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WALLIX GROUP SA (ALLIX) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · FR · Market cap €162M

WG WALLIX GROUP SA ALLIX · PA
Price€21.85
Fair Value€10.85
Upside-50.3%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range €8.28 – €13.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €4.81 to €10.85 (+125.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€13.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€33.60 €6.18 Fair Value €10.85 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.18 – €33.60 · fair‑value band €8.28 – €13.41 · the €21.85 price screens above the €10.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

WALLIX GROUP SA (ALLIX) currently trades at €21.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.85, implying the stock looks roughly 50.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, WALLIX GROUP SA generated revenue of €45.8M at a net margin of -1.9%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €3.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €8.28 (bear case) to €13.41 (bull case); at €21.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -50%, ALLIX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (€1.07 to €11.91). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €2.75 €3.79 €5.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF €2.65 €4.03 €6.10 74
EV/EBITDA €8.81 €11.38 €13.95 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €2.85 €3.67 €5.82 38
5Y Revenue Exit €2.65 €3.83 €6.13 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €6.41 €11.91 €22.09 41
10Y Revenue Exit €2.65 €4.01 €5.50 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.97 €10.15 €20.00 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €8.81 €11.38 €13.95 54
EV/Revenue €2.51 €3.12 €3.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.8000 €1.07 €1.59 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.75 €3.79 €5.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF €2.65 €4.03 €6.10 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€4.01) versus Asset-Based (€1.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €45.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net margin -1.9%
Return on equity -8.5%
Free cash flow €1.0M FY2025
Operating margin 8.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) +74.9%
Net cash €3.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

WALLIX GROUP SA publishes and provides cybersecurity software solutions worldwide. It offers session manager, which provides solution to manage, control, and audit access to network assets with security posture; password manager that enables IT leaders to easily control and manage their passwords, secrets and credentials; access manager, that enables secure …

Full company description

WALLIX GROUP SA publishes and provides cybersecurity software solutions worldwide. It offers session manager, which provides solution to manage, control, and audit access to network assets with security posture; password manager that enables IT leaders to easily control and manage their passwords, secrets and credentials; access manager, that enables secure remote access for IT administrators; privilege elevation and delegation management, provides least privilege control over access rights to sensitive IT resources; and application-to-application password manager, enables DevOps to access critical resources without ever knowing the credentials. The company also provides endpoint privilege management, privileged access management, identity management, and multi-factor authentication services; and digital transformation, audit and compliance, risk management, and securing IT-OT convergence solutions. It serves clients through resellers and integrators. WALLIX GROUP SA was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

WALLIX GROUP SA reported revenue of €40.6M in FY2025 versus €23.2M in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€875K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€40.6M
Latest YoY
+19.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.9%
Revenue +15.1%/yr
FY21 €23.2M
FY22 €25.2M
FY23 €30.2M
FY24 €34.1M
FY25 €40.6M
Net income
FY21 −€3.0M
FY22 −€6.0M
FY23 −€8.5M
FY24 −€4.3M
FY25 −€875K

ALLIX screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WALLIX GROUP SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALLIX

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 17.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.07× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 179.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 67 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 79 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is WALLIX GROUP SA (ALLIX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.85 versus a price of €21.85, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALLIX?
Our model-based fair value for WALLIX GROUP SA is €10.85 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €21.85.
What is the quality score of ALLIX?
WALLIX GROUP SA has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of WALLIX GROUP SA (ALLIX)?
WALLIX GROUP SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €45.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALLIX?
The net profit margin of WALLIX GROUP SA is about -1.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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