Global Group Inc the two are $0.4535 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alliance Global Group Inc worth?
The market values Alliance Global Group Inc at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.65; our models calculate a fair value of $6.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALGGY?
Our models span a range for Alliance Global Group Inc: cautious scenario $3.48, base $6.20, optimistic $7.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALGGY?
Alliance Global Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alliance Global Group Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.2%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALGGY from its 52-week high?
Alliance Global Group Inc trades at $6.65, about 22% below its 52-week high of $8.53 and 22% above the low of $5.47 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alliance Global Group Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alliance Global Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.65, calculated fair value $6.20 (−7%), Quality Score 47/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALGGY calculated?
We run Alliance Global Group Inc through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Alliance Global Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $6.65. Our model-based fair value is $6.20, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alliance Global Group Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($3.48 to $7.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY) come from?
Earnings per share at Alliance Global Group Inc grew +5.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.7 %, EBIT margin −1.1 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Alliance Global Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
The market capitalisation of Alliance Global Group Inc is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alliance Global Group Inc is 0.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
Earnings per share at Alliance Global Group Inc are $1.66 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
The dividend yield of Alliance Global Group Inc is 1.5% (payout 6.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
The net margin of Alliance Global Group Inc is 11.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alliance Global Group Inc is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alliance Global Group Inc is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
The operating margin of Alliance Global Group Inc is 26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
Revenue at Alliance Global Group Inc is growing −18.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY)?
Earnings per share at Alliance Global Group Inc are growing −37.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY) generate?
The free cash flow of Alliance Global Group Inc is −2.8M PHP (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alliance Global Group Inc (ALGGY) carry?
The net debt of Alliance Global Group Inc is 222B PHP (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026