Wallix Group SA (ALLIX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Wallix Group SA €5.02, price €22.50, upside -77.7%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.18 – €33.60 · fair‑value band €3.72 – €7.83 · the €22.50 price screens above the €5.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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WALLIX GROUP SA publishes and provides cybersecurity software solutions worldwide.
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WALLIX GROUP SA publishes and provides cybersecurity software solutions worldwide. It offers session manager, which provides solution to manage, control, and audit access to network assets with security posture; password manager that enables IT leaders to easily control and manage their passwords, secrets and credentials; access manager, that enables secure remote access for IT administrators; privilege elevation and delegation management, provides least privilege control over access rights to sensitive IT resources; and application-to-application password manager, enables DevOps to access critical resources without ever knowing the credentials. The company also provides endpoint privilege management, privileged access management, identity management, and multi-factor authentication services; and digital transformation, audit and compliance, risk management, and securing IT-OT convergence solutions. It serves clients through resellers and integrators. WALLIX GROUP SA was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Wallix Group SA (ALLIX) currently trades at €22.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.02, implying the stock looks roughly 348.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €5.26 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the €22.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.07, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €3.72 (bear) to €7.83 (bull), the price of €22.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Wallix Group SA reported revenue of €40.6M in FY2025 versus €23.2M in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€875K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €150M · P/S ratio 3.52 · EPS (TTM) €−0.1300 · Net margin −2.2% · Return on equity −8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.5% · Operating margin 8.4% · Revenue (TTM) €45.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −78%, ALLIX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€1.07 to €16.25). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear €3.72Fair Value €5.02Bull €7.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−36.3% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+60.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +56.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Below median
Fair Value upside−78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.43× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/B15.94× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)3.73× · Pricier than median
P/FCF164.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)67· sector 49
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)79· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wallix Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALLIX
Frequently asked questions
Is Wallix Group SA (ALLIX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.02 versus a price of €22.50, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALLIX?
Our model-based fair value for Wallix Group SA is €5.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €22.50.
What is the quality score of ALLIX?
Wallix Group SA has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.72, optimistic scenario €7.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wallix Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.02, about −78% upside versus a price of €22.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.72, optimistic scenario €7.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
Wallix Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €45.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wallix Group SA would have to grow free cash flow by +60.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALLIX use?
Our models discount Wallix Group SA at 13.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wallix Group SA that is +60.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wallix Group SA (ALLIX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wallix Group SA grew +15.1 % a year. The price currently implies +60.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wallix Group SA (+60.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.69 %: that much free cash flow Wallix Group SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wallix Group SA it is €5.02 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €22.50. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wallix Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALLIX trades above its calculated fair value: price €22.50, fair value €5.02, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALLIX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€22.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.02). For Wallix Group SA the two are €17.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wallix Group SA worth?
The market values Wallix Group SA at about €150M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €22.50; our models calculate a fair value of €5.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALLIX?
Our models span a range for Wallix Group SA: cautious scenario €3.72, base €5.02, optimistic €7.83 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €22.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wallix Group SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −8.5%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALLIX from its 52-week high?
Wallix Group SA trades at €22.50, about 24% below its 52-week high of €29.50 and 8% above the low of €20.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wallix Group SA?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wallix Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €22.50, calculated fair value €5.02 (−78%), Quality Score 41/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALLIX calculated?
We run Wallix Group SA through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Wallix Group SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €22.50. Our model-based fair value is €5.02, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wallix Group SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€7.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€3.72 to €7.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Wallix Group SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
The market capitalisation of Wallix Group SA is €150M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wallix Group SA is 3.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
Earnings per share at Wallix Group SA are €−0.1300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
The net margin of Wallix Group SA is −2.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wallix Group SA is −8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wallix Group SA is −9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
The operating margin of Wallix Group SA is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
Revenue at Wallix Group SA is growing +13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wallix Group SA (ALLIX)?
Earnings per share at Wallix Group SA are growing +74.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Wallix Group SA (ALLIX) hold?
Wallix Group SA holds more cash than debt, €3.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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