Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Semco Technologies Sas stock €13.94, price €36.40, that is 61.7% below the price, quality 88 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range €19.86 – €58.09 · fair‑value band €8.86 – €20.27 · the €36.40 price screens above the €13.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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SEMCO Technologies designs, manufactures, and markets components for the manufacturing of semiconductor devices in France and internationally. The company offers electrostatic chucks and associated components for wafers. It serves OEMs, semiconductor fabs, foundries, and laboratories.
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SEMCO Technologies was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Castries, France. SEMCO Technologies operates as a subsidiary of ECM Technologies SA.
Stock analysis
Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM) currently trades at €36.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €13.94, 62% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €21.78 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the €36.40 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.76, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €8.86 (bear) to €20.27 (bull), the price of €36.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 88/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Semco Technologies Sas reported revenue of €34.1M in FY2025 versus €33.8M in FY2023, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was €10.1M in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap €374M Small · P/E ratio 31.9 · P/S ratio 8.72 · EPS (TTM) €1.14 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 27.4% · Return on equity 56.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 31.0% (3-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 93 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −62%, ALSEM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€8.86Fair Value €13.94Bull€20.27
Price €36.40 · Downside -61.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.5984 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+21.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +38.2% a year for the price and +18.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 235 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Semco Technologies Sas Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALSEM
Frequently asked questions
Is Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €13.94 versus a price of €36.40, about 62% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALSEM?
Our model-based fair value for Semco Technologies Sas is €13.94 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €36.40.
What is the quality score of ALSEM?
Semco Technologies Sas has a Quality Score of 88/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €13.94 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €8.86, optimistic scenario €20.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Semco Technologies Sas stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €13.94, about 62% lower versus a price of €36.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €8.86, optimistic scenario €20.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
Semco Technologies Sas reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €42.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Semco Technologies Sas pay a dividend?
Semco Technologies Sas currently shows a dividend yield of 1.21% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Semco Technologies Sas pays a dividend of €0.44 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 2, 2026. The payout ratio is 38.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.09 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Semco Technologies Sas would have to grow free cash flow by +41.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +0.4 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALSEM use?
Our models discount Semco Technologies Sas at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Semco Technologies Sas that is +41.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Semco Technologies Sas grew +0.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +41.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Semco Technologies Sas (+41.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.32 %: that much free cash flow Semco Technologies Sas produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Semco Technologies Sas it is €13.94 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of €36.40. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Semco Technologies Sas stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, ALSEM trades above its calculated fair value: price €36.40, fair value €13.94, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALSEM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€36.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€13.94). For Semco Technologies Sas the two are €22.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Semco Technologies Sas worth?
The market values Semco Technologies Sas at about €374M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is €36.40; our models calculate a fair value of €13.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALSEM?
Our models span a range for Semco Technologies Sas: cautious scenario €8.86, base €13.94, optimistic €20.27 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price €36.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALSEM?
Semco Technologies Sas trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.9 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €13.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 16.0, P/S 8.7, EV/EBITDA 22.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Semco Technologies Sas (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 56.2%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 88/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALSEM from its 52-week high?
Semco Technologies Sas trades at €36.40, about 37% below its 52-week high of €58.09 and 58% above the low of €23.10 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €13.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Semco Technologies Sas?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Semco Technologies Sas stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price €36.40, calculated fair value €13.94 (−62%), Quality Score 88/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALSEM calculated?
We run Semco Technologies Sas through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €13.94 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Semco Technologies Sas itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €36.40. Our model-based fair value is €13.94, about 62% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Semco Technologies Sas right now?
A high-quality business (quality 88/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€20.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (€8.86 to €20.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Semco Technologies Sas
How large is the market capitalisation of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
The market capitalisation of Semco Technologies Sas is €374M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Semco Technologies Sas is 8.72 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
Earnings per share at Semco Technologies Sas are €1.14 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
The dividend yield of Semco Technologies Sas is 1.2% (payout 38.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
The net margin of Semco Technologies Sas is 27.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Semco Technologies Sas is 56.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Semco Technologies Sas is 31.0% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
The operating margin of Semco Technologies Sas is 37.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM)?
Revenue at Semco Technologies Sas is growing +25.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Semco Technologies Sas (ALSEM) hold?
Semco Technologies Sas holds more cash than debt, €7.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026