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ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. HUF 2,309, price HUF 4,000, upside -42.3%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · HU

AE Some data Sep 24, 2026

ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.

ALTEO · BUD

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 2,309 HUF · Strongly overvalued (−42%)
!Quality 39/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +30.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.2% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 2 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 6 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

6,620 HUF 1,094 HUF Fair Value 2,309 HUF Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,094 HUF – 6,620 HUF · fair‑value band 1,732 HUF – 2,887 HUF · the 4,000 HUF price screens above the 2,309 HUF fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

ALTEO Energy Services produces and sells electricity and heat in Hungary. The company operates through the Heat and Electricity Production and Management; Renewables-Based Energy Production; Energy Services; Circular Economy Management; Retail Energy Trade; and Other segments.

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ALTEO Energy Services produces and sells electricity and heat in Hungary. The company operates through the Heat and Electricity Production and Management; Renewables-Based Energy Production; Energy Services; Circular Economy Management; Retail Energy Trade; and Other segments. It also engages in the retail trade of electricity and gas; operation and maintenance of energy generating assets and construction-installation activities; planning and management of the electricity production and heat generation and storage facilities; wholesale of waste and scrap; and production of renewable energy from solar, wind, and hydropower plants, as well as through biogas. In addition, the company offers waste management, collection, recovery, and sale of organic and inorganic waste services; ancillary and recycling services; renewable production management services; business and other consultancy services; non-hazardous waste treatment and disposal services; and desalinated water production, e-mobility, and asset management services. The company was formerly known as ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyilvanosan Mukodo Reszvenytarsasag and changed its name to ALTEO Energy Services in June 2021. ALTEO Energy Services was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Budapest, Hungary.

Stock analysis

ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) currently trades at 4,000 HUF, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,309 HUF, implying the stock looks roughly 73.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3,835 HUF per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the 4,000 HUF price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 908.19 HUF, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 1,732 HUF (bear) to 2,887 HUF (bull), the price of 4,000 HUF sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. reported revenue of 123B HUF in FY2025 versus 44.2B HUF in FY2021, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B HUF in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 78.8B HUF (≈ $245M) · P/E ratio 31.5 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) 126.82 HUF · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −42%, ALTEO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1,732 HUF Fair Value 2,309 HUF Bull 2,887 HUF
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (93.12 HUF per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1,416 HUF 1,397 HUF 1,253 HUF 76
EPV 618.08 HUF 908.19 HUF 1,144 HUF 73
ROIC Compounder 618.08 HUF 908.19 HUF 1,144 HUF 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 872.47 HUF 6,084 HUF 8,539 HUF 63
Lynch FV 2,206 HUF 3,151 HUF 4,097 HUF 61
PEG = 1.0 2,206 HUF 3,151 HUF 4,097 HUF 57
EPV 618.08 HUF 908.19 HUF 1,144 HUF 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 69.74 HUF 116.81 HUF 151.61 HUF 68
DDM Multi-Stage 69.74 HUF 110.79 HUF 125.66 HUF 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,732 HUF 2,309 HUF 2,887 HUF 63
P/S Multiple 1,636 HUF 2,181 HUF 2,726 HUF 58
P/B Multiple 1,636 HUF 2,181 HUF 2,726 HUF 55
EV/EBIT 3,645 HUF 5,459 HUF 7,274 HUF 65
EV/EBITDA 5,122 HUF 7,429 HUF 9,736 HUF 67
EV/Revenue 2,604 HUF 4,492 HUF 6,379 HUF 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 996.42 HUF 1,335 HUF 1,993 HUF 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,416 HUF 1,397 HUF 1,253 HUF 76
ROIC Compounder 618.08 HUF 908.19 HUF 1,144 HUF 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2,685 HUF 3,835 HUF 4,986 HUF 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in HUF ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in HUF: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+32.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+32.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 8%

ALTEO screens 73% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 207 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.33× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)34 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)6 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.08 ¥30.89 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 135.75 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.62 ¥4.45 −54%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,301 ₹169.61 −87%
BEP BEP $29.08 $70.40 +142%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.56 €14.06 −40%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.30 ¥17.08 +19%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.64 ¥2.40 −34%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.22 €3.67 −72%
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.72 €7.44 −69%

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ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. · Fair Value
2,309 HUF −73%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALTEO

Frequently asked questions

Is ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,309 HUF versus a price of 4,000 HUF, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALTEO?
Our model-based fair value for ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 2,309 HUF (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,000 HUF.
What is the quality score of ALTEO?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,309 HUF (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,732 HUF, optimistic scenario 2,887 HUF. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,309 HUF, about −42% upside versus a price of 4,000 HUF (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1,732 HUF, optimistic scenario 2,887 HUF. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 131B HUF (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. pay a dividend?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. it is 2,309 HUF per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 4,000 HUF. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ALTEO trades above its calculated fair value: price 4,000 HUF, fair value 2,309 HUF, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALTEO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,000 HUF); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,309 HUF). For ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. the two are 1,691 HUF per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. worth?
The market values ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. at about 78.8B HUF (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 4,000 HUF; our models calculate a fair value of 2,309 HUF per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALTEO?
Our models span a range for ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.: cautious scenario 1,732 HUF, base 2,309 HUF, optimistic 2,887 HUF per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 4,000 HUF). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALTEO?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,309 HUF is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Balance-sheet figures for ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 1.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALTEO from its 52-week high?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. trades at 4,000 HUF, about 22% below its 52-week high of 5,160 HUF and 23% above the low of 3,240 HUF (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,309 HUF is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 4,000 HUF, calculated fair value 2,309 HUF (−42%), Quality Score 39/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALTEO calculated?
We run ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2,309 HUF, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 4,000 HUF. Our model-based fair value is 2,309 HUF, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,887 HUF). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.

How large is the market capitalisation of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The market capitalisation of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 78.8B HUF (≈ $245M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 0.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Earnings per share at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. are 126.82 HUF (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The dividend yield of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 0.3% (payout 9.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The net margin of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 15.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The operating margin of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Revenue at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is growing +24.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Earnings per share at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. are growing −81.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) generate?
The free cash flow of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is −4.8B HUF (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) carry?
The net debt of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 45.9B HUF (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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