ALTEO Energy Services Public Limited (ALTEO) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · HU · Market cap 66.3B HUF
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 3,587 HUF to 2,309 HUF (−35.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +27.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,887 HUF). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,039 HUF – 6,620 HUF · fair‑value band 1,732 HUF – 2,887 HUF · the 4,450 HUF price screens above the 2,309 HUF fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
ALTEO Energy Services Public Limited (ALTEO) currently trades at 4,450 HUF, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,309 HUF, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ALTEO Energy Services Public Limited generated revenue of 131B HUF at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 24.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. Net debt stands at 45.9B HUF. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,732 HUF (bear case) to 2,887 HUF (bull case); at 4,450 HUF, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -48%, ALTEO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (3,835 HUF) versus Dividend Discount (161.17 HUF). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ALTEO Energy Services Public Limited Company produces and sells electricity and heat in Hungary. The company operates through the Heat and Electricity Production and Management; Renewables-Based Energy Production; Energy Services; Circular Economy Management; Retail Energy Trade; and Other segments.
Full company description
ALTEO Energy Services Public Limited Company produces and sells electricity and heat in Hungary. The company operates through the Heat and Electricity Production and Management; Renewables-Based Energy Production; Energy Services; Circular Economy Management; Retail Energy Trade; and Other segments. It also engages in the retail trade of electricity and gas; operation and maintenance of energy generating assets and construction-installation activities; planning and management of the electricity production and heat generation and storage facilities; wholesale of waste and scrap; and production of renewable energy from solar, wind, and hydropower plants, as well as through biogas. In addition, the company offers waste management, collection, recovery, and sale of organic and inorganic waste services; ancillary and recycling services; renewable production management services; business and other consultancy services; non-hazardous waste treatment and disposal services; and desalinated water production, e-mobility, and asset management services. The company was formerly known as ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyilvanosan Mukodo Reszvenytarsasag and changed its name to ALTEO Energy Services Public Limited Company in June 2021. ALTEO Energy Services Public Limited Company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Budapest, Hungary.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ALTEO Energy Services Public Limited reported revenue of 123B HUF in FY2025 versus 44.2B HUF in FY2021, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B HUF in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.
ALTEO screens 48% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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