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Nextedia S.A (ALNXT) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · FR · Market cap €11.0M

NS Nextedia S.A ALNXT · PA
Price€0.3050
Fair Value€0.5600
Upside+83.6%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range €0.4200 – €0.7000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −7.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 84% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€0.4200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€1.31 €0.3000 Fair Value €0.5600 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.3000 – €1.31 · fair‑value band €0.4200 – €0.7000 · the €0.3050 price screens below the €0.5600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Nextedia S.A (ALNXT) currently trades at €0.3050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.5600, implying the stock looks roughly 83.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nextedia S.A generated revenue of €60.2M at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €3.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.4200 (bear case) to €0.7000 (bull case); at €0.3050, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 84%, ALNXT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.2100 €0.2600 €0.3400 80
ROIC Compounder €0.4000 €0.4400 €0.4600 72
Growth-Adj P/E €0.3900 €0.5500 €0.7200 68
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.2100 €0.2800 €0.3700 38
Owner Earnings €0.4100 €0.6000 €0.8800 31
5Y Revenue Exit €0.4600 €0.7900 €1.27 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.4800 €0.8500 €1.32 41
5Y P/E Exit €0.3900 €0.6500 €0.9600 38
10Y Revenue Exit €0.3400 €0.5900 €1.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.3700 €0.6300 €1.05 37
10Y P/E Exit €0.3100 €0.5000 €0.7900 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.1900 €0.9600 €1.32 54
Lynch FV €0.2600 €0.3700 €0.4800 50
PEG = 1.0 €0.2600 €0.3700 €0.4800 46
EPV €0.4000 €0.4400 €0.4600 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €0.4200 €0.5600 €0.7000 63
P/S Multiple €0.3600 €0.4800 €0.6000 58
P/B Multiple €0.3600 €0.4800 €0.6000 55
EV/EBIT €0.8800 €1.13 €1.38 53
EV/EBITDA €0.7100 €0.9100 €1.11 54
EV/Revenue €0.6300 €0.8500 €1.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.4500 €0.6000 €0.9000 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.2100 €0.2600 €0.3400 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.5900 €0.5500 €0.4000 61
ROIC Compounder €0.4000 €0.4400 €0.4600 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €0.3900 €0.5500 €0.7200 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€0.6000) versus Growth DCF (€0.2600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €60.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net margin 2.2%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow €352K FY2025
P/E ratio 12.8
More key figures
Operating margin 2.3%
EPS (TTM) €0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +4.8%
Net cash €3.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nextedia S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides cybersecurity, cloud and digital workspace, and customer experience solutions in France.

Full company description

Nextedia S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides cybersecurity, cloud and digital workspace, and customer experience solutions in France. The company offers defensive and offensive cybersecurity services; cloud and digital workspace solutions comprising identity and access management, and workspace and platform; and customer experience services, which includes CX consulting, web and mobile, customer relations and omnichannel, data marketing, and salesforce. It also provides digital marketing services. The company sells its products under the ANETYS and ALMAVIA CX brands. It serves the banking and insurance; health, mutual, and insurance; media and telecom; tourism and transport; retail, beauty, and luxury; industry and energy; and administration and service industries. The company was formerly known as Social Mix Media Group and changed its name to Nextedia S.A. in July 2013. Nextedia S.A. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Puteaux, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nextedia S.A reported revenue of €60.2M in FY2025 versus €50.3M in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was €989K in FY2025, compounding −10.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€60.2M
Latest YoY
−6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.7%
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY21 €50.3M
FY22 €53.2M
FY23 €60.5M
FY24 €64.6M
FY25 €60.2M
Net income −10.1%/yr
FY21 €1.5M
FY22 €2.7M
FY23 €482K
FY24 €1.5M
FY25 €989K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nextedia S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALNXT

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +84% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.40× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 36.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 25 · sector 7
HEALTH 94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nextedia S.A (ALNXT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.5600 versus a price of €0.3050, about +84% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALNXT?
Our model-based fair value for Nextedia S.A is €0.5600 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.3050.
What is the quality score of ALNXT?
Nextedia S.A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nextedia S.A (ALNXT)?
Nextedia S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €60.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALNXT?
The net profit margin of Nextedia S.A is about 2.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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