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Allos S.A (ALOS3) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · BR · Market cap R$13.9B

AS Allos S.A ALOS3 · SA
PriceR$26.94
Fair ValueR$28.36
Upside+5.3%
Quality49/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 28.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range R$21.88 – R$35.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$32.79 R$12.18 Fair Value R$28.36 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$12.18 – R$32.79 · fair‑value band R$21.88 – R$35.44 · the R$26.94 price screens below the R$28.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Allos S.A (ALOS3) currently trades at R$26.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$28.36, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Allos S.A generated revenue of R$3.0B at a net margin of 28.0%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at R$6.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$21.88 (bear case) to R$35.44 (bull case); at R$26.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 5%, ALOS3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$20.31 R$48.10 R$103.33 80
Residual Income R$21.16 R$22.16 R$22.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF R$17.42 R$46.63 R$91.60 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$22.15 R$42.16 R$103.83 38
5Y Revenue Exit R$17.42 R$40.72 R$87.42 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$34.91 R$77.58 R$157.97 41
10Y Revenue Exit R$17.71 R$50.30 R$81.45 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R$31.27 R$85.19 R$189.25 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$13.00 R$27.03 R$42.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$13.00 R$22.79 R$28.37 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple R$21.27 R$28.36 R$35.44 58
P/B Multiple R$21.27 R$28.36 R$35.44 55
EV/EBIT R$34.25 R$49.32 R$64.40 53
EV/EBITDA R$39.87 R$56.83 R$73.78 54
EV/Revenue R$13.96 R$24.65 R$35.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$13.14 R$17.61 R$26.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$20.31 R$48.10 R$103.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$17.42 R$46.63 R$91.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$21.16 R$22.16 R$22.99 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$50.30) versus Asset-Based (R$17.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$3.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin 28.0%
Return on equity 6.9%
Free cash flow R$1.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.7
More key figures
Operating margin 59.2%
EPS (TTM) R$1.66
EPS growth (YoY) +2.3%
Net debt R$6.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Allos S.A. provides planning, development, management, and sales services to third-party shopping centers in Brazil. It offers administration services, including financial, legal, commercial, and operational management for shopping centers and malls; and brokerage and commercial advisory services, as well as engages in the operation of parking lots in …

Full company description

Allos S.A. provides planning, development, management, and sales services to third-party shopping centers in Brazil. It offers administration services, including financial, legal, commercial, and operational management for shopping centers and malls; and brokerage and commercial advisory services, as well as engages in the operation of parking lots in shopping centers, leasing of stores and spaces; and management of shopping malls and condominiums. The company was formerly known as Aliansce Shopping Centers S.A. and changed its name to Allos S.A. in October 2023. Allos S.A. is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Allos S.A reported revenue of R$2.9B in FY2025 versus R$938M in FY2021, a compound +32.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$834M in FY2025, compounding +32.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$2.9B
Latest YoY
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+37.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+29.1%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+20.0%
Revenue +32.1%/yr
FY21 R$938M
FY22 R$1.1B
FY23 R$2.7B
FY24 R$2.7B
FY25 R$2.9B
Net income +32.0%/yr
FY21 R$275M
FY22 R$156M
FY23 R$3.4B
FY24 R$699M
FY25 R$834M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Allos S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALOS3

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 521 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 59% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.42× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.06× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.71× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 37
FUTURE 11 · sector 10
PAST 27 · sector 16
HEALTH 79 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Allos S.A (ALOS3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$28.36 versus a price of R$26.94, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ALOS3?
Our model-based fair value for Allos S.A is R$28.36 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$26.94.
What is the quality score of ALOS3?
Allos S.A has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Allos S.A (ALOS3)?
Allos S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$3.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALOS3?
The net profit margin of Allos S.A is about 28.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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