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Invibes Advertising N.V (ALINV) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · FR · Market cap €2.6M

IA Invibes Advertising N.V ALINV · PA
Price€1.16
Fair Value€0.5452
Upside-52.8%
Quality38/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 20.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.2520 – €0.9071 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €0.5573 to €0.5452 (−2.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +89.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.9071). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.2520 to €0.9071). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€22.80 €0.5480 Fair Value €0.5452 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.5480 – €22.80 · fair‑value band €0.2520 – €0.9071 · the €1.16 price screens above the €0.5452 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Invibes Advertising N.V (ALINV) currently trades at €1.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.5452, implying the stock looks roughly 52.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Invibes Advertising N.V generated revenue of €3.5M at a net margin of 20.3%. Revenue declined 32.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -46.9%. Net debt stands at €1.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.2520 (bear case) to €0.9071 (bull case); at €1.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -53%, ALINV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €6.80 €11.38 €14.77 70
DDM Multi-Stage €6.80 €10.79 €12.24 61
NCAV (Graham) €0.7100 €0.9500 €1.41 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €6.80 €11.38 €14.77 70
DDM Multi-Stage €6.80 €10.79 €12.24 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.7100 €0.9500 €1.41 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€10.79) versus Asset-Based (€0.9500). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €3.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -32.8%
Net margin 20.3%
Return on equity -46.9%
Free cash flow −€4.8M FY2025
Operating margin -49.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-2.01
EPS growth (YoY) -37.8%
Net debt €1.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Invibes Advertising N.V., a technology company, engages in the provision of digital advertising services in Belgium and internationally. Its solutions are supported by an in-feed format that is integrated into media content. The company also develops its technology to help brands to communicate with consumers. Invibes Advertising N.V.

Full company description

Invibes Advertising N.V., a technology company, engages in the provision of digital advertising services in Belgium and internationally. Its solutions are supported by an in-feed format that is integrated into media content. The company also develops its technology to help brands to communicate with consumers. Invibes Advertising N.V. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Ghent, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Invibes Advertising N.V reported revenue of €19.8M in FY2025 versus €23.2M in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€9.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€19.8M
Latest YoY
−25.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.4%
Revenue −3.9%/yr
FY21 €23.2M
FY22 €28.0M
FY23 €28.9M
FY24 €26.6M
FY25 €19.8M
Net income
FY21 €421K
FY22 −€7.9M
FY23 €576K
FY24 −€6.6M
FY25 −€9.2M

ALINV screens 53% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Invibes Advertising N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALINV

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Below median
Return on assets -10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -50% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -33% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.47× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.87× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Invibes Advertising N.V (ALINV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.5452 versus a price of €1.16, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALINV?
Our model-based fair value for Invibes Advertising N.V is €0.5452 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.16.
What is the quality score of ALINV?
Invibes Advertising N.V has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Invibes Advertising N.V (ALINV)?
Invibes Advertising N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALINV?
The net profit margin of Invibes Advertising N.V is about 20.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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